👩🏼💻 FED | Interest Rate Scenarios Are Taking Shape
As pressure from U.S. President Trump continues, expectations for the FED’s 2026 rate path are split into two camps.
🏦 ANZ Bank:
▪️ Even if the FED keeps rates unchanged in January, it could return to rate cuts soon.
▪️ March + June → total 50 bps cut
▪️ Mid-year policy rate: 3.00% – 3.25%
▪️ Rationale: slowing inflation, easing wage growth, and cooling in the housing market.
🏦 J.P. Morgan:
▪️ Believes the FED has completed its rate-cut cycle.
▪️ Rates may remain unchanged throughout 2026.
▪️ The next move could be a rate hike in 2027.
📌 Summary:
Direction remains uncertain on the FED front, with continued divergence in views among major banks.
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