$TON Institutional financing: The raising of $15 million by AlphaTON Capital provides fundamental support despite the recent daily price correction of 1.96%.
Accumulation by large investors: Smart capital is increasing long positions while short sellers are giving up, signaling strong institutional interest in a potential reversal.
Technical consolidation: TON tests the support at $1.70 with a bearish MACD momentum, while maintaining a strong monthly bullish trend at 18.51%.
Ecosystem incentives: The 20.5% APR rate offered by Binance Super Earn stimulates token utility and reduces selling pressure during market volatility.
Technical consolidation phase
Price performance: TON is priced at $1.70, testing immediate support after a daily drop of 1.96%, while maintaining a monthly gain of 18.51%.
Flow dynamics: Net hourly outflows have reached $29,400, driven by large-scale sales of $61,800, indicating a short-term distribution by major holders.
Indicators: The MACD shows bearish momentum with an accuracy of 54.8%, while the Bollinger Bands suggest a neutral-bearish trend during this cooling period.
Positive change from smart capital
Whale activity: The long/short ratio has risen to 1.49, with long whales increasing to 122, absorbing the supply coming from short sellers exiting.
Positioning: Long whales are averaging down their prices near $1.65-$1.68, defending this area as a possible macro bottom for TON.
Potential squeeze: A breakout above $1.70 could trigger a short squeeze, forcing 60 profitable short whales to close their positions.
Strategic funding and growth
Capital raising: AlphaTON Capital has secured $15 million to expand GPU distribution, strengthening the long-term operations of the ecosystem treasury.
User engagement: Collaborations with Hamster Kombat continue to stimulate activity on the network, offsetting pressures from the broader market correction. Link
Staking rewards on Binance
High yield: Earn up to 20.5% APR through TON Super Earn and locked staking products.
Access to airdrops: Participate in ecosystem activities to qualify for the community airdrop event scheduled for February 2026. Link
Strategic outlook for trading
Short term: Bullish above $1.70; watch for a short squeeze towards $1.85. The main risk is the failure of support at $1.60.
Medium term: Accumulate during consolidation, as the $15 million funding and ecosystem growth provide fundamental impulses for a trend recovery.
Long term: Positive outlook driven by high-yield staking (20.5% APR) and upcoming 2026 airdrops, incentivizing long-term holding.