Trading is not about guessing the direction of the price, but about playing probabilities. The first thing everyone must learn: the market can go anywhere. Your task is to ensure that even a series of mistakes does not knock you out of the game.

1. Risk/Reward (RR) ratio

This is fundamental. RR is the ratio of the amount you risk to the profit you plan to make.

  • Gold standard: 1:3. This means that for every $1 at risk, you expect to make $3 in profit. With this approach, you only need 30% successful trades for your deposit to grow steadily (see the table).

The interdependence of Risk, Reward, and WinRate

2. Position Size (Position Sizing)

This is the most important number in your trading terminal. From the Square stream, I see that traders often 'go all in', but professionals calculate the entry volume from the stop-loss.

Formula calculation: Risk amount ($) / Distance to stop-loss (%) = Position volume

Example:

  • Your deposit: $1000.

  • Your risk per trade: 1% ($10).

  • You see the entry and understand that the logical stop-loss is 5% below the entry price.

  • Calculation: $10 / 0.05 = $200.

  • Conclusion: You enter a trade for $200. If the price drops by 5% and hits your stop, you will only lose $10 (1% of the deposit), not your entire capital.

Why is this important?

Most liquidations in crypto happen not because of a 'bad market', but due to incorrect position size. If you risk 10% on each trade, a series of 10 mistakes (which will happen to anyone sooner or later) will wipe you out. With a risk of 1%, you have a huge safety margin for analysis and correction of mistakes.

👉 Remember: First learn not to lose, and profit will come as a result of your discipline.

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