RIVER/USDT | Trading Alert

📅 Date: January 22, 2026

🕐 Time: 01:50 WIB

⚡ CONDITION: Price is in an extreme overbought condition (RSI >75 on TF 4H/1D) • Negative Funding Rate between (-1.3% and -1.9%) • Positive Volume and CVD, but momentum is already too high (overextended).

📉 BIAS: Bearish correction (1–3 days) / Neutral-Bullish in the long term (after the correction).

The market requires consolidation or correction before continuing a healthy rise. Short-term reversal risk is high.

🎯 SETUP:

Option 1: SHORT (Counter-Trend, High Risk – High Reward)

· Entry: $44.50 – $45.70 (rejection zone near the peak)

· Stop Loss: $47.90 (above extreme high)

· Target: $41.80 → $38.25 → $34.40

· Catalyst: Rejection from the extreme overbought RSI level, bearish divergence pattern on lower TF, and pressure from the negative funding rate.

Option 2: LONG (Follow Trend, Wait for Correction First)

· Entry: $38.25 – $34.40 (confluence area: EMA 200 TF 1H & EMA 20/50 TF 4H)

· Stop Loss: $32.50 (below structural support)

· Target: $41.80 → $44.50 → $45.70+

· Catalyst: Pullback to trend support and main moving average, funding rate remains negative (favorable for entering long after prices drop).

⏳ TIMING:

· Correction/consolidation is expected to start in the next 6–24 hours (January 22–23, 2026).

· Trading duration: 2–5 days to achieve full correction target (Short) or bounce (Long).

⚠️ WARNING: Trading against a parabolic trend is very risky. Option 1 (SHORT) is only for experienced traders. A negative funding rate can trigger a short squeeze if not managed tightly. Use small positions, confirm signals from lower TF, and always set a Stop Loss.

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