Combining the reconstruction of the global central bank digital currency pattern, geopolitical trends at the Davos Forum, and Federal Reserve policy signals, I have integrated precise long and short points and market logic for you.

Recently, the global cryptocurrency market is at a critical window intertwined with multiple messages: At the Davos Forum, Trump's withdrawal of the threat of European tariffs alleviates geopolitical anxiety, the rebound in US stocks drives the repair of risk asset sentiment, but the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining high interest rates is 95%, and expectations of liquidity tightening still exist; at the same time, the global central bank digital currency "three polar differentiation" pattern is taking shape, with China's digital renminbi interest mechanism landing, and the US (GENIUS Act) reshaping the private digital currency ecosystem, intensifying the game between traditional financial authorities and the crypto circle, exacerbating market volatility. From a technical perspective, the bottom of BTC shows rebound resilience, ETH and SOL are still constrained by key pressures, BNB is relatively strong, and the focus today needs to be on the effectiveness of breaking through critical long and short points.

Precise long and short strategy for mainstream coins

BTC (Bitcoin)

• Long strategy: Stabilize after retracing in the 89550-89750 range (four-hour close above 89600), enter long, stop loss at 89200 (break below previous key support and confirm closing), first target 90800-91100 (weekly rebound key level), look up to 91650-91800 after breaking.

• Short strategy: The rebound from 91300-91500 meets resistance (hourly line shows a top divergence), enter short, stop loss at 91900 (breakthrough of recent high), target 89800-89600; if it breaks below 89200, look down to 88100-87800.

• Core logic: Geopolitical easing supports risk appetite, raising the bottom shows buying strength; however, the high interest rate environment limits rebound heights, with 89300-89600 serving as the dividing line for long and short.

ETH (Ethereum)

• Long strategy: Stabilize after retracing in the 2915-2930 range, and not dropping below 2900 in four hours, enter long, stop loss at 2875 (break below previous support), target 2975-2990 (close to key resistance), look up to 3040-3065 after breaking 2995, strong resistance at 3110-3130.

• Short strategy: The rebound from 2985-3000 failed to break effectively (insufficient volume), enter short, stop loss at 3020 (stabilize above the four-hour resistance), target 2920-2905; if it breaks below 2880, look down to 2810-2790.

• Core logic: A net outflow of $298 million from ETH ETFs suppresses rebound momentum, the four-hour resistance level resonates with tightening policy expectations, and the rebound space is limited before breaking.

SOL (Solana)

• Long strategy: Stabilize after retracing in the 125.8-126.5 range, enter long, stop loss at 124.2 (break below recent fluctuation lower edge), target 129.2-130.5 (key resistance), look up to 133.8-134.5 after breaking 131.0.

• Short strategy: Sell when rebounding from 129.8-130.3 meets resistance, stop loss at 131.5 (breakthrough of the four-hour resistance), target 126.3-125.5; if it drops below 124.2, look down to 121.2-119.8.

• Core logic: Technical rebound is weak, constrained by overall market liquidity; the 130-131 range serves as a strong dividing line, treat it as a fluctuation until broken.

BNB (Binance Coin)

• Long strategy: Stabilize after retracing in the 893-895 range, enter long, stop loss at 887 (break below the four-hour support), target 904-907, look up to 918-922 after breaking 910 (near previous high).

• Short strategy: The rebound from 921-923 meets resistance, enter short, stop loss at 927 (break through recent high), target 902-899; if it breaks below 887, look down to 878-872.

• Core logic: Under a relatively strong pattern, 890-893 becomes key support; geopolitical easing and platform ecological stability support buying, but caution is needed against following the market's pullback risk.

Risk warning

1. Federal Reserve policy statements and new global central bank digital currency regulations may trigger sudden fluctuations; strictly set stop losses during operations.

2. Confirmation of key price level breakthroughs is required to ensure effective closing, avoid chasing highs and cutting losses; prioritize high risk-reward opportunities near support/resistance levels.

3. Pay attention to the progress of the European Parliament's digital euro hearing during the day; regulatory dynamics may affect market risk appetite.

#特朗普取消对欧关税威胁 The current market is highly sensitive to news; it is recommended to closely track speeches from Federal Reserve officials and global regulatory dynamics, and flexibly adjust position allocation.