🏛 The Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady… and all eyes on Powell .. 🇺🇸
✅ It is widely expected that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged at its next meeting, but the most important event will be the press conference of its Chair Jerome Powell amid rising political tensions.
✅ The interest rate hold is almost certain at 3.5% – 3.75%
⏸️ A pause after 3 consecutive rate cuts
🎯 The goal: Assess the impact of monetary easing on inflation and employment
👀 Focus on Jerome Powell's statements regarding future policy and the independence of the bank
📊 What are the markets pricing in?
🎯 According to CME FedWatch tool | 97% probability of holding rates in the upcoming meeting.
⚠️ The economic landscape :
• Inflation remains above the 2% target.
• Relative slowdown in the labor market.
• Data is muddled due to a previous government shutdown = an additional reason to wait.
🔥 Politics intrudes into the scene :
• Public pressure from Donald Trump to cut rates.
• Lawsuits against Powell and Federal Reserve governors.
• Powell describes it as “intimidation” and emphasizes decision-making independence.
🔍 What are we watching?
• Powell's tone.
• Forward guidance on rates.
• The extent of his defense of the Federal Reserve's independence.
📢 And we say the decision is settled… but the messages will move the markets.$BTC



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