Reuters
Investors brace for oil price spike, rush to havens after US bombs Iran nuclear sites
June 25, 2025
Reuters
Reuters
Oil firmer as ebbing Iranian protests lower chance of US attack
Investors unnerved as Israel-Iran conflict fuels oil market rally
January 19
June 25, 2025
Market Summary:
Recent US–Iran tensions are driving sharp near-term volatility in global markets, especially in oil prices and risk assets. Heightened geopolitical risk increases the “war premium” investors price into commodities and equities.
Reuters +1
Crude Oil:
• Oil prices have climbed on supply-risk fears as US threats and Iranian unrest raise the possibility of disrupted crude flows — Iran produces millions of barrels per day and sits near the vital Strait of Hormuz. 
• Recent data shows Brent and WTI climbing modestly on renewed tension — a typical spike as traders price in conflict risk.
• Historical patterns show sharp rallies when conflict escalates, with prices jumping over 4–7% in past Israel-Iran flare-ups before retracing when fears ease.
BloombergNEF +1
Reuters
Investing.com +1
Equities & Risk Sentiment:
• Equity markets often weaken as oil rises and risk appetite falls, with Asian and Western stocks sliding on conflict headlines.
• Safe havens (gold, dollar) gain as investors seek protection from geopolitical stress.
Asia Times +1
MarketWatch
Technical View – Oil Candles:
The charts above show candlestick volatility — large wicks and range days as traders react quickly to headlines. Key levels frequently break on news, then retrace as sentiment shifts.
Bullish spikes: Often align with major escalations or US strikes.
Pullbacks: Occur when tensions temporarily ease or diplomatic developments arise.
Bottom Line:
US–Iran tensions are currently a key driver of commodity volatility — especially oil — and risk sentiment in global markets. Continued escalation tends to push oil higher and equities lower, while de-escalation brings relief rallies. Big moves often follow headline cycles rather than fundamental supply changes alone.
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