$BTC is down right now mainly because the broader market is in risk-off mode:

- Investors are selling riskier assets like crypto and stocks, moving into safe havens.

- Institutional flows have been net negative recently, reducing upward pressure on BTC.

- Sentiment is fear-driven, which fuels more selling.

How can we tell how soon it will bounce back ?

That could depend on easing risk-off pressure, renewed institutional inflows, and confidence returning to the market. In the short term, it’s more about liquidity and psychology than fundamentals; longer term, adoption, ETFs, regulation clarity, and on-chain activity matter more.

As we mostly see: when fear cools and money flows back in, recovery can be surprisingly fast.

What should we watch for?

📈 Market & price signals

-Support holds, BTC stops falling at a historically strong level (like $85–$90K) and shows repeated rejection of lower prices.

-Higher lows & volume pick-up, Price starts forming higher lows with increased buying volume, showing demand returning.

-Short-term oversold conditions, Indicators like RSI or Stochastic show BTC is deeply oversold, often preceding a bounce.

💹 Institutional & on-chain signals

-ETF or fund inflows, Spot ETF inflows or large corporate purchases indicate big players are buying, which often triggers a broader rally.

-On-chain accumulation, Addresses holding BTC long-term start buying dips, signaling confidence from experienced holders.

🧠 Sentiment signals

- Fear easing, Crypto Fear & Greed Index moves out of “Extreme Fear,” reflecting calmer, more confident traders.

- Positive news / regulatory clarity: Clearer rules, adoption news, or partnerships that reduce uncertainty can quickly boost buying.

Most importantly, we need to be ready for both scenarios!

Are you?

In short: hold levels, rising demand, calmer sentiment, and renewed institutional interest are usually the clearest early signals that a bounce might be coming.