Just three months after the last calm, Washington is about to face another 'food shortage'! Currently, less than a week remains until the funding expires on 1/30, and players on Polymarket have already bet an 80% chance that the government will shut down again. This time, both parties are refusing to back down, and the tension is even stronger than last time! 🔥$BTC $ETH $BNB
Core trigger: ICE funding deadlock 🛑
The spark this time is the 1/24 law enforcement shooting tragedy, which has made Democratic leader Chuck Schumer completely take a hard stance, stating: "If we don't reform the ICE budget, we might as well let the government shut down!"
Currently, both sides are deadlocked on these points:
• Democratic Party: Demands a reduction of 5,500 detention beds and mandatory installation of body cameras 📷.
• Republican Party: Insists that there can be no retreat on border security, refuses to cut the budget again 🧱.
What should investors pay attention to? 📈
Although the shutdown of non-core sectors has limited direct impact on GDP, the key point is market confidence!
1. Risk aversion is rising: Federal employees are not getting paid, government contracts are stalled, and short-term risk assets will experience greater volatility 🎢.
2. Predicting the market's barometer: Polymarket's data often moves faster than the news, and an 80% probability is no joke.
Will the second 'shutdown drama' after Trump's inauguration unfold? Everyone, get your bullets ready and keep an eye on this week's Senate vote! 👀
