Is this Powell’s "Final Stand"? 🛑 Fed 2026 meeting is getting ugly.
Mark the calendars: Jan 27-28 (Tuesday/Wednesday). Results drop Jan 29 at 03:00 UTC+8.
Everyone is asking "Rate cut?" but the market already knows the answer. Odds for a cut are sitting at a measly 5%.
That’s basically zero. But the real story isn't the interest rate it's the absolute chaos surrounding Jerome Powell right now.
The "Exit" Under Fire
Powell is out in May, but he’s not going quietly. Between a DOJ criminal investigation (the $2.5B building renovation scandal) and non-stop pressure from the President, the "independence" of the Fed is hanging by a thread.
This isn't just a meeting; it's a fight for his legacy.
What the "Smart Money" is watching:
March is the Pivot: 1/4 of the room thinks March is the last chance for a cut before the new Chair takes over.
The "Wait & See": 58% of economists bet we stay flat through Q1.
The Political Trap: The DOJ subpoenas look like a warning shot to anyone thinking about succeeding Powell. They want someone "compliant."