BIG WARNING: Crypto could take a huge hit soon.

The chance of a US government shutdown by Jan 31 just jumped to 80%. Yesterday it was barely 10-15%.

Democrats are blocking the spending bill unless DHS funding changes. Republicans aren’t backing down. A shutdown is suddenly very real.

Why does this matter for crypto? The US Treasury will need to rebuild its cash reserves (TGA), pulling billions out of markets. Last shutdown sucked out around $220B and crypto collapsed.

Last time:

• Short-lived pump

• Liquidity dried up

• BTC & ETH dropped 20-25%

• Altcoins crashed even more

This time it’s worse: liquidity is thin, markets are shaky, and volatility is already high. Even small flows can swing crypto hard.

Bottom line: if a shutdown happens, expect a brutal dump. Keep an eye on your risk.

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