๐บ๐ธ MACRO ALERT: U.S. Government Shutdown Risk Rising
The U.S. government could face another shutdown in just 6 days.
๐ Polymarket odds now show a 78% chance of a shutdown, and the probability keeps climbing.
๐ง Whatโs happening? โข Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer says Democrats will vote NO on the funding bill
โข Democrats oppose provisions related to DHS & ICE
โข Republicans want to expand funding and authority
โข No compromise yet โ time is running out
โณ Deadline:
Government funding expires on January 30, 2026.
If Congress fails to pass the remaining bills, a shutdown begins automatically.
๐ Why markets care: โข The last shutdown lasted 43 days
โข It hurt economic growth and confidence
โข Increases risk-off sentiment across stocks & crypto
โ ๏ธ Without a deal on ICE-related funding, there may not be enough votes to prevent another shutdown.
Market takeaway:
Rising macro uncertainty = higher volatility. Traders should stay cautious and avoid over-leverage.
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