Post
老王Victor
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Is the U.S. government shutting down again on January 31?
What happened?
The Alex Pretti incident in Minnesota has completely ignited Congress. The Democrats are demanding the removal of all funding for ICE, while the Republicans refuse to compromise. Polymarket's suspended odds have soared to 78%. Midnight on January 30 may be the 'shutdown' moment.
Asset deep review & prediction:
* Gold/Silver: The god of safe-haven!
Gold has stabilized at $5083, and silver has broken through $106. This is not just about avoiding the shutdown; it’s also large funds fleeing the dollar system. If the government officially shuts down on the 31st, the first target for gold will directly look at $5200.
* Bitcoin: The 'squat' at $88,000.
Don’t be scared off by the current decline. History shows that the volatility at the beginning of a shutdown is a 'liquidity contraction'; once the shutdown enters a deadlock, BTC's 'digital gold' attributes will explode instantly, with a rebound elasticity far exceeding that of U.S. stocks (historically averaging 12%+).
* U.S. Stocks: Don’t be dazzled by political noise.
The S&P is likely to see a 2-5% correction, but remember: political shutdowns do not affect company profits. This is often the first wave of 'bloody' bottom fishing opportunities in 2026.
Strategy recommendations:
* Conservative: Hold onto gold, do not chase silver at high positions, wait for a correction.
* Aggressive: Focus on the BTC range of 85,000 - 87,000, which is an excellent ambush point.
In summary: The shutdown is a negative for the dollar's credit but a celebration for hard assets. Rather than worrying about the government, it’s better to keep a close eye on the chips. $BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
$ETH
{future}(ETHUSDT)
$XAG
{future}(XAGUSDT)
What happened?
The Alex Pretti incident in Minnesota has completely ignited Congress. The Democrats are demanding the removal of all funding for ICE, while the Republicans refuse to compromise. Polymarket's suspended odds have soared to 78%. Midnight on January 30 may be the 'shutdown' moment.
Asset deep review & prediction:
* Gold/Silver: The god of safe-haven!
Gold has stabilized at $5083, and silver has broken through $106. This is not just about avoiding the shutdown; it’s also large funds fleeing the dollar system. If the government officially shuts down on the 31st, the first target for gold will directly look at $5200.
* Bitcoin: The 'squat' at $88,000.
Don’t be scared off by the current decline. History shows that the volatility at the beginning of a shutdown is a 'liquidity contraction'; once the shutdown enters a deadlock, BTC's 'digital gold' attributes will explode instantly, with a rebound elasticity far exceeding that of U.S. stocks (historically averaging 12%+).
* U.S. Stocks: Don’t be dazzled by political noise.
The S&P is likely to see a 2-5% correction, but remember: political shutdowns do not affect company profits. This is often the first wave of 'bloody' bottom fishing opportunities in 2026.
Strategy recommendations:
* Conservative: Hold onto gold, do not chase silver at high positions, wait for a correction.
* Aggressive: Focus on the BTC range of 85,000 - 87,000, which is an excellent ambush point.
In summary: The shutdown is a negative for the dollar's credit but a celebration for hard assets. Rather than worrying about the government, it’s better to keep a close eye on the chips. $BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
$ETH
{future}(ETHUSDT)
$XAG
{future}(XAGUSDT)
Disclaimer: Includes third-party opinions. No financial advice. May include sponsored content. See T&Cs.