📍#ETH Ding Ding Technical Analysis Report 2026-01-26
【Core View】: Daily line bears are pressuring the market, 1H short-term "dead cat bounce", using rebounds to short is the best strategy.
ETH daily line confirms a strong bearish trend, with pressure below 3,045. However, an interesting phenomenon is that a small bullish signal has appeared in the 1H short-term, surpassing 2,854. This is likely a technical rebound after a sharp drop, do not mistakenly think it is a reversal.
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📊 Long-term Trend: Strong Bearish (1D Daily Level)
Current Situation Interpretation:
Closing is pressured below 3,045, and moving averages are in a bearish arrangement. The trend is extremely weak, targeting 2,642.
【1D Swing Strategy】
• Key Operation: Short on rebound.
• Defense/Bull-Bear Boundary: 3,374.04
🛑 Short Position Layout:
• Short on rebound (Limit Order): 3,045.04 ~ 3,374.04 (Recommended Capital 60%)
• Chase Short (Breakdown): 2,642.64 (Recommended Capital 40%)
• Take Profit Target (TP): 2,313.64
• Stop Loss (SL): 3,374.04
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📊 Medium-term Trend: Consolidation (4H Level)
Current Situation Interpretation:
Price structure is weak, but short-term momentum is bullish, both are in conflict. This is a volatility preparing for further declines.
【4H Swing Strategy】
• Key Operation: Wait and see.
• Defense/Bull-Bear Boundary: None.
🛑 Operation Suggestion:
• Wait and see: Wait for the closing to stand back at 2,962.82 or break below 2,641.07 before choosing a side.
• Capital: 0% (Wait and see).
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📊 Short-term Trend: Small Bullish (1H Level)
Current Situation Interpretation:
Short-term has surpassed the moving average, holding above 2,854. This is a short-term rebound signal, suitable for quick entry and exit in ultra-short-term trading, or as a reference point for entering short positions (waiting for the rebound to end).
【1H Swing Strategy】
• Key Operation: Aggressive traders seize the rebound, conservative traders wait for the short on rebound.
• Defense/Bull-Bear Boundary: 2,749.16
🟢 Long Position Layout (Counter-trend Short Play):
• Buy on pullback (Limit Order): 2,854.73 ~ 2,884.20 (Recommended Capital 60%)
• Breakthrough (Chase Price): 2,922.45 (Recommended Capital 40%)
• Take Profit Target (TP): 3,028.02
• Stop Loss (SL): 2,749.16
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📝 Summary and Operational Suggestions
For Holders:
Take advantage of the 1H rebound opportunity to reduce positions in the 2,900-3,000 range.
