🧠 What does the smart trader watch for to identify the highest probability trade?
✅ 1️⃣ General market direction
First question always:
Does the market help me or oppose me?
The smart trader watches:
• Bitcoin direction
• Strength or weakness of the general market
• State of panic or calm
📌 Trading against the market significantly reduces the odds.
✅ 2️⃣ Market structure
Asks himself:
• Are the lows rising?
• Are the highs rising?
If the lows and highs are rising → Better opportunity.
If they are falling → Higher risk.
✅ 3️⃣ Entry point
The strong trade is:
✔️ Close to support
❌ Not in the middle of the movement
❌ Not yet a strong rise
📌 Location is more important than timing.
✅ 4️⃣ Candle behavior
Watches:
• Long lower wicks (buying defense)
• Calm candles after a drop
• Disappearance of panic candles
The candles tell him who is in control.
✅ 5️⃣ Volume (trading size)
The strongest trade appears when:
• Volume increases with rising
• Decreases with falling
• No strong selling at support
📊 Price without volume = weak movement.
✅ 6️⃣ Liquidity and stop hunting
The highest probability trades often come:
• After a false break
• After hitting the stop loss
• After a candle with a long wick
📌 The market likes to take liquidity first and then move.
✅ 7️⃣ Moving averages
Important signals:
• Price recovers MA25
• MA7 crosses upwards
• No MA99 as close resistance
This gives greater confidence in the trade.
✅ 8️⃣ Risk to reward ratio
The strong trade must give:
• Small risk
• Bigger profit (1:3 or more)
Even if he is wrong half the time... he remains a winner.
✅ 9️⃣ Psychological timing of the market
The strong trade appears when:
• Everyone is scared
• No enthusiasm
• No hype
📌 The best trades are born in silence.
✅ 🔟 Signal confluence
The smart trader does not enter for one reason.
Enters when several signals come together:
✔️ Strong support
✔️ Positive candles
✔️ Volume
✔️ Withdrawn liquidity
✔️ Assisting direction
Each additional signal = higher probability.
🧠 Golden advice
The strong trade does not need convincing...
It looks logical and clear from the start.
✨ Summary
The smart trader does not ask:
“Will this coin rise?”
But asks:
“Is this trade worth the risk?”
And when the answer is yes, clearly...
He enters quietly.
