It is impossible for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates at the meeting on Thursday. The most important focus will be on the press conference after the meeting and Powell's speech, as well as the Q&A session afterwards. How Powell will articulate the outlook for the path of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in the next 5 months, before his term expires, is of great interest. It is likely still data-dependent, but will he reveal his determination to defend the independence of the Federal Reserve, and that he will remain a governor of the Federal Reserve? That is an important point of concern. Even if Powell remains, it could actually be good news for the market because Powell's fundamental stance is actually dovish, not hawkish. Additionally, whether the expansion of the balance sheet and the easing of monetary policy can continue to increase will also be key in determining the spring market trend. We will wait and see!

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