Long-Term Price Outlook (2036)
While extreme bullish models suggest XPL could reach significantly higher values if widespread adoption occurs, most current conservative platforms provide the following estimates for 2036:
Neutral Projection: Approximately $0.20 to $0.23.
Bullish Scenario: Up to $0.28 or €0.22.
Bearish Scenario: Potential stagnation near $0.09 if network adoption fails to counter supply inflation.
Key Drivers and Risks for 2026-2036
Token Unlock Events: A major supply event is scheduled for July 28, 2026, when 2.5 billion XPL (25% of total supply) allocated to the team and investors will unlock. This could create significant sell-side pressure in the mid-term.
Network Utility: XPL's long-term value depends on its role as the native token for the Plasma blockchain, which focuses on zero-fee stablecoin payments and EVM compatibility.
Inflation Schedule: Validator rewards begin at 5% annual inflation in 2026, gradually tapering to 3% over time to manage long-term supply growth.
