Bitcoin and XRP Price At Risk As US Government Shutdown.
The rising odds of a US government shutdown, which recently stood at around 73-80% on prediction markets, are contributing to a risk-off sentiment in the broader financial markets, putting pressure on highly volatile assets like Bitcoin and XRP.
Key Insights
Market Sentiment: The high probability of a government shutdown has shifted investor sentiment toward risk aversion, with the Crypto Fear and Greed Index moving to the "fear" zone.
Liquidity Concerns: A government shutdown can freeze hundreds of billions in the Treasury General Account (TGA), pulling liquidity out of the financial system and negatively impacting risk assets like cryptocurrencies.
Technical Weakness: Both Bitcoin and XRP have displayed technical chart weaknesses (e.g., breaking support levels, bear flags) that may amplify potential downturns under macroeconomic pressure.
Historical Precedent: Past shutdowns have shown mixed results. The 2013 shutdown saw Bitcoin rally, while the longer 2018-2019 shutdown coincided with a significant price drop, indicating that the broader macro context and liquidity conditions are key factors.
Regulatory Slowdown: A shutdown could delay progress on crypto-related legislation and SEC reviews of spot crypto ETFs, which might temper institutional demand in the near term.
Investors are also monitoring other factors this week, including the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and potential trade war risks.
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Disclaimers:Info and knowledge sharing.Not a financial advice.
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