#FedWatch The financial market continues to strongly price in a pause in interest rates from the Federal Reserve (Fed) at the Super Wednesday meeting this Wednesday, January 28, 2026. Data from the CME FedWatch Tool shows that about ~97% of participants expect the Fed to maintain the interest rate in the range of 3.50%–3.75%, with no immediate changes.

📌 What does this mean?

➡️ There is an almost unanimous conviction in the markets that the Fed will pause any new interest rate cuts after reducing rates 3 times in the second half of 2025.

➡️ The expectation of a 25 bps cut in January is now considered low — with probabilities typically below ~15–20% in many FedWatch indicators.

💬 Why is the market like this?

Investors are focused on recent economic data showing more robust growth than initially expected in the US, in addition to inflation still above target and a resilient labor market — factors that reduce the pressure for immediate easing.

🔎 What comes next?

The focus now shifts to:

📌 The text of the FOMC statement and Jerome Powell's remarks after the meeting — which may indicate if there will be future cuts still in 2026.

📌 Market perception of possible cuts in March and June — both with increasing probabilities, depending on upcoming macro data.

✨ Summary for traders and holders:

➡️ HOLD in expectation of stable interest rates now.

➡️ Possible volatility in the price of cryptos and risk assets after Fed statements.

➡️ The trajectory of interest rates in 2026 still depends on inflation and employment data.

#FedWatch #FOMC #FederalReserve #Market_Update

$BTC