BTC

The probability of the U.S. government shutting down is significant right now, such as the Department of the Treasury, the Department of Labor (economic data), the Department of Transportation, and the Department of Agriculture. Even if the Senate can reach a compromise, the House of Representatives is already in recess. The difficulty of bringing the members back to session is quite high. Last year, a congressman braved a snowstorm to ride a motorcycle to attend a meeting, which was pretty hardcore. This year, the snowstorm is even worse, and it's likely that some people won't be able to make it.
Of course, even if the government shuts down, the impact will be less than in October last year. Some departments have already confirmed that they can operate normally. More critically, Trump’s attitude this time is softer; he clearly wants to resolve this matter quickly and is expected to make concessions.

Additionally, the situation in the Middle East is escalating. This time it's not that the U.S. wants to return to the Middle East, nor is it trying to drive up oil prices, but rather for two purposes:
1. To divert domestic attention and campaign for the midterms
2. To eliminate the last remaining obstacles around Israel, allowing the U.S. to withdraw entirely from the Middle East.
Let's all wait and see.

$BTC
{spot}(BTCUSDT)