First, let’s review the analysis of December 5th, issue 156 (Figure 1)
PREDICTION vs REALITY
The path we predicted as the 'green dashed line' is being validated by the market one by one. Currently following the yellow line script.
From confirming the top at 95500 to accurately revisiting the trend support at 82500 at this moment.
This journey is not accidental, it is the result of bold assumptions and careful verification.
The current market has entered the critical end of the 'converging triangle':
1️⃣ Position: 82500 is the previous accumulation zone, there will be a rebound here, but that is technical, not trend-based.
2️⃣ Macro: ETF continues to flow out + USDT negative premium, indicating that off-market funds have not entered. Without incremental changes, how can there be a reversal?
3️⃣ Plan: Refuse to FOMO chase shorts.
If the market gives a pullback opportunity at 85500-86500, that means the main force is giving out money;
If it breaks through 80000 directly with volume, that is the prologue to the next chapter of the '70K script'.
Plan for the 160th issue of VScythe (Image 2):
Main strategy:
Mainly short. The current rebound is on low volume, which is the most dangerous signal. 🛑
Defense: Unless it stabilizes above 88500 with volume, my bearish logic remains unchanged. 📉
Target: Still that number we have been mentioning for two months — 71000.
In this 'converging triangle', watch more and act less. Don't leave your principal in the fishbone just to catch the head and tail.
Like and follow, if there are changes in the market, I will update on Twitter immediately. 🔔
In this issue, we continue to align knowledge and action, waiting for the wind to rise. 🌪️
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