$XAG Silver Might reach 70 if this goes onđ¨
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SILVER Market Is Very Manipulated Right Now.
Right now Silver is trading at two completely different prices at the same time.
In the US (COMEX), silver is around $92. In Shanghai, physical silver is around $130. Thatâs a 40%+ premium in Shanghai.
Same metal. Two prices. And this gap is exactly what manipulation looks like.
Here's a theory that why might this be happening:
1. COMEX IS MOSTLY A PAPER MARKET
In the US, silver trading is dominated by paper contracts. Most of the volume is not real silver moving around. Itâs contracts being bought and sold. And the paper to physical ratio is estimated around 350:1. That means for every 1 real ounce, there can be hundreds of paper claims.
So when big Whales dump paper contracts, the price drops even if physical silver is still tight. No actual silver needs to be sold.
They just sell paper and push the price down.
2) SMM AND SHANGHAI REFLECT REAL PHYSICAL DEMAND
SMM prices reflect actual physical transactions inside China. Silver holding around $120 there already shows stress. Shanghai spot prices near $130 show something even clearer: buyers are paying up because they need physical silver now.
These premiums appear when supply is tight, delivery matters, contracts are not enough. Shanghai is not pricing paper leverage. It is pricing availability.
Where paper dominates, silver prices are suppressed. Where physical demand dominates, silver trades much higher.
COMEX shows a paper price. SMM and Shanghai show the physical price.
The gap between them is proof that silver prices are being heavily influenced by paper trading, while the real market is already clearing much higher.
We probably see something like this happening in gold soon.
#MarketCorrection
In the US (COMEX), silver is around $92. In Shanghai, physical silver is around $130. Thatâs a 40%+ premium in Shanghai.
Same metal. Two prices. And this gap is exactly what manipulation looks like.
Here's a theory that why might this be happening:
1. COMEX IS MOSTLY A PAPER MARKET
In the US, silver trading is dominated by paper contracts. Most of the volume is not real silver moving around. Itâs contracts being bought and sold. And the paper to physical ratio is estimated around 350:1. That means for every 1 real ounce, there can be hundreds of paper claims.
So when big Whales dump paper contracts, the price drops even if physical silver is still tight. No actual silver needs to be sold.
They just sell paper and push the price down.
2) SMM AND SHANGHAI REFLECT REAL PHYSICAL DEMAND
SMM prices reflect actual physical transactions inside China. Silver holding around $120 there already shows stress. Shanghai spot prices near $130 show something even clearer: buyers are paying up because they need physical silver now.
These premiums appear when supply is tight, delivery matters, contracts are not enough. Shanghai is not pricing paper leverage. It is pricing availability.
Where paper dominates, silver prices are suppressed. Where physical demand dominates, silver trades much higher.
COMEX shows a paper price. SMM and Shanghai show the physical price.
The gap between them is proof that silver prices are being heavily influenced by paper trading, while the real market is already clearing much higher.
We probably see something like this happening in gold soon.
#MarketCorrection
Disclaimer: Includes third-party opinions. No financial advice. May include sponsored content. See T&Cs.