The sale of metals today led to a short-term offer for the dollar - and that was the goal.

But if you actually look at the charts, the story is very clear. This move did not change the overall picture at all. All it really did was push the price back to the overall trend line from below, which set up a classic retest.

These types of reactions are tactical, not structural. They are designed to shake positions, create noise, and buy some time - not to reverse the trend. As long as the structure remains broken, this test is more likely to fail than to turn into a sustainable reversal.

Once that rejection is executed, the path of least resistance remains as follows:

dollar rolls over and continues lower.

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