Bitcoin is entering the most discouraging phase of its cycle. Bitcoin is currently experiencing a period of heightened uncertainty, with market indicators reflecting more hesitation than certainty. A combination of three key blockchain indicators suggests that the market may be going through one of the most psychologically challenging phases of the cycle: 1. Virtual Demand, 2. CryptoQuant Bull Market Cycle Indicator, and 3. Long-Term Bitcoin Holders' SOPR Indicator. Following the recent large sell-off, virtual demand briefly showed signs of recovery. These initial positive signs indicated the entry of opportunistic buyers after the sharp decline. However, this recovery was short-lived, as demand quickly returned to negative territory. The absence of sustained buying pressure suggests that market participants remain cautious and unwilling to aggressively accumulate at current levels. The CryptoQuant Bull Market Cycle Indicator reinforces this picture. The indicator is currently pointing to a phase typically associated with the consolidation of a bear market, a period that historically tends to frustrate both bulls and bears. Short-term volatility often dominates price action while the market generally moves sideways. 🚨These conditions create psychological pressure on participants, often leading investors to lose interest, reduce their investments, or simply exit the market. This behavioral dynamic can also affect the cost basis of pools. As short-term holders incur losses or gradually shift to longer-term investment pools, realized prices may decline, reflecting the continued movement of funds between participants. Finally, the SOPR long-term holders index has begun to show signs that even long-term investors are experiencing losses, with the index falling below the key threshold of 1. Historically, this phase tends to emerge in the later stages of bear markets, when prolonged uncertainty begins to undermine even the strongest convictions.
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BlackRock clients are fighting inflation by buying Bitcoin ($BTC).
The percentage of Bitcoin transferred from exchanges to whales has reached approximately 0.7%, indicating that we have entered an accumulation phase, where large investors are accumulating Bitcoin rather than selling it.
Note:
This analysis is subject to a significant margin of error due to internal Bitcoin transfers between users and exchanges.
Binance Expands AI Agent Skills with Advanced Trading and Assets Capabilities
Binance is excited to launch 4 new AI Agent Skills, extending Binance-grade capabilities to derivatives trading, margin trading, Binance Alpha and assets management.
Building on the initial 8 skills, AI Agents can now access deeper trading infrastructure and broader asset management tools through a unified, standardized interface.
Bitwise published a report titled “How will the price of #Bitcoin reach $ 1 million?” in which it says simply: “We expect the global ‘store of value’ market to be around $121 trillion over the next 10 years, and if Bitcoin manages to capture just about 17% of this market, the price of one Bitcoin could reach $1 million.” ◾Three important news items for your information .. Breaking: The $ICP project added 100,000,000 to its market value in the past hour, marking an 11.3% increase, following news of its listing on the Korean platform Upbit.Large sell orders have started appearing on $BTC between $70,500 and $75,000 📉 This could be a negative signal for the market right now.If oil reaches $150, America could enter an economic crisis even worse than 2008. After the COVID-19 pandemic, oil prices were between $100 and $120, which was considered high. Therefore, America used its strategic petroleum reserve and consumed about half of it in a year. Now, years have passed since the pandemic, and the reserve has not yet returned to its pre-pandemic level. This means that any further increase in oil prices will be difficult for the American economy to bear, especially since the reserve is already depleted. Reports indicate that every increase in oil prices adds about 0.25% to inflation. With inflation already high, any additional pressure could turn into a crisis.
Antalpha made over $100 million in profits on gold after purchasing $241 million worth of Tether Gold, equivalent to more than 1.8 tons of gold bullion at an average price of $3,693 per ton.
They then transferred $15 million from XAUT to their Cobo wallet, suggesting they are beginning to sell some of their digital gold to convert it into cash.
It appears they are profiting and gradually reducing their exposure to gold.
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A basket of experts, not just one.
Treat it like Consensus Trading:
a strategy built on the agreement of experts, not the genius of one person.
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Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone said Bitcoin could fall below $10,000 due to macroeconomic pressures and continued risk aversion in the market.
📊 In contrast, other analysts disagree, saying that a drop to that level would require a very severe global liquidity crisis or a very large economic event.
News : Will #Dogecoin continue to reach $1 💲 next month? Elon Musk's X Money is set to launch.
A costly technical glitch on the AAVE protocol: A pricing oracle malfunction led to the incorrect liquidation of $26 million worth of wstETH across 34 accounts after the system reported an incorrect exchange rate. 📉 The good news? Affected users will receive full compensation. ✅ However, this incident highlights a long-standing vulnerability in the DeFi world; oracles remain one of the most critical failure points in decentralized protocols.Fact: Justin Bieber paid $1,300,000 for this boring monkey #NFT, now worth $12,000.Urgent 🚨🚨🚨 A major investor has opened a short position on Bitcoin worth $49,829,000. This means that if the price of Bitcoin reaches $76,789, the entire position will be liquidated.The market capitalization of stablecoins hits a new all-time high of $313 billion.77% of companies that hold #Bitcoin in their vaults are currently holding it at a loss. Commission 💰 #news @Mohamed Manae $BTC
📊 The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is one of the most important economic indicators because it measures the level of inflation by tracking changes in the prices of goods and services consumed by the public.
🔹 Why do markets monitor it?
• Because it provides a clear indication of the direction of inflation in the US economy.
• It plays a key role in the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions.
• It often causes significant movements in markets such as the dollar, gold, and stocks.
📌 In conclusion: The release of CPI data can quickly change market expectations, making it one of the most influential pieces of economic news.
The total market capitalization of tokenized real assets (RWAs) on the blockchain reached a new all-time high (ATH) of $22 billion, with over 80% of that comprising tokenized funds, gold, and commodities.
CryptoQuant data indicates that the percentage of Bitcoin's losing supply is gradually increasing, approaching 40% to 45%, a level historically typically seen in the early stages of bear markets.
Now Released: ⭕ USA - 🇺🇸 ⬅️ Consumer Price Index ✔️ Important US Inflation Report: ▪️ Previous: 2.4% ▪️ Estimate: 2.4% ▫️ Current: 2.4% 🔍 Result: Negative for the US Dollar 💵 .. Positive for Gold
The International Energy Agency (IEA) has approved the release of approximately 400 million barrels of oil from strategic reserves following disruptions to supplies through the Strait of Hormuz. Exports through the strait have plummeted to less than 10% of pre-conflict levels, resulting in a loss of roughly 20 million barrels per day of global supply. The amount to be released will cover only about 66% of the current market shortfall.