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BREAKING: The White House is inviting Elon Musk and Tim Cook to join President Trump on his trip to China this week. Executives from Boeing, Goldman Sachs, Blackstone, BlackRock, Citigroup, and Meta have also been invited. Trump hopes to kickstart "a series of business deals" with China.
High-level portfolio management principles and mindset: I see a lot of folks panicking when coins like $AAOI drop 15%. And they even freak out when coins like $MU/<a>$SNDK </a> skyrocket. All that thinking is off base and will ultimately cost you more in the long run than it will earn you. So, the high-level portfolio management principles that really matter are: 1. Believe in your thesis (conviction) 2. Allocate capital based on your risk tolerance 3. Dollar-cost average (DCA) when prices dip 4. Sell when: -- 4a. your thesis changes -- 4b. or if you spot a better opportunity to shift your investment elsewhere Most retail investors fail at point 1, which basically causes their entire portfolio to crumble. And with that, my post is never a buy/sell signal - you all should do your own research and independent analysis to reinforce your personal conviction.
📈 $TSLA Is Approaching A Major Breakout Point After a long accumulation phase since 2022, Tesla hasn't managed a breakout above its all-time high (ATH) with real momentum. Therefore, if the price decisively breaks above $500 this time, it could trigger one of the strongest breakouts in the mega-cap sector this year. Recent movements are showing a clear bullish structure: • Break $400 → accelerate straight to $430 • Break & retest $430 → continue pushing up to $450 • Break above $451 → opens up the possibility of testing the $500 area Each time resistance is broken, it comes with fierce buying pressure, indicating that capital is flowing back in. When a stock like Tesla accumulates for a long time, the subsequent move is often extremely strong and swift. Besides technical factors, the market is also anticipating macroeconomic and political elements, including a potential meeting between Elon Musk and high-profile leaders like Donald Trump and Xi Jinping. If positive news emerges, it could serve as a catalyst for a stronger price acceleration. 📊 Notable scenarios: • Above $451: bullish trend is reinforced • $500 area: major breakout activation point • If it breaks above $500: medium-term target could aim for $700 📈 Trading ideas: • Swing: Call 550 expiring 18/6 • Day trade: Call 460 expiring 15/5 Overall, the technical structure is favoring the bulls. If momentum continues to hold, $TSLA could definitely enter a strong and decisive uptrend after a long accumulation period.
After the earnings season wraps up, Coinbase Global Inc. ($COIN) is showing more positive signals. Even though the business results aren’t stellar, the stock price is still on an upward trend. In market analysis, this is often a sign that selling pressure has weakened and a bottom may be forming. A key catalyst is the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (CLARITY Act). If passed, a clearer legal framework for digital assets will help reduce risk and bolster confidence, especially for businesses like Coinbase. Additionally, Bitcoin is holding above $80,000 – a signal that the larger trend hasn’t been broken. As Bitcoin maintains these high price levels, market sentiment improves and trading activity picks up, creating an advantage for exchanges. On the technical side, the $232 level is near resistance. If it breaks through with strong momentum, the next target could be $268. Overall, the current context supports the potential for $COIN to enter a new bullish phase.
Today, profits from weekly trades hit 1500% and from short trades reached 100%. That's why setting targets and take-profit points is crucial. The next bullish run will break the $450 mark.
$CRCL has plenty of room to pump higher from here. It's not uncommon for this token to move 20 to 30 points in just one trading session. Once again, the CLARITY Act could act as a major catalyst and help push this up higher along with $COIN. $160 is the next major target. Breaking above that will open the door to $200.
Sun Chenyu's vision for market trends is ahead of most by a cycle. He endorsed stablecoins back in 2013 and emphasized the importance of storage looking ahead to 2025. This time, he's focusing on four areas: integrated artificial intelligence, drones, spatial computing, and space. Integrated Artificial Intelligence: The VLA model allows robots to go beyond just following commands to interact with the world. Unitree Robotics aims to ship 5,500 units globally by 2025, topping the leaderboard. Galaxy General's valuation has hit $3 billion, setting a new record for fundraising. Drones: A commercially viable closed loop has been established. DJI's agricultural drones are equivalent to ten farm workers, and Meituan's drone delivery service in Shenzhen delivers within 15 minutes. Spatial Computing: Enabling artificial intelligence to understand the physical world, not just language, is a prerequisite for robots, drones, and autonomous driving. Space: He mentioned wanting to turn blockchain into the infrastructure of the space economy—it sounds like science fiction, but stablecoins were once a similar concept. Four directions, each more ambitious than the last.
The 40% concentration rule in the economic bubble has just been triggered for the first time since the dot-com crash. If history repeats itself, the entire market could be at risk. Every time the top 10 stocks make up 40% or more of the total market, a major crash has followed soon after. This pattern holds true across nearly 200 years of market history. In 1929, the top 10 stocks accounted for 44% of the market. Then came the big crash. In 1965, this number hit 40%. The "Go-Go" bubble burst. In 2000, it reached 41%. Following that was the dot-com bubble collapse. Today, the top 10 stocks again make up 40% of the market. Alone, Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, NVDA, and Google account for 25%. This level of concentration is only seen at the peaks of the largest bubbles in history. And each time, the entire market suffers, not just the top stocks. In 2000, while the Nasdaq plummeted 80%, the S&P 500 still fell 50%. In 2008, while banks led the sharp decline, the S&P 500 dropped by as much as 58%. When the peak becomes too heavy, it pulls everything down with it. The 40% concentration is a clear and consistent warning signal. That doesn’t mean a crisis will happen tomorrow. But it does mean that the risk level in the market is extremely high.
Bitcoin just had a solid defense around the $79,000 mark, bouncing back to the $82,000 – $83,000 zone. Notably, while BTC was recovering, the altcoin group also started to pick up speed noticeably. The Total3 index is approaching a crucial resistance zone and has shown signs of a bearish divergence on the 12-hour chart. In many previous cycles, when the market nears a short-term peak, there often comes a phase of 'altcoin sprint'. The liquidity spreads out more, crowd sentiment becomes euphoric, and many believe the bull market has returned, with risk appetite rising quickly. However, that very excitement phase can sometimes signal that the market has entered the latter half of the uptrend. Therefore, at this point, I still lean towards the scenario: BTC is gradually closing in on the local peak. When further observing the USDT.D index, this feeling becomes even clearer. Previously, the USDT ratio was precisely rejected around 7.25% and is now reverting to the EMA21 on the 12H chart. This indicates that the short-term risk appetite of the market is still maintained. Two important zones to watch in the upcoming period include: - BTC: $83,000 – $85,000 (upper resistance zone) - USDT.D: 6.7% (lower support zone) If BTC continues to push towards the $84,100 mark or higher, I will prioritize increasing my short position with leverage in this zone, as I assess this area to have an attractive risk/reward ratio for a selling strategy. However, this scenario also has a clear invalidation condition: If BTC can close the week and firmly maintain above the $94,000 mark, the market structure will change completely.
Starting to pay attention to Litecoin again as the technical structure shows some signals worth watching. The MA200 – one of the most crucial trend indicators on the daily chart – is beginning to curve upwards. Although the overall long-term trend hasn't fully escaped the bearish territory, the change in direction of the MA200 indicates that selling pressure has significantly weakened compared to before. Previously, when $LTC hit the MA200, the price had a strong rebound from around 65 USD to 104 USD, creating an impressive bounce. Currently, the price is once again testing the MA200 area. While it briefly dipped below, the daily candlestick still closed above this moving average – a relatively positive technical signal. In this context, if the buying pressure continues, the possibility of $LTC making a bounce from the current support zone up towards the 70 USD mark is entirely plausible. However, to confirm a sustainable reversal, the price still needs additional confirmation from volume and a higher high – higher low structure. In summary, the MA200 is becoming a decisive area for the short and medium-term trend of Litecoin. If this area holds, a technical recovery is something to look forward to.
The AI revolution is driving the historic growth surge in the market: The S&P 500 index (excluding AI stocks) has surged 16% over the last two years and is currently trading below its all-time high from February. Meanwhile, the overall S&P 500 has skyrocketed 42%, reaching 15 all-time highs to date. The S&P 500 has now rallied for 6 consecutive weeks, marking the longest winning streak since October 2024. During this period, the index gained 16%, while the equal-weighted S&P 500 rose by 8%. This comes as 10 stocks contributed 69% to the S&P 500's gains during this time, with the remaining 490 stocks accounting for just 31%. Alphabet ($GOOGL), NVIDIA ($NVDA), and Amazon ($AMZN) represent 15%, 10%, and 8% respectively. The AI race is accelerating.
$AAOI is a clear example of why you need to have faith in high beta stocks: -> After the earnings report: down 15% -> Today: up 21% The weak headline numbers are simply due to capacity constraints + accelerated costs for 800G. Demand for $AAOI is actually through the roof right now, as mentioned in their earnings call: "Demand for 800G and 1.6T modules is expected to continue exceeding our production capacity until mid-2027."
10 space stocks that most investors have never heard of — but should know: 1. $RKLB – The only large-scale public rocket company in the U.S. 2. $IRDM – Satellite coverage from pole to pole. Real free cash flow. 3. $KRMN – Supplies components for every flying rocket. 4. $PL – Daily satellite imagery. First year in the green. 5. $BKSY – 35cm resolution. Annual revenue target of $100 million. 6. $LUNR – First U.S. lunar landing in 50 years. 7. $FLY – First commercial soft landing on the Moon. Once was. 8. $VOYG – Building the next space station. 9. $RDW – Manufacturing in a zero-gravity environment. 10. $ASTS – Direct broadband from satellites to smartphones. The space economy is projected to hit $613 billion by 2024. Most retail investors have zero exposure. This is the opportunity.
📈 Exciting Event: Intel is a client of TSMC. About 30% of $INTC's wafers are outsourced to $TSM And these aren't just old products. Lunar Lake and Arrow Lake are both in high demand right now, nearly produced entirely on TSMC's 3nm N3B process. Intel's most crucial consumer CPU line. Built at TSMC. And there's more. Intel is said to be one of the early adopters of TSMC's next-gen 2nm process, targeting Nova Lake expected by late 2026 to early 2027. Intel isn't just a TSMC client today. They're first in line for tomorrow's most advanced node. For $TSM, the blue x86 bar in that chart isn't just AMD's volume. A significant and growing portion of it is Intel. A company whose struggles directly fuel TSMC's revenue growth quarter after quarter. The ARM layer on top is the new growth vector. Tiny in 2021. Gaining momentum sharply from 2025 onwards. This includes Qualcomm, Apple Silicon derivatives, NVIDIA Grace, Amazon Graviton, Microsoft Cobalt, and all custom hyperscaler silicon CPUs that have ditched x86 for efficiency. $28B by 2028. Up from under $1B in 2018. Now the wave of AI agents is coming, and CPU coordination is the next bottleneck. Every AI agent needs a CPU to orchestrate tasks, manage memory, and route workloads in real-time. What do you think this chart will look like in 10 years?
BREAKING: OpenAI fires Leopold Aschenbrenner at 22. Three years later, he's managing $5.5 billion His next 13F filing is set to drop this Friday, and new trades will be posted here Leopold is quickly becoming one of the top AI investors out there And it all started when he got fired from OpenAI in April 2024 due to a leaked memo on AI safety Instead of sulking, he spent 6 months crafting a 165-page document predicting AGI will arrive by 2027 Then he launched Situational Awareness LP, backed by Stripe founders and the former CEO of GitHub Here’s what he’s bagged: • Bloom Energy (BE): powers AI data centers. Up ~1,420% • Lumentum (LITE): optical components connecting AI chips at scale. Up ~1,335% • SanDisk (SNDK): storage layer for AI workloads. Up ~3,130% • CoreWeave (CRWV): GPU cloud for AI training and inference. Up ~166% • Iris Energy (IREN): computing infrastructure focused on AI. Up ~585% Every AI model built needs power, data storage, and computation to run. He snatched all three before anyone else caught on.
BREAKING: The implied market valuation before the IPO of Anthropic has skyrocketed to a record $1.4 trillion, up +40% in just 24 days. This surge brings Anthropic's implied valuation up +1,067% since October 2025, according to pre-IPO on-chain trading data. Pre-IPO instruments traded on-chain on Jupiter, backed 1:1 by SPV exposure, are providing a real-time proxy for the company's implied IPO valuation. The spike comes amidst reports that Anthropic's annual revenue has soared from $100 million in 2023 to $45 billion currently. In the past 12 months alone, Anthropic's annual revenue has increased by +1,400%. We are witnessing a historic tech revolution.
Today I just found out that $SIVE is being heavily shorted. What's interesting is: if the stock price continues to rise unexpectedly, some hedge funds might end up paying a hefty price. The Colosseum fund reportedly dropped nearly -19.8% last month, largely due to its short position on Sivers. When a stock is over-shorted, the risk shifts from the business itself to those betting on a bearish scenario. If the CPO (Co-Packaged Optics) sector really enters a strong growth cycle over the next two years, and Sivers continues to be revalued based on that potential, then short positions could face "infinite losses" — at least theoretically. Notably, Sivers has never been viewed as a pure "short squeeze play." Essentially, this is one of the attractive names in the optical infrastructure and CPO narrative. However, when the business fundamentals are strong but the shorts are high, a squeeze effect could manifest as a side effect. If funds are forced to buy back shares to close their positions, they will have to purchase directly in the market, increasing demand while supply remains unchanged — this could push the price even higher. In the market, sometimes the story isn't just about being right or wrong on fundamentals, but also about who is in the wrong position when the trend reverses.
$LITE has now surpassed the $1000 mark. Are you guys still just watching from the sidelines? I usually don’t try to catch every bottom or top on the small swings, but from a broader trend perspective, most of the stocks in the "optical" sector that I’m tracking are moving in line with expectations. So every time I see the short sellers jumping into names like $AAOI or $SIVE, I can’t help but laugh. In a cycle where capital is prioritizing optical infrastructure, data centers, and AI, stubbornly shorting stocks that have fundamental backing benefiting directly from this trend is clearly a risky choice. The market might shake, and short-term corrections are normal. But when the bigger picture remains intact — increased bandwidth demand, hyperscalers expanding infrastructure, AI requiring high-speed connectivity — the mid-term trend still favors the bulls. Shorting in a market with strong momentum usually only yields very short-lived profits and requires extremely precise timing. If you look at the larger structure, many tickers in this group are still being revalued at a new baseline. In the end, the market does not reward those trying to prove themselves right — it rewards those who align with the trend.
The market lately feels like a 'mind game' – it neither fully rallies nor crashes deep, just sideways action that's wearing everyone out. I've been skimming through various groups and noticed quite a few 'gurus' placing stop-loss orders on shorts around the 83,000 mark. It's understandable since the 83,000–85,000 zone is a weekly resistance; technically, it looks perfect for a stop-loss placement. But does the market operate based on the crowd's emotions? The question I pose to myself: Is there a scenario where it spikes to exactly 83,000 to sweep out the stop-losses of the shorts before reversing? The market loves liquidity. Where there are many stop-losses, that’s where the 'sweet spot' is. If most people think alike and place similar orders, the likelihood of getting swept is entirely possible. So then, what happens next? • If it's just a wick (false break) and there’s no strong weekly candle closing above 83,000 → it might just be a liquidity sweep. • If a big-bodied candle closes above this range → the structure will change, and the shorts will have to accept they're wrong. Personally, I don't put much faith in the idea of 'it has to crash' or 'it’s definitely going to break out.' What matters to me is position management. The market isn't wrong; I'm the one who is if I don’t stick to my discipline. For those in shorts making profit, don’t let the mindset of 'I’m right' cloud your judgment. And for those in longs, don’t FOMO if you don’t have clear confirmation. In times like this, the key isn't to guess the top or bottom – it’s about surviving the sweeps. The market doesn’t need to follow the expectations of the majority. It just needs liquidity. And if the liquidity is at 83,000… then it’s highly likely it will touch that level before deciding the next direction.