白起别乱来

$RAVE The funding rate is very attractive. As long as it maintains a fluctuation, the funding rate can yield a big profit. Still the same statement, as long as the shorts of RAVE do not die, the upward trend will not be extinguished. 😄#高盛申请比特币收益型ETF $#RAVE

$RAVE The top 10 addresses hold about 95%, the actual circulating supply is extremely thin, and the funds required for a rise are far lower than the surface market value. The current funding rate continues to be negative, and short sellers are still paying to short, the market fuel has not yet burned out. If the main force raises the market in accordance with the trend, stop-loss and margin calls on short positions will create continuous buying, pushing the price into a positive feedback loop of 'rise—explode shorts—rise again.' So when will the market end? It’s not about the increase but about when the funding rate turns from negative to positive. As long as the rate has not turned positive and open interest has not collapsed significantly, this short squeeze script will continue to be performed. So, low-level long positions are relatively elegant now 😏#高盛申请比特币收益型ETF #rave $RAVE

$币安人生 go to 1$, the Chinese community's meme coin can also be very cool🆒😎#币安人生

$币安人生 is still surging, I went long, the momentum in decentralized exchanges is too strong, Binance urgently needs a narrative to stabilize its title as the king of exchanges. This Chinese MEME coin $币安人生 has taken on this narrative very well, continuously surging is the best advertisement for Binance exchange, foreigners are still buying crazily, are you all watching from the sidelines? Fellow Daoists, is it too much to expect Binance's market cap to reach 500 million? Please share your humble opinions 😏

$RAVE The top 10 holding addresses account for 95%, and the short squeeze drama is still unfolding. As long as the funding rate does not turn positive, the upward trend will continue.
Recently, the trend of $RAVE has made many shorts question their lives, a textbook-style "high control + negative funding rate short squeeze" is still ongoing...

The top 10 holding addresses account for as much as 95%. This means the circulating supply is extremely small, and in such an extreme environment, the upward pressure is very light. The market maker only needs to use a minimal amount of funds to create a significant increase, and the cost of raising is astonishingly low.

Currently, the funding rate of $RAVE remains negative. Shorts need to continuously pay fees to longs. As long as the rate does not turn positive, the market maker can profit from holding long positions, not only earning from the price rise but also collecting the "protection fee" paid by shorts.
Every time the market maker raises the price, it forces some shorts to stop-loss and liquidate, and the action of stopping losses (closing shorts) is to buy at market price. This behavior of "shorts stepping on shorts" in turn becomes a booster for the market maker's rise.

Therefore, theoretically, as long as the funding rate remains negative, this short squeeze feast will not easily end, and the real turning point usually occurs when the rate turns from negative to positive. When retail investors can no longer resist the temptation and start collectively going long, or when the shorts have been completely squeezed out, once the rate turns positive, it means the market maker needs to pay fees in return, and the longs become crowded. At this point, the market maker will have the motivation to counter-sell aggressively to "harvest".

So many friends might ask, can RAVE go long now? My advice is yes, but with a light position. You should know that extreme control also means extreme liquidity shortage. Once the wind changes, the exit channels will be very narrow.

$ETH Shorting at this price is very cost-effective, the waterfall is imminent, Aoi “🈳” #美军封锁霍尔木兹海峡 #ETH

#Recently $币安人生 has skyrocketed because CZ released a new book, which carries CZ's past stories and emotional value. But it has already risen too high; entering now is not elegant. In the past few days, GIGGLE coin has just surged significantly from the bottom. As GIGGLE is a charity coin praised by CZ, will it usher in a wave of corrective rally, replicating the trend of Binance life? Bosses, will you buy $GIGGLE ? Let's chat in the comments.
#CZ #giggle #币安人生
$GIGGLE

$币安人生 continues to surge, are top foreign wallets going crazy buying in? If you don’t buy now, you might miss the opportunity for a hundredfold increase in the bear market!

The most attractive label of this coin is that it is currently the only top Meme coin named entirely in Chinese on the market. Recently, CZ's book has brought it traffic, which is also the main catalyst for this round of increase.

Previously, we used to buy foreign meme coins, but now it has reversed; many top foreign wallet addresses are frantically buying Binance Life. For them, the four characters "Binance Life" are not only mysterious but also represent the core Chinese power behind Binance.

I believe that in the current market environment, mainstream coins like BTC will continue to be weak. Some funds have nowhere to go and will instead focus on these strong MEME coins that stand out on their own. Therefore, before the market environment improves, the rise of these hot coins should have a certain degree of continuity.

I am currently also seeking an entry point. After research, I found that the 10-day moving average (MA10) is the "lifeline" of this wave of increase. As long as the price retraces to this position and can stably hold without breaking down and significantly dropping, this would be an excellent high-odds long entry point.

Entering here allows for good control of the stop-loss space, while the upper space is opened up as CZ's new book continues to ferment globally. Foreigners are continuously buying; shouldn't we Chinese also seize some opportunities? 😄

- Narrative: CZ's handwritten book title, the only Chinese name label.
- Emotion: Foreigners are starting to FOMO, and the Chinese consensus is coming together.
- Strategy: Focus on the 10-day moving average; a bounce back is an opportunity.

In this wave, what is being bought is CZ's influence, and the bet is on the odds of Chinese Meme going global. Is there anyone who bought Binance Life at the bottom? Feel free to share your profits in the comments. 😄
#币安人生 #美军封锁霍尔木兹海峡 $BTC $ETH

The top 10 addresses holding 97% of the chips of $RAVE , do you still dare to short RAVE?
Seeing this coin continuously rising makes many people's hands itchy. They feel that after such a rise, it should drop, right?

But if you check on-chain, you will find that the top 10 addresses of $RAVE 1 hold 97% of the chips. The circulating supply is only 3%. This coin's price can rise however it wants.

Currently, many retail investors are shorting, and the funding rate has reached -0.5. This type of coin fears the most when no one is shorting. Because once a large number of you enter to short, the funding rate can make the market makers earn a fortune. What's even scarier is that when the price rises slightly, the stop-loss buy orders from the shorts will be ignited like firecrackers, pushing the price up even higher and faster! So short-sellers, it's time to back off. Who has RAVE short positions, post them in the comments so I can take a look, who loses the most 🤣
#rave #美伊和谈未能达成协议 #比特币 #RaveToken

Brother Sun was cut, I just brushed through this long article about Brother Sun, to be honest, at first glance it does seem a bit absurd. Having been in the crypto circle for a long time, everyone has a similar impression of Brother Sun:
He can set up schemes, create momentum, and always stands in the center of the poker table.

As a result, the person in the center of the poker table also got cut. He is once again accusing WLFI, saying that the contract hides blacklist permissions, and the WLFI coins worth tens of millions have been restricted, affecting financial rights. The most ironic part of this matter is: usually everyone feels that the scythe is in the hands of the big shots. But the real rules of the market have never been about who is famous being safe, but rather who holds the power, who is the true upper hand.

There is an old rule in the crypto circle, when a big fish loses, they won't acknowledge the loss and exit. The first reaction is usually to find the next sea to make back the losses.

So I would like to remind everyone, if a big shot just suffered a loss outside, and then turns around to frequently appear and promote a project, it's best to keep your distance. Otherwise, one day you might find yourself on the dining table without even realizing it.

Finally, there’s a question: if a big shot just suffered a hidden loss and then starts to loudly recommend a certain project, would you dare to get on board? $TRX $BTC $ETH #美伊和谈未能达成协议

The ETH short position is starting to have some discussion, as my cousin expected, the negotiations are not smooth. Given the circumstances, it is unlikely that the first meeting would lead to a happy resolution. 😄

My cousin mentioned that the U.S. negotiation delegation does not plan to hold face-to-face talks anymore, and they intend to leave after presenting a final agreement, followed by the familiar ultimatum pattern—meaning that if the hawkish agreement is not accepted before a certain deadline, the fighting will continue. Not sure if this is true.

As for this ETH position, I shorted at a price of 2060 last night, and suddenly the price spiked, leading to a strange independent market movement. Otherwise, the entry price at 2260 would have been quite attractive. The next target is around 2160. #美伊和谈未能达成协议 $ETH $BTC

I am empty. Many people may think that with the US-Iran negotiations starting, the market should continue to rise. But I actually feel that this position is more suitable for being calm.

This round of negotiations is unlikely to be successful in one go. The war has been going on for so long, and it is impossible to sit down and be happy all at once. Even if there is good news, the market has rebounded quite a bit these days, trading on expectations ahead of time, and when it actually lands, it may not continue to rise.

At such times, even if an agreement is reached, it is likely to be a classic scenario: news comes out, the good news is realized. Funds take profits. Good news turns into bad news. This happens in the market every day.

Because of the macro environment. The overall environment has not fundamentally improved. Expectations for interest rate cuts are being pushed back. High interest rates are still pressuring the market. The Strait transportation issue has not been completely resolved. The oil production facilities that were previously damaged will take time to recover even if there is a ceasefire. Therefore, the pressure from oil prices will not disappear immediately. And with high energy prices, US inflation, consumption, corporate costs, and market sentiment will continue to be affected. Furthermore, looking back at historical trends, BTC will likely have to go through another round of decline before truly bottoming out.

Now looking at the charts. After this wave of BTC's rebound, there is a bit of a stagnation flavor. It can't break through, but the chasing high sentiment is getting stronger. During this stage, I generally tend to be more cautious. So this short position is not based on emotional sentiment. It is based on the feeling that the odds have arrived. The space above may not be large, and if expectations below fall through, the retracement speed will be very fast. Cut losses if wrong. Take advantage of a big pullback if right. For this trade, I will first stand on the short side. What do you think, everyone “Yuan Fang”?
#ETH #做空 #交易思路 #市场观点

I eventually became the kind of retail investor I hate the most... 😩
Looking at the floating loss of over $7,000 in my account, the red light from the screen reflects on my face, which is really quite ironic.
I thought I successfully bought the dip, but after entering one long position, I became the "fuel" for the market.
The Trump war is still unresolved, and various data do not support the start of a long bull market. Currently, I believe the market is only experiencing a rebound, not a reversal. BTC is likely to continue to fall.

Actually, after being in this circle for a long time, the hardest part is not analyzing technical indicators, but fighting against my own greed and fear. Moreover, it's hard to achieve unity between knowledge and action. We always want to earn that last cent, but often find ourselves stuck at high positions. The end of trading is not wealth, but recognizing our own limitations.
I am feeling very conflicted right now, what should I do compared to trading?
1. Hold on until the next bull market arrives, tough it out?
2. Cut losses and leave, preserving some capital?
👇#币安人生
#BTC #Bitcoin #RetailInvestorDiary #TradingMindset#香港首批稳定币牌照出炉

The US and Iran have reached a two-week mutual ceasefire! BTC has surged, emotions are recovering, but don't get carried away and trade recklessly!
Core of the agreement:
1. The US / Israel / Iran will ceasefire for 14 days
2. Iran opens the Strait of Hormuz
3. Initiate long-term peace negotiations

The temporary ceasefire agreement reached between the US and Iran does not mean that the market will rise continuously; bulls are following the trend, but the increase is still subject to strong constraints:
▪️ According to the unreliable nature of 'Te', compliance depends on mood, and they can flip at any time and cause trouble.
▪️ Geopolitical risks are not resolved; any spark can trigger panic.
▪️ Macroeconomic data + stagflation expectations, the whole process follows the trend.

A few days ago, panic reached its peak, and war, oil prices, and inflation were suffocating the market, with BTC almost walking to the edge of a cliff. With the ceasefire news, risk sentiment quickly warmed up, oil prices fell, and funds flowed back to risk assets. BTC emerged from extreme suppression and began to rebound.

So is it a bait or a reversal? My judgment: it is neither simply a bait nor a confirmed reversal, but a tentative recovery after surviving the disaster. The market likely still needs confirmation, needs to pull back, and requires a second round of adjustments..

This week’s strategy: follow the trend to go long, but first, do the “foreplay” well, that is, do not chase high prices, wait for a pullback; trades with low win rates and risk-reward ratios should not be executed, it’s better to miss out than to make a wrong trade.

According to the liquidation chart and liquidity structure: 70200—70800 is the most comfortable area to enter long this week. As long as the price pulls back to this area, it is a low-risk, high-probability opportunity.

My trading plan: ・Enter long in batches: 70400 / 70200・Stop-loss level: 68900・
First profit target: 72900・Second target: 74200・If sentiment continues to recover, watch for: 75800
Orders are placed, just waiting for execution. $BTC
$ETH
#美国伊朗同意停火两周 #加密市场反弹

Out of nowhere, the market has moved. Could it be that the funds knew in advance about the agreement between the US and Iran? $BTC #BTC行情 $ETH

Trump: Whether the Strait of Hormuz opens or not has nothing to do with me; the U.S. is not short on oil and is ready to withdraw. I have already placed 10 Ethereum long positions. Currently, the market has switched from "trading war explosion" to "trading war peak".
- Trump has already released signals that it can be ended, and Iran is also willing to end the war.
- Although oil prices are high, they have not continued to spiral out of control.
- The dollar and interest rates have not continued to crush the market.
- BTC and ETH have both rebounded significantly from their lows.

This indicates that the worst expectations have not continued to strengthen, and the market is starting to recover. The previous drop in Bitcoin was due to "panic", and I believe the main trading focus going forward will be on "panic pullback", which looks bullish in the short term.

Current trading thought... short long positions; ETH is stronger than BTC today. So I choose ETH. Not chasing highs, waiting for a pullback to add long positions at 2060-2080.

The market has shifted from panic-driven to structural repair, following the movement of funds. #$ETH #Bitmine新增质押ETH

Old views suggest that the price driven by events is just a narrative; institutional support is futile, especially since there is currently no revenue. Essentially, it is taking advantage of the mainnet launch, combined with violent event rewards, to create a wave of attention and attract a bunch of opportunists. The overall environment is so poor that when the tokens unlock and rewards are distributed, the price will likely go back where it came from. The only concern is that the shorts are a bit crowded now, and the funding rate is a bit high; the market makers may continue to push the price up to clear out the shorts, with sell orders placed at 0.055 and 0.060, hoping for execution.

This coin $NIGHT may not necessarily be trash in the future, but it is definitely trash at present. The rise driven by rewards comes from where it goes back.