Michael Saylor has spent nearly $50 billion over the last 5 years buying Bitcoin, and now he’s sitting underwater.
Adjusted for inflation, he’s down around $10 billion.
The bigger issue is that a large part of these BTC purchases were made using borrowed money and that debt has to be paid back. This is where things can get very messy, very fast.
I talked about this more than a month ago and warned about the risks. People like this create centralization, which goes against Bitcoin’s original purpose.
When leverage and concentration build up too much, the system becomes fragile.
I’ll keep you updated over the next few months.
And when I start buying Bitcoin again, I’ll say it here publicly.
A lot of people are going to regret ignoring these warnings.
BTC rejects the $73k liquidation wick with smart money volume divergence pointing to a retest of lower support levels Trading Plan Short BTC Entry: filled at $71,819 / $72,005 / $72,740 SL: $73,200 TP: $70,519 TP: $68,483 TP: $63,352 Price spiked into the $73,196 highs and instantly sold off into our entry zones with retail FOMO meeting smart money distribution. The short bias remains but the weaker signal suggests a grinding pullback rather than a crash. Trade BTC here
ETH holding channel support with bounce potential.
Trading Plan Long ETH
Entry: 5050-5120
SL: 4886
TP: 5880
TP: 5950
Price sits above the 4910-4886 support zone which marks the channel bottom. A sustained hold here favors a test of channel resistance at 5886 with extension to 5950. This setup plays on typical channel behavior where support holds in a bullish trend structure.
Bitcoin just broke above $71,000, and the rest of the market is following. $ETH, $SOL, and $ADA are all moving higher, showing strong momentum even as stocks struggle. This is a clear sign that crypto is decoupling from traditional markets and acting as a standalone asset class.
The breakout in $BTC could trigger more buying across altcoins, especially for large-cap names like $ETH and $SOL. If this trend holds, we could see $BTC test $72K-$73K soon, with $ETH eyeing $3,800 and $SOL pushing toward $190. The key here is that crypto is ignoring macro weakness, which could attract more capital into the space.
For traders, this is a moment to watch for breakouts and confirm support levels. If $BTC holds above $71K, expect more upside. Keep an eye on volume and momentum—this could be the start of a bigger move.
XRP just broke above $1.39, marking the end of its early-2026 downtrend. This breakout signals a potential shift in momentum for the $XRP market.
The 3% jump shows renewed buying interest after weeks of sideways movement. Traders are watching closely to see if this becomes a sustained trend or just a quick pop.
For now, the key level to watch is $1.39. If $XRP holds above it, we could see more upside. If it fails, expect a retest of recent lows.
MoonPay just launched AI-powered crypto agents that use Ledger hardware wallets for key security. This means your private keys never touch the internet, cutting down hacks and phishing risks big time.
For traders, this is a signal that security is getting smarter. If AI agents can manage trades and assets without exposing keys, it could boost confidence in automated tools. That might push more capital into DeFi and trading bots.
Ledger’s involvement also adds trust. Hardware wallets are the gold standard for safety, so pairing them with AI could set a new bar for secure trading. Watch for more platforms to follow this model if adoption grows.
ADA is set for a sharp decline as price rejects the critical 2962 resistance level in this ongoing bear market.
Trading Plan Short ADA
Entry: 2962 on rejection
SL: 3000
TP: 2428
TP: 2283
TP: 2100
The ADAUSD pair has been entrenched in a downtrend with 2962 previously acting as support, now turned resistance. A failed retest here confirms selling pressure remains dominant, likely accelerating the move toward the sequential downside targets based on prior support zones.
XLE is setting up for a bullish continuation with strong fib support in play
Trading Plan Long XLE
Entry: $58.21 SL: $57.00 TP: $59.84 TP: $62.47
Energy is building a base with a rising trendline and higher lows, consolidating at the 0.618 fib zone around $57.40. As energy bids in while tech sells off, this healthy pause suggests accumulation and a break above $58.21 could trigger a move toward the 1.618 and 2.618 targets.
Oil prices hitting $100 a barrel could shake up the crypto market in unexpected ways. Higher energy costs mean mining operations, especially those using fossil fuels, face increased expenses. This could lead to higher $BTC transaction fees and slower processing times if miners struggle to stay profitable.
For traders, this is a reminder that Bitcoin’s energy use is still tied to real-world resources. If mining becomes less efficient, it might push more miners toward renewable energy, which could be a long-term win for sustainability but a short-term cost pressure. Keep an eye on mining stocks and energy-linked cryptos if oil stays high.
XAU holding at $5,170 demand zone, set for a bullish bounce. Trading Plan Long XAU Entry: $5,170 area SL: $5,164 TP: $5,200 TP: $5,200 Oversold RSI at critical support indicates strong buying pressure, with a reclaim of $5,200 confirming bull control and further upside. Trade XAU here
Oil hitting $100 a barrel could shake up more than just energy markets—it might also have a ripple effect on Bitcoin. Higher oil prices often mean higher energy costs, and since Bitcoin mining is energy-intensive, miners could face tighter margins. If mining becomes less profitable, some may shut down older rigs, which could temporarily slow the network's hash rate.
But here's the twist: Bitcoin has a built-in difficulty adjustment. If fewer miners are online, the network becomes easier to mine, which can actually help smaller players stay profitable. That means the Bitcoin network could adapt without major disruptions, keeping things running smoothly.
For traders, this is more of a short-term watch than a panic signal. Energy price swings are normal, and Bitcoin has weathered similar cycles before. The key is to keep an eye on mining stocks and energy-linked cryptos, as they might move first if this trend continues.
Oil hitting $100 a barrel could shake things up for the Bitcoin network in ways traders might not expect. Energy costs are a big deal for Bitcoin mining, and higher oil prices usually mean higher electricity prices. If mining becomes more expensive, some miners might shut down, which could slow down the network temporarily.
On the flip side, this could also push more miners toward renewable energy sources, which are already a growing part of Bitcoin's energy mix. If oil-driven inflation heats up the economy, some investors might turn to Bitcoin as a hedge, boosting demand. That could lead to more network activity and higher transaction fees.
For now, keep an eye on mining profitability and energy trends. If oil stays high, it could create both challenges and opportunities for the Bitcoin network. Traders should watch for any shifts in hash rate or miner behavior as a signal of what’s coming next.
BTC is staring down a rejection at $74K with bears stepping in.
Trading Plan Short BTC
Entry: around $74K on rejection SL: above $74K on daily close TP: $72K TP: $69K
BTC failed to hold above $74K resistance, showing signs of exhaustion and likely to pull back to $72K first, with $69K as deeper support if selling pressure builds. A daily close above $74K would shatter this bearish setup and ignite a breakout to $76K.
Gold is leveraging key support levels for a bullish continuation play.
Trading Plan Long XAU
Entry: 5125 - 5110
SL: 5050
TP: 5225
TP: 5280
Price is consolidating within the 5125-5110 demand zone, backed by a major support buffer at 5090-5070. The trendline breakout pattern highlighted in the chart indicates building bullish momentum, and a sustained hold above this support should fuel a rise to the initial target at 5225, with further upside to 5280.
The SEC’s advisory group is now backing tokenized securities, signaling a major shift in how traditional assets could be traded on blockchain. This move could open the door for more regulated crypto products, giving traders a safer way to invest in tokenized stocks, bonds, and funds.
The group also outlined key safety measures to prevent fraud and ensure compliance. If implemented, this could boost institutional confidence and attract more capital into the crypto market. For traders, this means more legit investment options without the usual regulatory gray areas.
Still, the timeline remains unclear, and market impact depends on how fast these rules roll out. Keep an eye on $BTC and $ETH as sentiment could shift with any SEC updates. This could be a big step toward mainstream crypto adoption.
USOUSD is bullishly positioned after a corrective move, with price now consolidating in a key equilibrium zone that suggests an imminent liquidity sweep and subsequent reversal.
The market is compressing inside a range around $95 after a strong pullback, indicating consolidation before the next trend. A liquidity sweep below current levels is likely to trap bears and trigger a bullish reversal, making the current zone an optimal entry point for long positions anticipating the ensuing upside move.
Bitcoin is holding steady at $70,000 despite a rough day for traditional markets. Oil prices are surging, and credit concerns are shaking up stocks, but crypto is showing resilience. This could signal that traders are seeing Bitcoin as a safe haven amid the chaos.
The $70,000 level is key—if it holds, it might attract more buyers looking for stability. A break below could trigger a sell-off, but for now, Bitcoin is proving its strength. Keep an eye on oil prices and credit news, as they could still impact crypto sentiment.
For traders, this is a moment to watch closely. If Bitcoin stays above $70,000, it could be a sign of strength in a volatile market. Stay tuned for updates and be ready to act if the trend shifts. , ,
The U.S. Senate just voted to ban Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) from being used in a new housing bill. This move signals growing political resistance to government-controlled digital money. It’s a big deal for crypto traders because it shows how regulators are thinking about digital assets.
If the bill moves forward, it could slow down any plans for a U.S. CBDC. That might give more room for decentralized coins like $BTC and $ETH to grow without government competition. On the flip side, it could also create more uncertainty around crypto regulations in the long run.
The bill still has to pass the House, and that’s where things could get tricky. If it fails there, the CBDC ban won’t happen, and the debate will continue. For now, traders should watch how this plays out—it could affect market sentiment, especially for coins tied to government policy.