余生穿越牛熊

This round of the rebound is officially over. I shorted BTC from 82k, but missed the chance to hold my position and ride the wave down. The downtrend is pretty clear now, and I expect the global investment market to crash in the second half of the year. #BTC

I know many are still waiting for BTC to hit 50k or 60k, but this is definitely not the bottom. During the last bear market, I trusted my gut and placed an order at 15555, buying at the absolute bottom. This time around, I'm doing the same and have set a buy order at 38888, ready to dive in hard during the panic and scoop up those bloody cheap chips.

I'm pinning this tweet to let time prove it. In the next round, let's all achieve a leap in class and financial freedom, and show those who looked down on you what’s up. $BTC

Created a Binance group, the speed of losing contact has increased, currently this is the only group

群链接点这

You can definitely feel that the crypto scene has completely entered a trash market in the second half of the year. All the communities, big and small, are basically dead; nobody's chatting about the market, nobody's analyzing projects, it's all about sports events. Here’s a heartfelt piece of advice for everyone: stay away from sports betting.

Betting on sports is even more unreliable than crypto contracts. At first, they say to just play around, but you can't control your emotions. In a blink, you could be deep in it, losing tens of thousands in a night. This kind of play puts retail traders at a natural disadvantage, with win rates absurdly low—it's just throwing money away.

Bitcoin is still looking bearish, and it's likely we'll see a long period of sideways action and gradual declines, wearing down everyone's patience, before we finally get hit with a deep spike down. Only then will this bear market be considered truly over. The days of sitting on the sidelines, watching and waiting, are indeed torturous; anxiety, boredom, and internal conflict are the norm. Recently, I've been taking advantage of the poor market conditions to adjust my physical health because if I wait until the market turns around to make money and then find my body can't keep up, it would be a total loss. #BTC

A word for my brothers who are losing money: always believe in Bitcoin.

Lastly, a huge thanks to Binance for the Dragon Boat Festival gift pack—it’s high-end and stylish. Luckily, it’s delivered by SF Express; otherwise, handling such a big package back home would be quite a hassle.

Bear market, bear market, bear market! No bottom in sight, don’t think about double-dipping with longs and shorts. Hold your shorts like a king in a palace, don't gamble on a bounce. Wait for the US stocks to lose steam, then global assets are bound to tank. #BTC $BTC

Finally took some profit on the short position I've been holding, but I'm not satisfied yet. 83k is definitely the peak for this rebound; I'm going to hold on and think about closing the position before summer. Don't ask me how low it will drop; I just know it's going down. I don't know where it'll end up, but I'm waiting for a panic sell-off to prepare for exiting.

Lately, folks in the group have been saying that there are no new players entering the crypto space. Personally, I prefer bear markets; they allow for reckless bottom fishing on panic sell-offs without worrying about being stuck for too long. That's why the second half of the year is my stage. When Bitcoin starts to pump, naturally, new traders will come in to take the bag. #BTC $BTC

#BTC has been shorting for over half a month, constantly adjusting the average price, and finally starting to take profits.

Let's see how much we can earn before summer break; I'm already itching to go out and enjoy. $BTC

The bullish expectations for Trump's visit to China are about to materialize, and at this position, I'm definitely going short. Given how the market has moved, I honestly don't believe it can just shoot up mindlessly. Since I started positioning my short orders in late April, it's been a wild ride. I rarely trade futures, but I've been holding this position for almost half a month, and it's been quite the grind.

Also, keep an eye on the Fed chair transition this month; historically, whenever there's a change in the Fed chair, the market tends to take a nosedive. With global assets surging right now, a pullback is inevitable, so I'm firmly bearish above 80k. #BTC

This run on Bitcoin has been climbing from a bottom of 60k for three months, like a bulldozer steadily pushing up. There hasn't been a bit of a pullback; it's hard to even raise my cost basis. I think we’re nearing the top, ready to short it down. Just hoping for one last spike up to finish off that final bullish trap, and then this bull trend will pretty much be over.

Started shorting at 78k at the end of April, and I’ve given away quite a bit in funding fees. I've been gradually raising my entry price, planning to reevaluate at 83k to possibly add a little more. This wicked market maker has barely any liquidity coming in, and there are too many bears; they’ve managed to create a massive bull market. Let’s wrap this up already.

Also, there’s news today to keep an eye on: Strategy, which holds 820k Bitcoin, has announced for the first time that they plan to actively sell some coins. This won’t happen right away; it’s likely all in the cards for later this year.

Lately, the Bitcoin market has really wrecked people's mental state. I opened a short near 78300, rode the rollercoaster a few times, getting tossed back and forth. Today, I just couldn't take it anymore and closed half my position; the fees have been negative the whole time, and it feels like the bears are piling up. If it dares to push back above 80k later, I'm definitely adding to my short position on Bitcoin. Right now, I'm just following the market makers' rhythm to ride the waves, raising my entry price.

I see it as a bearish downtrend; it will only bounce but won't change that downtrend. So whenever it tries to rally, I'm definitely going short. I'm only using a small portion of my capital for contracts, just trying to make some pocket money for living expenses, and I'm content with that. All my big funds should be reserved for Bitcoin spot trades.

Lastly, a sincere piece of advice to all my fellow contract traders: we're not machines, and there will always be emotional days; it's impossible to never make mistakes. You can consistently profit ten times, a hundred times, but if you take a heavy hit just once, you could go to zero, and that's game over. Small bets are for fun, but big bets can lead to ruin, so trade within your means and protect your capital. #BTC $BTC

Yo! Binance Square finally supports third-party input methods. The default Apple keyboard is too clunky to use; I recommend everyone try out Doubao input method.

Eight years lost 40 million, a young man's rise led to great misfortune.

Last night I was chatting with a friend. At 25 he made a fortune in e-commerce, peaking at over 40 million in cash. Now at 33, he has divorced his wife and owes over a million in debts. He feels hopeless and is contemplating burning charcoal, but I can't offer any help. I can only advise him not to do anything foolish and hope he can take a step back and make a comeback.

I haven't deleted our chat records, and I looked back. I reminded him as early as 2021 not to get involved with contracts again; this stuff can really drag a person into the abyss. I didn't expect that five years later, my words would come true.

I'm recording this here to keep myself alert and also hope it serves as a reminder to those who see it: don't wait until you're at a dead end to regret.

The current market is really boring; the groups that used to chat enthusiastically have also started to quiet down slowly. The market has clearly entered a deep bear phase, and Bitcoin has hardly fluctuated. I remember it was like this in 2022 as well; history is always remarkably similar. This year is definitely a year to go all in and change your fate, so be brave when opportunities arise.

Additionally, there's another piece of news worth noting: Greenlane Holdings, which is listed on NASDAQ and is a related financial entity of BERA, recently announced that its board has approved a $2 million stock buyback plan. At the same time, the company released its annual financial report, disclosing that it has recently increased its holdings of 7.5 million BERA tokens. As of April 7, 2026, the total holdings have risen to 77.9 million tokens, accounting for about 32% of the current circulating supply of BERA. #BERA has gone through such a long period of consolidation, and the market makers have been quietly accumulating. When the market reverses, it will surely soar, making it suitable for long-term ambush.

200,000 U is already prepared, ready to go all in when the panic selling hits.

Recently, Binance has launched its new AI feature. If you have time, you can go experience it; the entry is located in the top left corner of the homepage under messages.

Previously, most exchanges' AI capabilities were limited to Q&A, at most helping you check market conditions or explain concepts, but this time, after Binance's upgrade, the changes are really significant: the AI can now directly execute operations, interact across modules, and complete a whole trading process.

It is based on the OpenClaw open-source ecosystem, supporting integration with mainstream large models like ChatGPT, Claude, Tongyi Qianwen, and Kimi. It’s no longer just a simple way to “ask about market conditions”; it can genuinely arrange tasks with a single sentence.

For example, these practical features are very intuitive:
1. Directly set strategies using natural language, like “Help me monitor ETH, buy automatically if it drops below $2000, sell when it rises to $2500, and set a stop loss at 2%,” and it will take effect immediately.
2. Automatically monitor the market, place orders, and cancel orders; it can operate on spot, perpetual contracts, and leverage.
3. On-chain data and centralized platform data are interconnected, making it very convenient to check positions, large transfers, contract risks, and project audit reports.
4. The security of funds is also well-managed; the AI uses independent sub-accounts + dedicated APIs, with only trading permissions, no withdrawal capabilities, and controllable risks.

The most genuine feeling from using it is: in the past, doing quantitative trading required writing code, setting up servers, and repeatedly tuning strategies. Now, you can just open the app and say a few sentences to run automated strategies. For retail investors who usually don’t have time to monitor the market and don’t want to write code, AI Pro can be seen as truly decentralizing institutional-level tools to ordinary users. #币安AiPro

After six years in the circle, I have met quite a few friends in the cryptocurrency space. I always thought that most people around me were relatively stable; even if they lost money, it wouldn't be too outrageous. Everyone has their own investment logic and ways to achieve long-term profits. #BTC

It wasn't until today that I truly realized that there are indeed many people losing money, even losing enough to not have their principal to recover. We are all adults, and we must be responsible for our families and ourselves. Don't get carried away in the heat of the moment and go all in; definitely don't touch contracts.

I am quite lucky that I have managed to keep a good rhythm these past two years. After a big loss last year, I directly liquidated my positions and took a break for a few months to adjust my state. In February this year, I re-entered the market, made a big profit, and then paused trading to avoid being swayed by emotions. Of course, this also wouldn't have been possible without the help of friends. I hope everyone can survive this round of the bear market winter; our opportunity will definitely come.

The deep bear has already arrived, trapping all of you. After breaking below 60,000, the next consolidation range will be the bottom. The bottom will hover for three months before another plunge. Get your USDT ready and go all in. #BTC

There is no bottom, no bottom, no bottom, important things are said three times. Many people see that Bitcoin has not broken 60,000 for a long time and have begun to be unable to resist taking action. I advise you to hold your hands first, patiently read my words, and then decide whether to buy or not.

First, let's talk about the timeline. Bitcoin has dropped from the peak of 126,000 on October 7th last year, and it has only been half a year. Think about it yourself, a complete washing cycle, how can it end so quickly? There are still a large number of people in the market trapped at high positions, who have not cut their losses at all, and the chips have not been exchanged sufficiently, how can it possibly see the bottom? To be honest, if by October this year, Bitcoin can remain stable in this range and not create new lows, then I would consider building some bottom positions myself, but now? Let's forget it.

Secondly, if you calculate the decline, you will understand. From 126,000 to over 60,000 now, it is just a halving, how far is that? Looking back at previous bull markets, which time did not drop over 70% before seeing the bottom? At the peak of every bull market, there are people shouting "eternal bull market", but what happened? Wasn't there a time when everyone cried for help? Why do we think this time is different?

Finally, let's take a look at the overall environment. How chaotic the world situation is, I don't need to say much, right? U.S. stocks are still hanging at high positions, and have not adjusted properly. In an unstable environment, can Bitcoin stand alone? To take a step back, even if 60,000 is really the bottom, remember that before a bull market arrives, there will definitely be a false breakdown to wash out those who are eager to bottom-fish. So really, don't be anxious, there will definitely be opportunities.

Using a table shared by a group friend, everyone can take a look. #BTC

I刷到好多人说张雪峰心脏骤停，真心希望人没事。以前还挺喜欢看他的视频的，我高中没毕业，压根没有考研的需求，却也连着刷了他好多内容，不光学到不少实用的东西，也慢慢看清了这个社会。

再说我自己，今年是本命年，从去年开始，身体就一直在给我发警告，明显能感觉到大不如从前。最直观的就是新陈代谢变慢，稍微吃点东西就消化不良，还犯过一次痛风，后来又去做了肠胃镜，查出轻微肠胃炎。

也是从那时候起，我才开始关注自己的身体。毕竟是一家之主，整个家的担子都在我身上，不敢再马虎。最近入手了一辆自行车，白天骑个十来公里，晚上再出门散步两小时，日子过得踏实又舒服，也能明显感觉到身体在慢慢变好。

其实我也知道，币圈里熬夜盯盘、半夜失眠的人太多了。真心劝大家多关注自己的身体健康，身体一旦发出预警，千万别不当回事。现在本来就是币圈的垃圾时间，没必要一直盯着盘面，多抽点时间陪陪家人孩子，也可以出门旅游散散心，释放一下积攒已久的压力。#BTC

The uncle in the lottery shop, does he look like you when you're looking at K-line charts? For the vast majority of retail investors, staring at K-line charts every day is of no use. Instead of spending that time, you could spend more time with your family and kids, rather than fixating on the K-line charts all day long.

There are also many people who can't control their hands, constantly thinking about opening orders. In fact, the current market is very simple; in a bear market, just short at the highs, but of course, it's not mindless shorting. You can take a look at the article I wrote a few days ago, using small amounts of capital to trial and error, making sure to set stop-losses and take-profits. I tried a total of three times, and the third time I still ended up shorting at the highest point. Then I closed the position in three batches, opening 0.5 of a Bitcoin and making over 2000 U.

Trading is actually quite simple. If you learn to stay in cash, you will outperform most people. For instance, the current Bitcoin is at 68500; you can just watch it. Do you really have to play with it? You don't know if it will rise or fall, so I'll just watch. If it goes up, I'll short it; if it goes down, I won't care. Once it shows signs of panic selling, I'll buy the spot. Can you tell me how to lose money like this? #BTC $BTC

The waterfall occurred, all short positions have been closed, waiting for panic buying in the spot market, don't act yet. $BTC

At 2 AM tonight, the Federal Reserve will announce the interest rate decision, most likely no increase or decrease. At 2:30, Powell will speak. I'm worried about a spike upwards, so I’ll take half of the profits first and leave the rest untouched.

The overall direction is still bearish, waiting for the next panic sell-off, then I can go all in on the spot to play. The next target is 5 million, let's go!