九 头 鸟
654 Posts
九 头 鸟
Square Verified+五年韭菜，风里雨里摸爬滚打，不定时分享行情看法，手续费自动返20%邀请码 ：JTN999 钱包30%邀请码：JTN666
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Over the years of getting hit in the market, I've learned:
1. Always respect the market; whatever direction it takes is the right one. Don't get too attached or subjective, or you'll easily trick yourself.
2. In trading, technical analysis is the least valuable. Personal mindset and position management are the hardest and require the most restraint and control.
3. Avoid going short at support levels and going long at resistance levels; most of the time, this can help you dodge losses.
4. You can go heavier in trades when the market is highly certain or the probability is in your favor, but never go all-in.
5. When the market is uncertain, be casual about opening positions; the likelihood of getting hit is greater than making money.
6. Don't get cocky during winning streaks, thinking you're a genius trader. And don't lose confidence during losing streaks; take a moment to reflect, analyze, and reset.
7. Before every trade, plan it out. Think about how much you might lose on this trade before considering how much you want to gain.
8. That's all for now; I'll add more later. If anyone has good experiences from getting hit, feel free to share in the comments. Let's grow together and get rich together!!
1. Always respect the market; whatever direction it takes is the right one. Don't get too attached or subjective, or you'll easily trick yourself.
2. In trading, technical analysis is the least valuable. Personal mindset and position management are the hardest and require the most restraint and control.
3. Avoid going short at support levels and going long at resistance levels; most of the time, this can help you dodge losses.
4. You can go heavier in trades when the market is highly certain or the probability is in your favor, but never go all-in.
5. When the market is uncertain, be casual about opening positions; the likelihood of getting hit is greater than making money.
6. Don't get cocky during winning streaks, thinking you're a genius trader. And don't lose confidence during losing streaks; take a moment to reflect, analyze, and reset.
7. Before every trade, plan it out. Think about how much you might lose on this trade before considering how much you want to gain.
8. That's all for now; I'll add more later. If anyone has good experiences from getting hit, feel free to share in the comments. Let's grow together and get rich together!!
PINNED
Today is 2026.3.10
Just fantasizing about the big cake, I personally think the big cake has bottomed out (or there might still be a needle that breaks 5.98W to recover) and will then approach around 12.6w. As for whether it will reach a new high, we will see at that time,
This statement may attract some criticism, because I believe the technical aspect has not yet entered a bear market. Yes, how could there be no bear market when it has dropped by half? If everyone reviews seriously, they will understand what I mean. This post will not be deleted, just my personal fantasy remarks, just take a look, no investment advice,
(Anyone who makes a subjective judgment about market trends is a charlatan, and I am that charlatan) Please go easy on the criticism! $BTC $ETH
Just fantasizing about the big cake, I personally think the big cake has bottomed out (or there might still be a needle that breaks 5.98W to recover) and will then approach around 12.6w. As for whether it will reach a new high, we will see at that time,
This statement may attract some criticism, because I believe the technical aspect has not yet entered a bear market. Yes, how could there be no bear market when it has dropped by half? If everyone reviews seriously, they will understand what I mean. This post will not be deleted, just my personal fantasy remarks, just take a look, no investment advice,
(Anyone who makes a subjective judgment about market trends is a charlatan, and I am that charlatan) Please go easy on the criticism! $BTC $ETH
I'm a minor, I’m applying for a refund, 😭😭😭
The short I called out in the chat last night at $SNDK just tanked by 400 bucks today,
Even though I bailed early, I still cashed in,
After all, it's still a strong bull trend, unlike those shitcoins that flip from bull to bear trends.
Even though I bailed early, I still cashed in,
After all, it's still a strong bull trend, unlike those shitcoins that flip from bull to bear trends.
Quick update: Just sharing my subjective thoughts (see chart below)
(Personal opinion only, for reference, not investment advice)
(Personal opinion only, for reference, not investment advice)
Quick update: BTC is also moving in a bearish channel, you guys can draw one yourself,
The midline of the channel is around 65000, with the lower line near 63000,
If it drops below 65000 and doesn’t bounce back quickly, we’re looking at the lower line, and if that breaks, we’re targeting the previous low at 59000!
(This is a bearish channel perspective, similar to the larger time frame channel)
Personally, I’m still bullish and looking to long, not short!!
(Personal opinion, for reference only, not investment advice!)
The midline of the channel is around 65000, with the lower line near 63000,
If it drops below 65000 and doesn’t bounce back quickly, we’re looking at the lower line, and if that breaks, we’re targeting the previous low at 59000!
(This is a bearish channel perspective, similar to the larger time frame channel)
Personally, I’m still bullish and looking to long, not short!!
(Personal opinion, for reference only, not investment advice!)
Last time the blind guy calculated the fate, he's been right about half of it so far,
let's leave the rest to time!
let's leave the rest to time!
九 头 鸟
·
--
Hey folks, I'm the Blind Trader, and here's my take on Bitcoin's fate,
Reason: We broke the trend line, plunging straight down by 10k, with no bounce in between, creating a vacuum zone. The market is oversold and we're seeing a corrective rebound, testing that broken trend line.
After hitting a new low, we typically expect panic selling to accelerate the drop, but instead, we've been grinding along and starting to bounce back. Coupled with the major support from my last post, it's the best scenario for a rebound and repair right here.
Corresponding to the daily candles, we're in the fifth leg of the drop. We can see it playing out as an ABC three-part move. For now, let's watch for the rebound. After this correction, if we dip again without hitting a new low, we can confirm a high probability of a bottom forming (the fifth leg may be complete, theoretically, a new low could be avoided).
If we can reclaim that trend line, I believe the market could be reversing.
Until we break out, it's all just my subjective musings!
P.S.: I still think Bitcoin has a high probability of hitting a bottom. As for whether it goes to 3k or 5k, that might be a topic for another time (currently stuck in long positions).
(This is just my personal view, for reference only, not investment advice.)
Reason: We broke the trend line, plunging straight down by 10k, with no bounce in between, creating a vacuum zone. The market is oversold and we're seeing a corrective rebound, testing that broken trend line.
After hitting a new low, we typically expect panic selling to accelerate the drop, but instead, we've been grinding along and starting to bounce back. Coupled with the major support from my last post, it's the best scenario for a rebound and repair right here.
Corresponding to the daily candles, we're in the fifth leg of the drop. We can see it playing out as an ABC three-part move. For now, let's watch for the rebound. After this correction, if we dip again without hitting a new low, we can confirm a high probability of a bottom forming (the fifth leg may be complete, theoretically, a new low could be avoided).
If we can reclaim that trend line, I believe the market could be reversing.
Until we break out, it's all just my subjective musings!
P.S.: I still think Bitcoin has a high probability of hitting a bottom. As for whether it goes to 3k or 5k, that might be a topic for another time (currently stuck in long positions).
(This is just my personal view, for reference only, not investment advice.)
$XAU
Just a quick tip on gold,
I'm looking to go long on gold in the 3800-3600 range,
preferably spot trading, and if you're using contracts, manage your position carefully without a stop loss. This area is likely to see a strong rebound (could be a temporary bottom).
Just a quick tip on gold,
I'm looking to go long on gold in the 3800-3600 range,
preferably spot trading, and if you're using contracts, manage your position carefully without a stop loss. This area is likely to see a strong rebound (could be a temporary bottom).
Hey folks, I'm the Blind Trader, and here's my take on Bitcoin's fate,
Reason: We broke the trend line, plunging straight down by 10k, with no bounce in between, creating a vacuum zone. The market is oversold and we're seeing a corrective rebound, testing that broken trend line.
After hitting a new low, we typically expect panic selling to accelerate the drop, but instead, we've been grinding along and starting to bounce back. Coupled with the major support from my last post, it's the best scenario for a rebound and repair right here.
Corresponding to the daily candles, we're in the fifth leg of the drop. We can see it playing out as an ABC three-part move. For now, let's watch for the rebound. After this correction, if we dip again without hitting a new low, we can confirm a high probability of a bottom forming (the fifth leg may be complete, theoretically, a new low could be avoided).
If we can reclaim that trend line, I believe the market could be reversing.
Until we break out, it's all just my subjective musings!
P.S.: I still think Bitcoin has a high probability of hitting a bottom. As for whether it goes to 3k or 5k, that might be a topic for another time (currently stuck in long positions).
(This is just my personal view, for reference only, not investment advice.)
Reason: We broke the trend line, plunging straight down by 10k, with no bounce in between, creating a vacuum zone. The market is oversold and we're seeing a corrective rebound, testing that broken trend line.
After hitting a new low, we typically expect panic selling to accelerate the drop, but instead, we've been grinding along and starting to bounce back. Coupled with the major support from my last post, it's the best scenario for a rebound and repair right here.
Corresponding to the daily candles, we're in the fifth leg of the drop. We can see it playing out as an ABC three-part move. For now, let's watch for the rebound. After this correction, if we dip again without hitting a new low, we can confirm a high probability of a bottom forming (the fifth leg may be complete, theoretically, a new low could be avoided).
If we can reclaim that trend line, I believe the market could be reversing.
Until we break out, it's all just my subjective musings!
P.S.: I still think Bitcoin has a high probability of hitting a bottom. As for whether it goes to 3k or 5k, that might be a topic for another time (currently stuck in long positions).
(This is just my personal view, for reference only, not investment advice.)
Did everyone hit the SanDisk? I definitely took a bite, peaked at 1861, 😂😂😂$SNDK
九 头 鸟
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Recently, everyone's been talking about the meme stocks,
but I only have one thought in mind,
shorting all the meme stocks.
The SanDisk at 1860 has been hanging in the air for a while!
(This is just my personal opinion, for reference only, not investment advice!)
but I only have one thought in mind,
shorting all the meme stocks.
The SanDisk at 1860 has been hanging in the air for a while!
(This is just my personal opinion, for reference only, not investment advice!)
Verified
Quick update: The weekly K is a matter of life and death,
I don't want to say much, just check the chart,
White weekly 200, with the lower band at 30k!
I don't want to say much, just check the chart,
White weekly 200, with the lower band at 30k!
I'm begging,
let's get that weekly close back to 67k, if not, 68k will do,
I'm pleading, I'm pleading, 🧎♀️🧎♀️🧎♀️😫😫😫
let's get that weekly close back to 67k, if not, 68k will do,
I'm pleading, I'm pleading, 🧎♀️🧎♀️🧎♀️😫😫😫
Quick Update:
Bitcoin has reached a critical level for survival (as shown in the weekly trendline below).
Here are three potential scenarios after my analysis:
👆. A bottom here could lead to a double bottom, starting a bounce targeting 8.8k.
✌. A new low around 58k could complete a 5-wave decline on the daily, with a weekly close above 67k, starting a bounce targeting 88k.
(Both of the above scenarios require a weekly close above 67k; if the weekly candle closes below that, all bulls might as well call it a day.)
🤟. This is the scenario the bears love; if the weekly closes below 67k, all bulls might as well pack it in. If we break down here, Bitcoin could be heading for the 30k range!!!
I'm a bull at heart, hoping the market follows the first two scenarios.
If we end up in the third scenario, I won't stubbornly hang on and will cut my losses; that's my current plan after reviewing the market. Hoping the market gives the bulls one more chance!
(This is just my personal opinion and should not be taken as investment advice!)
Bitcoin has reached a critical level for survival (as shown in the weekly trendline below).
Here are three potential scenarios after my analysis:
👆. A bottom here could lead to a double bottom, starting a bounce targeting 8.8k.
✌. A new low around 58k could complete a 5-wave decline on the daily, with a weekly close above 67k, starting a bounce targeting 88k.
(Both of the above scenarios require a weekly close above 67k; if the weekly candle closes below that, all bulls might as well call it a day.)
🤟. This is the scenario the bears love; if the weekly closes below 67k, all bulls might as well pack it in. If we break down here, Bitcoin could be heading for the 30k range!!!
I'm a bull at heart, hoping the market follows the first two scenarios.
If we end up in the third scenario, I won't stubbornly hang on and will cut my losses; that's my current plan after reviewing the market. Hoping the market gives the bulls one more chance!
(This is just my personal opinion and should not be taken as investment advice!)
The market's been on a steady downtrend,
when did Bitcoin get this weak?
I was wrong, I've already squared up!
(But I'm still gonna hold long positions 😭😭)
when did Bitcoin get this weak?
I was wrong, I've already squared up!
(But I'm still gonna hold long positions 😭😭)
Verified
Recently, everyone's been talking about the meme stocks,
but I only have one thought in mind,
shorting all the meme stocks.
The SanDisk at 1860 has been hanging in the air for a while!
(This is just my personal opinion, for reference only, not investment advice!)
but I only have one thought in mind,
shorting all the meme stocks.
The SanDisk at 1860 has been hanging in the air for a while!
(This is just my personal opinion, for reference only, not investment advice!)
Quick update: Keep fueling the bulls' faith, personally still bullish and leaning long. Hang in there, bull brothers! (See the candlestick chart for 12 o'clock)
I subjectively believe Bitcoin is headed for that 85k-88k range.
Last week's weekly close was above 75,500, so assuming we maintain that this week, the chances of hitting 85k just got stronger 😂😂
Currently, the key resistance remains at the previous 78,500 (daily chart).
Key support below is the historical level I mentioned at 70,888 (daily chart).
It's tough, but I will get through this!!
Bulls never bow down, never fear, always with tears of joy!
(This is my personal opinion, for reference only, not investment advice!)
I subjectively believe Bitcoin is headed for that 85k-88k range.
Last week's weekly close was above 75,500, so assuming we maintain that this week, the chances of hitting 85k just got stronger 😂😂
Currently, the key resistance remains at the previous 78,500 (daily chart).
Key support below is the historical level I mentioned at 70,888 (daily chart).
It's tough, but I will get through this!!
Bulls never bow down, never fear, always with tears of joy!
(This is my personal opinion, for reference only, not investment advice!)
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