暴富锦李

Now this market is really interesting. The Bitcoin short positions have shot up to more than double the long positions.

This is not trading at all; it’s purely a crowd of people queuing up to hand money to the big players. When the entire network is overwhelmingly bearish, that’s actually the most dangerous time. Those who understand know that this is the signal for the big players to take action.

This extreme position structure is the best fuel for a price surge. As long as the price makes a slight upward movement, the shorts will panic, leading to a chain reaction of liquidations that could send the price skyrocketing.

The funding rate has long been ridiculously negative, which is obviously a trap to lure shorts. Experienced traders can sense it immediately. The big players are probably watching the data in the background, enjoying themselves, just waiting for the right moment to wipe out this group of bears.

In this wave, are you ready to stubbornly follow the crowd and hold on, or are you quietly preparing to ambush, waiting to feast on the big players' gains?

Bitcoin was born in 2009, from being worthless to $0.003 in January 2010.
In 2013, it broke $1,000; in 2017, it surged to $20,000; in 2021, it reached $69,000; and in 2025, it will set a new record of $126,000.
In 17 years, the number of global holders exceeded 100 million, with individuals accounting for two-thirds.

The logic behind its success boils down to three points:

- A capped supply of 21 million, never to be exceeded
- Halving every four years, making it scarcer and scarcer
- Rising from a few cents to hundreds of thousands, with an increase of tens of millions of times, and the consensus growing larger

In my own view, without exaggeration or criticism:
For this cycle, $200,000-$250,000 is a very realistic peak;
Looking further ahead, $300,000-$500,000 is a common long-term target for institutions;
When the world truly regards it as digital gold, and central banks allocate it, reaching $1 million will not be a fantasy.

It is not air; it is an asset built on 17 years of consensus. The price may correct, but as long as scarcity and consensus remain, the peak will only continue to be refreshed.

#BTC $BTC

In the coming months, the market will definitely not be dull; it will only become more exciting.

Ethereum has entered the second half, with good news such as ETFs, ecosystem implementation, and deflation coming one after another. It will only get stronger from here, so hold steady and don't make rash moves; just patiently wait for the wind to come.

The main themes of the bull market are still those few: AI, gaming, MEME, public chains, staking, RWA. The rhythm of rotation hasn't changed; if you step into the right sector, there will be profits.

The overall direction is always upward, and after a big surge, a stabilization during the pullback is actually the best opportunity to enter. Don't be scared off by short-term fluctuations.

Absolutely avoid frequently changing positions; seasoned investors know that if you let go of the chips held at the bottom to chase rising prices and sell on dips, this is the easiest way to lose money in a bull market. When the right moment truly arrives, holding onto quality assets will ensure steady profits.

Ethereum is clearly strong now, and altcoins are gradually recovering. Once the big market arrives in Q4, altcoin season will definitely follow suit. Don't mess around; focus on the main themes and hold quality assets, as there will be plenty of opportunities ahead.

$BTC $ETH

After 11 days, Iran revealed its true cards, not missiles, but the accounts.

On March 10, a spokesperson for the Iranian Revolutionary Guard showcased their achievements: shooting down nearly 10 U.S. "THAAD" radars, taking out several MQ-9 "Reaper" drones and Israeli "Hermes" drones.

But what really gives the U.S. military headaches is that little thing called "Shahed-136."

My personal opinion:

1. This is a cost battle.

One Iranian "Shahed-136" costs between $20,000 to $50,000, using a civilian motorcycle engine.

To intercept it, the U.S. military spends $3 million to $4 million for one "Patriot" missile and $12 million for one "THAAD" missile.

With a cost ratio of 1:150, to put it bluntly: if you use a gold brick to swat a fly, the fly is fine, but you go bankrupt.

2. Production capacity is incomparable.

Iran produces 3,000 to 5,000 drones per month, with a stockpile of over 100,000 drones. The U.S. "Patriot" only produces 620 units a year.

After 6 days of war, the U.S. military burned $5.7 billion just on interception. Qatar's "Patriot" stock can only last 4 days, and Kuwait had to dig out old missiles from 1982 as an emergency measure.

3. The technology myth has been shattered.

The "Shahed" flies at a height of 30 to 60 meters, at a speed of 185 kilometers per hour, and is not easily detected by radar. Hundreds of them swarm in at once, overloading the air defense systems.

The U.S. military says the "destructive power exceeded expectations," which is already a euphemism.

4. Iran is doubling down.

Blocking the Strait of Hormuz, oil prices rose by 35% in a week. 27 U.S. military bases were simultaneously attacked, and even the Fifth Fleet command suffered.

Saudi Arabia and the UAE have started looking to China to buy laser air defense systems, and America's allies in the Middle East are beginning to feel anxious.

In conclusion:

I believe that this war, to this point, is not about whose missiles are more accurate, but whose money runs out first.

Iran's $50,000 drone has leveraged the U.S. military's defense line of hundreds of billions.

The rules of war have truly changed.

#BTC #ETH

I see many people saying that the U.S. is attacking Iran, and that our national fortune has come. In fact, this matter is most beneficial for Russia.

1. The rise in oil prices is good for Russia. During the Cold War, the Middle Eastern wars led to an oil crisis, causing oil prices to soar. Even the U.S. was suppressed by the Soviet Union, and the U.S. had no choice but to have Nixon visit China.

2. Weapons and ammunition are all being sent to the Middle East, which means there will be fewer weapons in Ukraine.

3. If the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz lasts more than a month, other countries will have no place to buy oil, and there is a high possibility that they will lift sanctions against Russia.

4. If Iran's military production capacity cannot keep up, external procurement will most likely seek to buy from Russia, making another profit.

$BTC $ETH

Let's be honest, the current market is all about short sellers crashing, capital fleeing, and altcoins lying flat, nothing fancy here.

BTC has directly hit around 68900, the previous sideways range has been smashed through, and long positions have been completely liquidated in one wave; shorts are now fully in control.
BTC Dominance has hit 59%, this is clear bloodsucking—money is all flowing into Bitcoin, funds in altcoins are either withdrawing to stablecoins or leaving the market entirely, not playing anymore.

Don't even think about an altcoin season now, it’s far too early.
With Bitcoin's dominance being so extreme, any slight rise in altcoins is basically a trap for naive long positions; liquidity has long since dried up, and there’s no one to take over.

A crucial reminder:
If the 66500 level can't hold, Bitcoin could drop 10%, and altcoins could directly fall 20%-30%; it’s pure suicide trying to catch falling knives now, the market is still deleveraging, and the more you bottom fish, the more you lose.

If you have altcoins, quickly adjust your stop-loss, don’t hold on stubbornly.
Now, with even a slight wind blowing, the market can plunge directly; it’s incredibly fragile, better to watch more and act less, preserving your capital is more important than anything else.

$BTC $ETH

Many people say: holding Bitcoin will make you rich.

But truly, very few can hold on to it.

In 2010, if you invested 1,000 yuan in Bitcoin and held on, it would be worth 10 billion.

It sounds ridiculously simple: just hold on.

But the real path is like this:
1,000 → 100,000 → 1,000,000 → 30,000 → 5,000,000 → 800,000 → 20,000,000 → 3,000,000 → 500,000,000 → 80,000,000 → 10 billion

After several rounds of skyrocketing and plummeting, with halving followed by halving,
the vast majority of people had already run away at any retracement in between.

The cruelest truth in the cryptocurrency world is not that you didn't buy it, but that you simply can't hold on.

Only those who can withstand all hellish fluctuations are worthy of the final returns.

#BTC #ETH

March 8th, the 10th day of the war.

The three countries voice their stance on the same day, each one tougher than the last.

The Iranian president said: Does the U.S. want us to 'surrender unconditionally'? That is a fantasy that should be taken to the grave.

The U.S. responded: Iran's apology is forced, and we will expand the scope of strikes.

Israel provided data: 7,500 bombs dropped in a week, 3,400 airstrikes, double that of the same period last year.

My judgment:

1. Numbers speak.

The 7,500 bombs from Israel aim to 'weaken Iran's missile capabilities.' But Iran was still launching missiles that day, oil refineries were still being bombed, and drones were still flying. The reports and reality do not match.

2. The U.S. says 'no ground troops will be sent,' but does not say it won’t strike.

'Considering expanding the scope of strikes,' this statement is more sleepless than deploying troops. Nuclear facilities? Energy infrastructure? No one knows.

3. Iran's logic is clear: tough on the U.S., soft on neighbors.

The president criticizes the U.S. while apologizing to neighboring countries, promising 'no attacks unless in self-defense.' This is to dismantle the U.S. camp; Saudi Arabia and the UAE, don't be cannon fodder.

4. Spillover has already occurred.

UAE civilians have died, the Iraqi embassy was bombed, and the Israeli military hit 170 targets in two days on the Lebanese front, causing significant casualties. This is not a 'localized conflict,' it is a regional fire.

5. The most shocking scene: 165 schoolgirls were attacked.

The price paid by civilians cannot be erased by anyone.

I believe that the strong statements from the U.S., Israel, and Iran on the same day, with the three countries making tough remarks, are for domestic consumption.

But missiles don’t have eyes, oil prices wait for no one, and wounded children will not forget.

A hard clash, who will soften first?

#BTC #ETH

Happy holiday to all goddesses
Wishing you to not be defined.
Cognitive awakening, addicted to making money. ​​​

Men looking for partners
20 years old: Never thought about finding a wife
25 years old: Not in a hurry to find a wife
28 years old: Pressured by family to find a wife
30 years old: Really want to find a wife
32 years old: Crazy about blind dates and looking for a wife
35 years old: Can accept a second marriage
40 years old: Can consider someone with children
45 years old: As long as she's a woman and alive, that's fine

Women looking for partners
20 years old: Want a handsome and tall husband
25 years old: Want a handsome and romantic husband
28 years old: Want a handsome and wealthy husband
30 years old: Want a mature and stable husband
32 years old: Want a husband with a stable income
35 years old: Want a successful husband
40 years old: Want a husband with a gentle personality
45 years old: As long as he's healthy, not greasy, and not balding, that's good

Look at where you are now, which stage are you in?

#BTC #ETH

🚨Latest news: The conflict between the US and Iran has entered its eighth day.
Situation of missile launches in Iran after 8 days of conflict:

🚀Ballistic missiles:
🔺Day 1 — 350
🔺Day 2 — 175
🔺Day 3 — 120
🔺Day 4 — 50
🔺Day 5 — 40
🔺Day 6 — 32
🔺Day 7 — 28
🔺Day 8 — 15

🛸Drone swarms:
♦️Day 1 — 294
♦️Day 2 — 541
♦️Day 3 — 200
♦️Day 4 — 85
♦️Day 5 — 45
♦️Day 6 — 38
♦️Day 7 — 30
♦️From Day 8 to Day 12

$BTC $ETH

Really, stop deceiving yourself. Thinking that after surviving the bear market, you can just lie back and make big money when the bull market comes is the biggest scam in this circle.

The bear market doesn't just grind experience; it completely wears down your mental state. You become fearful of drops, anxious about losses, and when you see a slight rebound, your first reaction is to think it's a trap. If you make a little profit, you panic, afraid of being caught again, and your courage has long been lost to the downturn.

When a real bull market finally goes wild, even holding good coins, when it rises by fifty percent, you get scared and quickly sell to secure your gains, only to watch it soar dozens or even hundreds of times afterward, left only to slap your thigh every day, and when you think about getting back in, you don't dare. The more it rises, the more anxious you become, completely missing out.

On the contrary, the newcomers who just entered, knowing nothing and having never lost, blindly buy and hold, end up accidentally reaping significant profits.

But the worse fate is that the money earned by luck cannot be held onto by newcomers at all. Once the bull turns into a bear, all previous gains are given back, and some even dare to invest more money or take loans to jump in, ultimately losing everything.

The scariest thing isn't losing money; it's that illusion of sudden wealth which will be etched in your bones. What was clearly luck feels like your own skill, leading you to become restless and unable to settle down in life, always thinking about gambling again for a comeback, and you end up completely ruined.

The harshest aspect of the crypto world is this: the bear market takes away your courage to make money, while the bull market gives you the illusion of being a stock god, and in the end, it's not just money that gets swallowed, but the mentality of a normal person.

$BTC $ETH

Iran's missile stock is running low.

It's not that there's no inventory, it's that there are no launch platforms.

After four days of bombing by the US and Israel, Iran's missile launch count dropped from 350 to 50. This is not a tactical adjustment; it's a capacity that has been destroyed.

First, the inventory is depleted.

Before the war, Iran had approximately 1,700 to 2,100 ballistic missiles in stock. Those that can hit Israel and US bases are about 1,000 to 1,200.

In four days, 695 ballistic missiles were launched. At this rate, the inventory can last at most a week.

Second, half of the launch vehicles have been destroyed.

The Israeli military claims to have destroyed about 300 of Iran's missile launchers. Iran has a total of 400 to 600 mobile launch platforms. Half are gone.

Having missiles but no vehicles to launch them is equivalent to zero.

Third, the production lines have also been bombed.

Iran's missile factories have a monthly production capacity of 150 to 200 missiles, which can expand to 450 during wartime.

However, US and Israeli B-2 bombers specifically target underground missile factories. Satellite photos show many missile facilities have been destroyed.

Even if produced, they cannot be transported. The US and Israel control the airspace, making transport lines sitting ducks.

Fourth, foreign aid is just a pipe dream.

Some say Russia has provided assistance. Upon checking, that was a contract signed in December 2025 for 500 million euros to buy 500 sets of "Willow" portable air defense missiles. Delivery is planned between 2027 and 2029.

Distant water cannot quench near fire. This is not a ballistic missile; it's an air defense missile. It doesn't help to replenish offensive capabilities.

The conclusion is simple:

Iran's missile retaliation has reached its limit. The inventory is depleted, launch platforms have been destroyed, production cannot keep up, and foreign aid is nowhere in sight.

In the coming days, if the US and Israel continue to bomb the remaining launch vehicles and factories, Iran's missile threat will basically be eliminated.

This war is a confrontation of industrial capacity and systems. Iran's foundation cannot withstand such high-intensity consumption.

#BTC #ETH

We can compare the military strength of Israel and Iran by breaking it down into several key dimensions:

1. Economy and Defense Foundation

- Size Comparison: Iran has an absolute advantage in territory area (1,645,000 vs 22,000), population (88,550,000 vs 9,770,000), and active military personnel (518,000 vs 169,000), indicating stronger war potential and human resource reserves.
- Quality and Investment: Israel's GDP (540.3 billion vs 401.3 billion), per capita GDP (54,000 vs 4,600), and military expenditure (46.5 billion vs about 30 billion) are higher, which means its equipment technology level and training quality are more advantageous.

2. Air Force Strength

- Generational Gap: Israel has 39 F-35I fifth-generation fighter jets, while Iran currently has no fifth-generation jets and only operates 24 Su-35S 4.5-generation jets, giving Israel a clear advantage in the contest for air supremacy.
- System Integrity: Israel has 12 ELM-2080 Falcon early warning aircraft, capable of forming a complete air warning and command system, while Iran currently has no early warning aircraft, resulting in a shortfall in battlefield situational awareness capabilities.
- Drones: Iran far surpasses Israel in the number of long-range drones (1,200-1,500 units) compared to Israel (200-300 units), which is an important means of asymmetric warfare.

3. Missile Power

- Quantity Advantage: Iran has far more ballistic and cruise missiles with a range of over 1,000 kilometers (over 800 each) than Israel (over 80-150 each), possessing stronger regional deterrence and saturation strike capabilities.
- Quality and Countermeasures: Israel has multi-layer missile defense systems such as the "Iron Dome" and "David's Sling," with stronger interception capabilities against missile attacks, while Iran's missile defense system is relatively weak.

 
Summary

- Israel: With technological generational differences and systematic combat capabilities, it has the upper hand in air force and precision strikes, making it more suitable for high-intensity, short-term local conflicts.
- Iran: Relying on a large missile arsenal and drone forces, it possesses stronger regional deterrence and prolonged warfare capabilities, representing a typical "asymmetric" advantage.

The differences in military structure between the two essentially reflect the two defense ideologies of "quality first" and "quantity first."

#BTC $ETH

The historical similarities are so striking, will it repeat???

The daily chart of BTC has some similarities in these two phases, both are essentially bearish flag patterns, except the first oscillation period lasted a bit longer, around fifty days, while the second pattern's oscillation period maintained around 30 days. Before continuing to decline, there will always be an upward pullback to entice more buyers, followed by an acceleration of the decline.

This movement needs to be noted; if it continues to oscillate in the near term, the daily indicators will be digested, as they currently lean towards bullish. Continuous oscillation will drain bullish momentum, so once the oscillation ends, it is highly likely to follow the first type of pattern, unless it breaks through the bearish flag pattern at 7.5w-7.8w in one go, which would invalidate it.

Otherwise, the probability of the bearish flag pattern being established is relatively high, which is why I warned to short after the accelerated rise. The current high point is almost identical to the first high point of the movement, and the pullback amplitude is basically around 22%. Moreover, given that we are currently in a state of war, how likely is it to continue rising under such circumstances? Additionally, Bitcoin's safe-haven attributes are not as strong as gold, so the longer the daily oscillation lasts, the more unfavorable it becomes for the bulls.

#BTC $BTC

How long does it take for people in different industries to save 1 million?

1. Security guard: Monthly salary 4000, approximately 20.83 years

2. Cleaner: Monthly salary 2500, approximately 33.33 years

3. Clerk: Monthly salary 3500, approximately 23.80 years

4. Factory worker: Monthly salary 4000, approximately 20.83 years

5. Teacher: Monthly salary 4500, approximately 18.51 years

6. Delivery person: Monthly salary 5000, approximately 16.66 years

7. Courier: Monthly salary 5500, approximately 15.15 years

8. Driver: Monthly salary 6000, approximately 13.88 years

9. Salesperson: Monthly salary 8000, approximately 9 years

10. University teacher: Monthly salary 15,000, approximately 5.55 years

11. Doctor: Monthly salary 9000, approximately 9.25 years

12. Programmer: Monthly salary 25,000, approximately 3.33 years

13. Self-employed: Monthly salary 20,000, approximately 4.16 years

14. Internet celebrity host: Monthly salary 100,000, approximately 1 year

15. Boss: Monthly salary 200,000, approximately 0.5 years

16. Web3 practitioner: A good level 1 meme

#BTC #ETH

Iran has really shown its strength this time, leaving Trump without a shred of anger!
The war has entered its sixth day, and surprisingly it has reached a peculiar turning point—if both sides stop now, both the U.S. and Iran can claim victory.

Trump killed Khamenei and destroyed part of the nuclear facilities, which is a tangible achievement. Iran, on the other hand, has proven that the country did not collapse after the supreme leader was beheaded; instead, it withstood the relentless bombardment of the world's strongest military forces and continued to fight back—surviving as a weaker nation is a victory in itself.

But Israel won’t allow a ceasefire. For them, missing out on Trump, a president who listens to them, will inevitably lead to future troubles. Netanyahu must seize this window of opportunity; as long as he refuses to back down, the U.S. will find it difficult to negotiate peace alone.

What happens next? The U.S. and Israel originally hoped for an internal upheaval in Iran, but the brutal bombings have incited national anger rather than widespread riots. Want to completely destroy Iran’s retaliatory capability? Iran's 16th, 17th, and 18th waves of strikes keep coming, utilizing high-speed drones traveling at 500 kilometers per hour for the first time, with missiles igniting tankers in the Indian Ocean to refuel U.S. forces.

What is truly critical is that this war has a highly personal nature—Trump and Netanyahu are fighting for political capital, and the public's tolerance is extremely low. As long as the war continues, with rising oil prices and civilian casualties, public opinion will increasingly turn against the two.

Iran's strategy is singular: drag it out. Drag it out until Trump's political resources are exhausted, drag it out until Israel's economy collapses, and the public runs to bomb shelters every day. Trump has stated he wants ground operations, but with his political resources, it is absolutely impossible to mobilize a large army to enter Iranian territory.

Without ground troops, it is hard to expect the Iranian regime to collapse. Iran has turned a war that was supposed to be a “quick victory through decapitation” into a war of endurance and willpower. After over 500 U.S. troops have died, Larijani's question hits hard: Is it now “America First” or “Israel First”?

#BTC $BTC

3.6 Market Hotspots:

1. After a secondary high, BTC has pulled back and is currently consolidating in a short-term demand zone. The price increase this week has largely been exhausted, and the potential for future rebounds is quite limited;

2. ETH's overall data is good, with this round of increase slightly higher than BTC, but the structure is not very stable, and during adjustments, it will also make deeper pullbacks;

3. Data: BlackRock has withdrawn 4,172 Bitcoins from Coinbase in the last 8 hours, approximately $2.96 billion;

4. Today's Fear and Greed Index has dropped to 18, still in a "extreme fear state";

5. The SEC has dropped all charges against Sun Yuchen, and Rainberry has paid $10 million to settle;

#BTC #ETH

In this life, doing these nine things is enough.

1. Make money, understand human nature, love your body.
Money can solve 90% of problems, and the remaining 10% can also be alleviated.
See through human nature, take fewer detours.
Don't exchange health for external things.
Self-discipline, learning, and exercise are the best habits in life.
2. Stop anxiety and internal struggles.
Things will smooth out if given time, and people will be at peace if they take their time.
There's no need to rush to solve everything; allow everything to happen.
Yourself is always more important than others, and the present is always the most important.
3. Improve cognition.
Take what you have and exchange it for what you want.
Without action, you will always be a spectator.
Relying on physical strength makes life increasingly tiring, while relying on wisdom makes life increasingly wealthy.
Breaking through from within is growth; breaking through from without is pressure.
Do more and think less.
4. Hard work leads to luck.
Not doing = 0%, trying = 20%, doing well = 60%, working hard = 80%, doing your best = 100%.
The greatest regret is not failure, but “I could have done it.”
If it’s not tough now, it will be tougher later.
5. Extreme self-discipline.
Where you spend your time, that’s where you’ll reap your rewards.
If you don’t want to do it today, that’s why you do it; this is long-termism.
Self-control is the power to control your life.
6. Stop pretending to be generous.
When people are poor, even their shadows will leave them.
Making money is a skill; saving money is a talent.
Don’t empty your pockets for the sake of appearances.
7. Always prioritize your feelings.
Don’t live to satisfy others, and don’t compromise yourself to please others.
How others see you is their business.
Pleasing yourself is the top priority.
8. Be a brave person.
Accept regrets, accept losses, accept imperfection.
Decisively say goodbye to unworthy people and things; avoid internal struggles.
Move forward, don’t look back.
9. The best talent scout is the hardworking you.
Birds are not afraid of broken branches because they trust their wings.
Relying on yourself gives you the most confidence.
The books you’ve read, the paths you’ve walked, and the efforts you’ve made will eventually reward you.

$BTC #BTC