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If BTC doesn't make another leg down or have a long consolidation before effectively resuming the upward trend, then I'll start to believe in a cycle break due to increased institutional entry and new regulations.
For now, all the monthly indicators, even the Williams indicator, are signaling bullish. The monthly MACD hasn't confirmed the reversal to a bull market yet, but it remains bullish.
The overall movement is within the expected pattern; BTC rises, takes a breather, BNB and ETH rise, pause for a bit, Sol rises, accumulates, and then the other altcoins start to pump. So it's worth starting to look at which altcoin is promising to secure good prices before the upward move.
Always do your own analysis before deciding to buy or short.
DXY is on the same track as yesterday, and the BRL is hitting new lows... yeah, it's tough for those who wave the party flag and root against their own country... our shitcoin is still holding strong despite all this chaos
Alpha coins to keep an eye on in the next few hours: $SOON $PIEVERSE e $SENTIS
Pieverse is currently correcting on the shorter timeframes but still maintains a bullish structure on the higher timeframes.
Keep an eye on Soon and Sentis as they are confirming new highs, but it's better to wait for stronger confirmation on the 1h and 4h charts before making a buy.
Always do your own analysis before deciding to buy or short.
Crypto stocks are plummeting after President Trump rejected Iran's offer to end the U.S. blockade. Robinhood and Coinbase are leading the decline, with crude oil prices surging 6% 📉.
The move has sent shockwaves through the market, causing widespread concern among investors. The Strait of Hormuz is a critical waterway for oil trade, and the blockade's continuation is expected to have far-reaching consequences.
In the Brazilian early morning, when Asian markets opened, the markets reacted quite well, both the traditional ones and the cryptos.
After the US markets opened with the official start of Super Wednesday, everything crashed! It's likely the classic 'buy the rumor, sell the news'.
We also have the UAE leaving OPEC after almost 70 years. Truly, Trump will go down in history as the president who took the US out of the world's center. I believe this will be beneficial for future generations. Only time will tell.
BTC is still in a downtrend, reminding us that we're still in a bear market even if we're close to the bottom. For those looking at the long game, there's no reason to worry, just keep buying. For short-term traders, the opportunity is right there!
I'm still holding my buy order at 55k, although I find it very hard to reach that value.
Typically, sharp drops like this one are due to geopolitical interference. It seems that today’s dip was triggered by Trump’s refusal to engage in negotiations proposed by Iran. This refusal negatively impacted major US economic indices, and since capital is highly centralized, it also reflects on BTC. However, considering that the DXY hasn’t shown much movement so far, I believe there won't be significant impacts on BTC.
For now, we remain in a bear market, operating at or near the bottom. Since volume is still not increasing, further declines are expected, presenting great opportunities to snag some good prices.
So, don’t panic. A drop like this is nothing in crypto. And keep an eye on the charts to know the best time to buy.
Breaking the support at 77k, heading towards 74k, if this break confirms! If we drop below 74k, the next support level is at 71k, according to the 4-hour candlestick chart.
It's the weekend, and retail money is calling the shots in the market. With BTC holding steady in this channel between 77k - 79k, it's quite possible we might see more tests and even false breakouts at the 79k resistance level. But don't get too hyped, Sunday afternoon (UTC-3) is known for the market pulling back all the gains from Saturday. So trade with caution and don't get too excited about green candlesticks without support.
Always do your own analysis before deciding to buy or short.
When doing technical analysis, you need to know how to spot interferences and structural changes. Interferences are always explored by the current fundamental analysis, while structural changes, particularly in the crypto market as opposed to the traditional one, are identified solely by technical indicators.
Right now (04/23 - 14:40 Brasília), the market clearly shows a response to an interference, but without any structural change.
At the same time that the DXY made a quick climb, gold and crypto assets pulled back. I haven't looked into it, but surely some economic decision from the U.S. or maybe an irresponsible tweet from President Trump. Also, there might be some developments regarding the Strait of Hormuz. I'm not concerned about the reason, just the market's response.
Why does technical analysis indicate there hasn't been a structural change? The resistance at 79k was tested only once (typically, there are 3 tests before a breakout or retracement). Without a breakout, it's expected that sell orders in that range will get liquidated and a drop will follow.
The support at 77k is weak but still holding. Just like with the resistance, if there hasn't been a breakout, many buy orders are executed, pushing the price up or sideways. A stronger support level is at 71k. If a true breakout occurs at this level, then we can consider a reversal and sharper declines.
Remembering that since BTC is decentralized, it is expected to follow the trend indicated by the longer time frame charts, weekly and monthly, absorbing the interference without major losses.
Reposting my April 7th post for those who say technical analysis doesn't work.
That was the day the monthly MACD formed an empty bar. Since then, the king has only broken resistance and formed new supports, consolidating a new bullish channel.
That's why I insist: Want to make money in crypto? Study! Learn at least the basics of technical analysis. Don't blindly follow others' posts, make your own decisions!
Danny Zangrossi
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$BTC 71.476
After all, the monthly MACD of the king has begun to confirm the bottom. I will only be certain that it won't drop below 60k at this moment if the OBV falls to the levels of August/22.
I believe we will see yet another 5 months of this back and forth before resuming the rise.
Always do your own analyses before deciding to buy or sell
DXY is climbing, $XAU is dropping, and the BRL is sticking its tongue out and staying strong 😅
Yeah, the favorite shitcoin of Brazilians isn't really bothered by the dollar's movements! For those who like to invest in dollars, now's a prime time! Especially with it being an election year and all the geopolitical chaos, I don’t think this dip will last long.
The little boss is tired of going down, it seems. The monthly MACD is climbing, reinforcing the hypothesis that we've hit the bottom of this bear market. However, the volume isn't showing any signs of a parabolic rise anytime soon.
Honestly, I think it was a short drop for a bear market, and with the volume and key indicators still stagnating, it's quite possible we might see some good prices yet, but BTC at 60k? I don't think so, maybe only during a crazy crash like on 10/10.
For those already taking profits, remember that rockets have a downside. Set aside some of those gains to have cash ready for the next dip.
If you're still looking to buy, anything below 126k is a steal, because one thing's for sure: BTC always surpasses its last peak by about 2x. Still, the cheaper, the better for profits. So hang tight.
To maintain the upward trend in the coming days, BTC needs to break the resistance at 79500k.
Support has now risen to 76k, with a hefty volume of orders in that range, so I would wait for a test of that price before making further purchases.
Always do your own analysis before deciding to buy or sell.
The king wants to test the resistance of 76500! Stay alert, remembering that on Sundays the drops at the end of the day (Brazil) are common, around the opening time of the Asian markets.
Always conduct your own analysis before deciding to buy or sell