懂币猫

#美股 #BTC

In the last two months, I’ve barely made any gains from crypto contracts
But I'm still sitting at the top of the annual profit leaderboard
What does that indicate?

It’s pretty straightforward; it shows that making money in crypto is tough right now
Other crypto traders aren’t raking it in either, or else I wouldn't still be in first place

For half a year, I've been urging everyone in my streams to trade U.S. stocks
I spend almost half of each stream discussing U.S. stocks, gold, and silver
When I first started streaming, I even shared my returns from U.S. stocks, and they were on par with my crypto performance

Through my streams and trading teachings, I’ve always hoped everyone could earn more and walk the right trading path with solid trading principles. Recently, I’ve noticed there are hardly any discussions about U.S. stocks in the plaza; such a great market is getting little attention, and it honestly feels disheartening

As traders, when the conditions are right, we must avoid being dogmatic and be more adaptable
I often say that traders should be like water: flexible and variable, not like an old pigeon
At the same time, we need to learn to allocate our funds wisely, pursuing the easier profits in more active markets

Here's how I allocate my positions and time:
Crypto 40%
U.S. Stocks 40%
A-shares 5%
Gold 5%
Some treasure fund 4% (barely takes time, buy and forget)
Wealth management 3% (barely takes time, buy and forget)
Others 3% (barely takes time, buy and forget)

Now, all major platforms have U.S. stock contracts available, just fire up your exchange app
Head into the contract section
In the dropdown menu, find #TradFi , which is filled with recently popular U.S. stock contracts

Brothers, explore more and don’t let yourselves get trapped in an information cocoon

Back on top of the annual leaderboard

#SNDK

In this dip in the US stock market, SanDisk is holding strong, storage remains the hottest sector.

When the market dips, it's best to stack up on the strongest assets.

#美股 #SNDK #ASML

What are strong stocks?

They are the ones where the index stabilizes and individual stocks pump up, doubling in value.

What about bottom-fishing stocks? Well, those are definitely the weak stocks.

Stocks showing strong performance during this dip

#SNDK
#LRCX
#AMAT
#ASML
#INTC

#纳指 #QQQ #美股

Currently, the AAII sentiment survey shows that the bearish sentiment in the US stock market has reached 47.7%, close to the extreme of 52% during the March 18 US-Iran conflict. We all know what happened after the war ended.

With no changes in the AI fundamentals, the bad news has been fully priced in, and everyone knows which way to move, right?
So, let's just treat this AAII as a contrarian indicator; when everyone is extremely bearish, a market reversal is right around the corner.

#QQQ #美股

I used AI to backtest nearly 3000 trading days of Nasdaq data, and the results are pretty interesting.

The more it dips, the better the entry points for later gains.
So every time there’s a pullback, it’s a solid buying opportunity.

Don’t fear the dips; even though we’ve been sharing a lot of horror stories about June, it’s only during the worst sentiment that we get the chance to snag quality assets at a discount.

Even if you missed the previous rally in the US stock market and saw BTC take a dive, there's no need to stress. Missed opportunities are just that—missed. The market offers countless chances every year, and you could say they are practically infinite. What you need to focus on is surviving in the market first. Grab your one or two opportunities; sometimes, all it takes is a couple of chances to hit it big in life.

Investing is inherently a low-probability game. Those who nail a hundred-bagger stock or coin are like finding a needle in a haystack. It's either pure luck, and the stars align for you, or you have some specialized skills and resources. Regular folks shouldn't be betting on that. Even when they make the right buy, they often can't hold onto it.

However, if you can align with the global investment trends, understand where the money is flowing, and identify the hot sectors, you won't stray from the main trends or fall into the devaluation trap. That way, you can achieve stable returns on your investments.

#cpi #USStocks

As expected, we saw an early dip yesterday.

#TSM

TSMC's performance is off the charts.
How can we even compare this AI rally to the internet bubble of 2000?
It's not even close.

In the 2000 internet bubble, how many companies had real income? How many companies had such a massive user base?

Korean exchanges have activated circuit breakers, halting KOSPI algo trading.

Is Samsung Hynix about to onboard? 🥰🥰

#CPO

Last night's CPO hot take, I see it differently. The hype cycle for AI should be stretched out over time; pumping it all at once isn't great for maximizing our trading profits.

Now the CPO hype is getting pushed back. Prices shot up too fast, and I'm hesitant to buy. If they say it won't really explode until two years later, that's not a good sign, right?

Last night, SemiAnalysis reported that:
NVIDIA's native single-ended 800VDC mass production has been pushed to after 2028, not the earlier ramp the market was hoping for. The ±400VDC rollout is still on track, mainly for hyperscaler self-developed ASIC deployments, and sidecar orders are expected to land in the second half of 2026, ramping up production in 2027.

Rubin Ultra / Kyber related sidecar volume was originally expected to ramp up sooner, but now that's pushed to the 2028 window.

CPO expectations have been downgraded: the 2027 scale-up CPO shipment expectations seem overly optimistic, and SemiAnalysis believes these will be delayed compared to current Street expectations.

The real large-scale scale-up CPO ramp might not happen until 2029, instead of what the market is shouting about for 2027/2028.

Doesn't this tell us that the CPO hype lifecycle has been extended?

#纳指 #美股

Last night, the Nasdaq dipped over 4 points—pure bliss, I’m pumped!

This was due to the CPI leak.
Have we already fallen below the safety net?

Many strong stocks barely budged, added them to my watchlist; when the Nasdaq rebounds, they’re gonna moon double time!

First Law of Finance: Avoid crowded places

Second Law: When you post your trades, expect some pullbacks 🥶🥶

Stop waiting around
The altcoin season is over for good

#MRVL

MRVL has once again broken through 300 pre-market, and Marvell's rebound during this dip has been too strong; this kind of asset is definitely a key focus. It doesn't fall with the market and often rallies even harder after a market rebound.

Not long after Huang Renxun's call, on June 22, Marvell will be added to the S&P 500 index, and all we've seen lately are bullish signals.

I see no changes in his core logic, plus the expectations are really strong. As the AI cluster expands, the demand for optical interconnect will grow even quicker. The larger the Pod, the more MoE and reasoning models we have.

The data exchange between chips is becoming more intense, which means the network bandwidth and the value of optical links each chip needs will increase, so computing power could double, and the demand for optical interconnect might not just double.

This trend is already reflected in the management's guidance: Marvell's FY27 interconnect growth expectation has been raised from about +30% to +50%, and now it's up to over +70%.

At the same time, the company also stated that FY28 interconnect will still outpace cloud capex growth. Continuous upward revisions indicate that the demand for AI optical interconnect is stronger than the company's initial expectations.

It's all bullish, so I'm holding on for now.

#BTC #定投计划

Bitcoin is now ready for a long-term dollar-cost averaging strategy.

Starting this DCA plan now is a surefire move to cash in during the next bull run.