Why are they masters? That is the result of thousands of trials and tribulations. How much time, energy and cost have you spent on learning how to trade? If you have spent nothing or very little, then don't ask why others can get results but you can't. I practiced trading for more than eight hours a day. It took two hours a day to find targets. I researched four projects at the fastest every day, and sometimes I could only finish one. The whole team researched all the currencies of Binance and OK very clearly, which took more than half a year. Most people would be numb after just one look at the Google spreadsheet. With so much information, we think the basic information is clear at a glance. Next, we will study the K-line pattern, market maker methods, project structure and operation. This is also the reason why currencies are not shared often. The reason is simple. Olympic gold medalists only have a few minutes or one chance to go on stage, but they have studied and practiced hard for more than ten years! When you see people sharing coins, your cognition is not at the same frequency and level as theirs, and you can't even tell whether the person sharing is an expert or not. So many people often suffer a lot in this regard. They call it paying a lot of tuition fees, but in fact, they have wasted their hard-earned money. They wanted to change their fate in the coin circle, but ended up becoming fuel for others.
Learning is important, and practice is more important. There is a gap in the middle that needs to be crossed. It is very difficult to integrate knowledge and practice.
My confidence comes from the fact that the entire team has been deeply involved in the coin circle for many years and has experienced the trials and tribulations of the coin circle, and the confidence brought by continuous learning and practice. That's why I say that each coin has its own temper, because in my heart they are not just a string of letters but people with life and feelings.
Only when it is late at night and everyone is asleep can you calm down. The live broadcast during this period has touched me deeply and made me more determined to continue the training and education in the cryptocurrency circle. At the beginning, my friend said that you have such a high degree, such a good experience, and you can stand up after two ups and downs. Why don’t you do training and education? When we entered the cryptocurrency circle, we wanted to find a place to learn, but there was no place. It was all about fomo, cx, and getting rich overnight. K-line technology can be learned from stocks, but it needs to be transformed into the cryptocurrency circle. Investment research is a dimensionality reduction attack in the secondary level, and there are also on-chain data, strategies, and position management. Share your sad past and the pitfalls of the cryptocurrency circle, so that more people can benefit and avoid detours. A science and engineering man like me doesn’t like to socialize. I like to do research by myself. To put it nicely, it’s called professionalism, and to put it bluntly, it’s called social phobia! I was so nervous when I went to Binance live broadcast that I not only stuttered but also almost said the wrong thing. Later, I tried a few times before I slowly got better. I was like they didn’t know me anyway, and they wouldn’t remember what I said.
Last night, Bitcoin was bouncing around like crazy, clearly the whales were manipulating the market. Ahead of the Fed meeting, they pumped it up, knowing the bad news would hit hard and drop it lower – classic chop and harvest situation.
Right now, it looks like if Bitcoin can hold steady around 640, there’s a chance for a bounce back to 647 and 654.
During last night’s live stream analyzing the Fed meeting, I had already anticipated the negative sentiment. The meeting details were actually within a controllable range and didn’t exceed expectations too much. For the sake of Trump’s midterm elections, even if it doesn’t pump, it can only consolidate without crashing – that’s what Trump wants, so we just ride the trend.
WLD didn’t hit my prediction of above 0.75, so when it retraced, I bailed out completely. I’m not playing that game anymore; let it pump however it wants. If it bounces above 0.5, I’ll take a small profit – I’m not greedy.
Now, I’m keeping a close eye on Hype, ZEC, and JTO to see if there are any money-making opportunities.
I’ve already closed my short position on Bitcoin because I think a rebound is coming. Thank goodness I made some cash; it looks like the rain in Chongqing really does bring wealth! $BTC $ZEC $WLD @CZ @Richard Teng @Yi He
Duan Yongping on SpaceX: If they can rake in $150 billion a year, a $3 trillion valuation isn't far-fetched. Honestly, I'm on the same page as Duan Yongping, don't take it out of context thinking $3 trillion is realistic! Making $150 billion a year is what’s realistic; right now, they’re in the red, and that’s just absurd. Sure, the US stock market has buyback mechanisms, but if they’re not in the black, what buybacks? Are they gonna take out loans for buybacks? Even though the big seven do such shady moves, interest rates are high now, they were low before. $SPCX
Today was hectic, didn’t really keep an eye on the charts. I knew Bitcoin was heading for a short at 658. When I got back to the office and did my analysis, the best entry points were actually at 665 and 662, but I missed those.
Chongqing’s heavy rain brought in profits, really gotta thank the heavens for the gains.
Bitcoin has already broken the channel and hasn’t bounced back. The support levels are at 644 and 636, but I personally predict that they won’t hold. There’s a strong probability of a significant drop, especially with the Fed possibly leaning hawkish. Although Japan's rate hike didn’t show strong results at the time, there’s definitely an undercurrent of funds flowing back in! I think there are still variables with the US-Iran situation.
Tonight at 2:30 AM, there will be a rate meeting; I might go live then to chat with everyone.
The weather in Chongqing is all over the place, raining every few days, and it's not hot at all—totally unlike a furnace. Rain means cash flow, so I'm hoping my short position on Bitcoin brings in some gains.
WLD broke through 0.63, I calculated that it could go up to around 0.75-0.82. Once it hits that range, I'm preparing to cash out entirely and not play with it anymore. HYPE hit a new high again, and it could potentially reach 79 to 85, and a bit higher at 90. I was initially planning to short HYPE yesterday, but something felt off, so I held back. Looks like my instincts were spot on; if I had entered a short, I would definitely be taking a loss now. I stick to my principle of not entering when I'm unsure—at least I haven't lost money. In the financial market, not losing money and preserving your capital puts you ahead of many. I believe JTO is the next HYPE; I entered yesterday, and today it's continuing to pump, hitting 0.85—probably due to some HYPE-driven momentum too.
Analysis is for reference only and should not be considered investment advice. Please do your own research and trade at your own risk. $WLD $HYPE $JTO
I've been mulling this over for a while now, and Bitcoin has hit my target zone around 670. That's the highest I see it going, but if it pushes further, I can only see it reaching around 861. I'm really tempted to short Bitcoin since Japan is about to raise interest rates, and a drop is inevitable—perfect for cashing in.
As long as the interest rate hike in Japan is a sure thing, shorting makes sense. Statistically, in the four times Japan raised rates, it dropped over 2% in the three days leading up to it, and post-hike, the decline accelerated.
That one time on 2025.1.24 was strange; it actually increased after the hike and then crashed, hitting 107 before plummeting to 780.
I'm conflicted. My analysis suggests a drop is coming, Bitcoin has hit the right levels, and the news aligns perfectly for a short. Yet, I'm hesitant. I'm worried because this situation is quite unusual. Everyone knows about the rate hike, and last week and this Monday showed no signs of a downturn. Could it be that institutions are already cashing out, especially after Bitcoin fell from over 70k to 591? Are they just waiting to pay off loans post-hike? I think that’s the only way to make sense of it; the previous crash broke the pattern of not dropping before a rate hike.
I'm still holding back, feeling indecisive and restless. I won't jump in just yet; if I miss out on the drop, I’ll accept it.
Let’s see if my prediction of $SPCX holds true. I believe there will be a rise in the days after the opening, given the hardcore loyal fans who pushed it from 150 to 195. The power of retail investors globally is still strong. Personally, I'm not bullish on SPCX, so I'll wait and watch. We're still in an upward phase. Once the timing's right, I’ll short it, estimating around 200 should be good. If it really shoots up to 300-500, I’ll take the loss; there's nothing to be done—Ma is indeed a powerhouse in driving sales, and I have to admit, people around the world are eager to dive in, not fearing losses because they’re buying into a belief.
Recently, AI bots have started to increasingly engage in wallet trading or transfers. This aligns with my earlier bullish view on the power of token anchor points, and it reinforces my optimism about the future of crypto.
MicroStrategy added 1,587 BTC; there's really no need to panic over their sell-off. I even wrote an article on this topic that you can check out. It's just a business move—stay calm. It's just that the whales are using this to manipulate the market.
I think the US and Iran's truce is just temporary; on the 19th, a memorandum will be signed, with an agreement expected in 60 days. Plus, Israel is still in conflict. Trump’s compromise is just a tactic for the midterms. I anticipate that after the midterms, Trump will pivot back to confronting Iran, as he needs to regain face after any setbacks.
Despite this recent pump, we still need to be cautious about the risks of Japan's interest rate hikes. The Fed's hawkish stance, based on past data analysis, seems quite likely. Although there's a potential upside from the US-Iran truce, we must remain vigilant against incoming risks. The 7.4 trillion clear bill might not pass, so we need to stay alert.
Who will be the next hype? I think it will be $JTO . I was bullish on that hype but missed the boat—can't blame anyone but myself. No matter how much is going on, making profits is what matters. This time, I won't miss out; I'm diving in with a portion and will buy the dip if it drops. I trust my research skills, and I believe JTO will be the next hype. If it pumps, there could be 10-20x upside. Of course, if BTC drops, JTO might fall back to 0.2-0.3, and I'm prepared for that. I’ll closely follow JTO's movements; as long as it meets my expectations, I’m all in! (A friendly reminder: JTO is just my personal analysis and should not be taken as investment advice. Don’t get too carried away. There’s always a risk of projects failing or going to zero. I’m only responsible for my own investments. Please do your own research and manage your own risks.)
After a close watch on the charts, I gave up on the short positions for hype and zec, as they moved in a way I can't make sense of. Not sure when I can short again; the altcoins are moving erratically.
WLD is nearing its previous high, so I've taken some profits. If it continues to rise, I'll scale out more. Yesterday, the students were watching XPL, which also pumped, and I saw it coming but didn’t enter.
BTC has followed my prediction and hit around 670, but I didn't short it. There's a resistance zone at 675-681 that needs to be tested to see if it breaks up; shorting there would have a higher success rate, but I’m uncertain if it will reach that range.
I think Bitcoin's gonna push to 670, so I'm looking to offload my WLD around 0.6317. Just not sure if the whales will give me that chance.
Bitcoin's been holding steady, which signals a strong chance for that 670 breakout. It’s barely pulling back. The US market tonight might be the catalyst for the jump, and after watching for this long, I'm not entering any shorts.
I was thinking about hyping in at 64 for a short and at 473 for ZEC, but I'm holding off. I'll wait for them to move a bit more before making a move. If Bitcoin continues to rally, I’ll sell my spot position on it.
Waiting for the 8 o'clock close. Looking back, it basically aligns with my prediction. I already closed my long position on BTC at 644, but I'm still holding onto my spot.
Yesterday, while having dinner with my students, we discussed the market. I mentioned that from the indicators, it looks like a drop is coming, but I feel like it’s going to rally. The resistance at 655 is pretty much hit today, and yesterday's support was at 636. As long as that holds, we should see an upward movement.
The US-Iran reconciliation was expected and served as fuel for this pump. Now, we'll see if it pushes toward 660-760. Just keeping an eye out for shorting opportunities.
Last night, I also opened a short position and exited at 637, while still holding onto my longs. I saw the hype at 62, but the price spiked too quickly for me to enter short, so I'm just observing for now.
Trading requires making predictions ahead of time. If you predict correctly, you feast; if not, you face the consequences. Analyzing the aftermath to find reasons is pointless if you missed out or lost money. That falls into the category of summarizing and reviewing trades!
It’s not on me; it’s the successful traders from Chongqing treating us. I’m pretty stoked, hoping they all rake in profits—better yet, I hope they out-earn me in the future.
During the meal, I kept emphasizing the importance of staying grounded, keeping calm, taking notes, and being consistent. That’s even more rewarding than just my own gains.
Stay true to the roots, never shill calls, don’t hold positions, avoid rebates, and steer clear of contracts. I’m committed to being a guiding light in the crypto space, nurturing more skilled traders while maintaining my own profitability.
Always respect the market; don’t think you’re a genius trader just because you’re in the green, and don’t feel like a failure if you end up in the red.
The chart below is the analysis from a student. I looked it over and I feel it aligns well with my predictions, so I’m sharing it.
Overall, the probability of Bitcoin (大饼) going up this time is quite high, especially since Iran is looking to wrap things up which is bullish and will likely push the price up. Then in September, Xi Jinping is set to visit the US, and during that time, Trump will be ramping up for the midterms, which will undoubtedly be another boost. So, from June to September, we can expect Trump to be relatively quiet, focusing more on positive news, all aimed at gaining leverage for the negotiations in September. Based on this reasoning, I see this rally hitting around 670, but I don’t foresee it reaching 70,000. If we hit 670 and then see a dip back to the 50s for Bitcoin, I believe that would be the best opportunity to build a position, roughly around the 540 mark.
In summary, I see this rally peaking at 670, followed by a drop to around 540. We could see 670 by June, and if things move quickly, we might hit 540 for Bitcoin by the end of June or early July. This analysis is for reference only; please do your own due diligence, as investing carries risks and you are responsible for your own gains or losses.
I've already entered long positions in Bitcoin and spot trading. I’m also ready to short if it pumps up to around 63! And don’t forget about SPCX!
$WLD So it really pumped, but not by much. My prediction to stay long was spot on; I've loaded up on spot, now it's just a waiting game to see how high it can go. It's in the hands of the whales. I can't guess how much the whales will pump it. I can only rely on my experience and technical analysis, along with fundamental research, to make predictions. Whether it hits my target is beyond my control.
Crypto-爱币斯坦
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I've been wanting to short wld but missed a few chances. Just now, I took a closer look at the project's progress and tech side, and suddenly realized this thing might be priming for a pump! The first accumulation phase is over, and we’re starting the second accumulation! Instantly, I gave up on the idea of going short.
Then I started thinking about the connection between wld and OpenAI, especially since OpenAI is also looking to IPO. Could they be setting the stage for a narrative pump?! I haven’t seen Ultraman come out to call trades recently; could it be that he’ll make an appearance soon?!
Damn, the market maker’s tactics are just like back in the day. If Ultraman does come out with a call, then my foresight was spot on.
I remember when we got into this coin around 1 oil, and it shot up to 11 oil. I’m too familiar with the market maker's tactics! I’m not sure if my prediction is right, so I’ll start with some spot trading; going short is off the table now. Then I’ll open a 5x long contract! I usually don’t open low-leverage contracts; it’s something Xian taught me. He said, 'If you see it’s going to pump, buy spot while also grabbing some low-leverage long contracts to potentially amplify your position.' I think that's the way to go.
The learning never stops!
I’ll post three charts for you to ponder. I won’t go into the research content; there’s a lot and it’s complex, and many crypto friends won’t get it.