محمد غزوان

The stop was temporary, but the journey is still ongoing.

Today I return to publishing free educational content, believing that true knowledge is only complete when it is shared. If knowledge stays trapped with its owner, it weakens over time; but when it is shared, it grows and remains alive in people’s minds.

So every piece of information that is passed on may open a new door to understanding, and every shared experience may save others years of trial and error.

We will start with the basics, then progress step by step toward a deeper understanding of markets, capital management, and opportunity analysis.

Welcome back once again, and we will begin a new page—insha’Allah.

When the Prophet ﷺ came to Medina, he found the Jews fasting on ‘Ashura’. He asked them about it, and they said: “This is a day on which Allah saved Moses and his people from Pharaoh.”
He ﷺ said: “We are more entitled to Moses than you,” so he fasted it and ordered that it be fasted.

And the best thing is to differ from the Jews by adding a day with it.

The Prophet ﷺ said:
“If I remain until the next year, I will surely fast the ninth.”
Meaning: fasting the ninth along with ‘Ashura’. Therefore, it is recommended that you fast:

• 9th and 10th of Muharram
• or 10th and 11th if you miss the ninth

Thus, fasting ‘Ashura’ is done according to his most complete guidance: the 10th together with the 9th, or the 11th for one who missed the 9th.

We ask Allah not to deprive us of the reward of ‘Ashura’, and to write for us forgiveness for what has preceded.

In the name of Allah, we kick off Muharram with our first trade

🔗 LINK trade

🔸 Entry points: 7.750, 7.590
🔸 Stop loss below: 7.430

🏹 Targets (from the average 7.670):
🪞 7.800 (1.7%+)
🪞 7.930 (3.4%+)
🪞 8.090 (5.5%+)
🪞 8.250 (7.6%+)
👑 Preference: About 5% and fully short the position

🔸 Risk management: It's preferable to split the buy across two entry points because the profit and loss counter is calculated from the entry average, providing flexibility and reducing psychological pressure while managing the trade.

🔸 The scenario remains valid according to my analysis unless there are two consecutive 4-hour closes below the stop loss level.

Trading strictly in the spot market.
Responses to trade management questions are limited, and alerts for the trade will be provided in real-time, God willing.

I read a verse:

﴿O you who have believed, do not betray Allah and the Messenger or betray your trusts while you know [the consequence].﴾
Al-Anfal: 27

Betrayal of trust isn't always big and obvious… sometimes it's the tiny things we overlook daily.

Simple examples:

1) In words
[Spreading someone's words without verifying them]
[Or adding details to make it 'sound stronger']
➡️ That's a betrayal of the trust in words.

2) In time
[Wasting your time on pointless stuff](social media for hours without a goal)
[Or being late for a commitment without reason]
➡️ Time is a trust you have.

3) In work or study
[Cheating on an assignment or exam]
[Or delivering work below your capability when you can do better]
➡️ This is a betrayal of professional trust.

4) In secrets
[A person confided in you with private words, then you share them with others]
➡️ This is breaking the trust.

5) In the eyes and heart
[Looking at forbidden or harmful things]
[Or constantly thinking about what weakens you and pulls you away from the right path]
➡️ This is a trust towards yourself.

6) In relationships
[Showing the opposite of what’s inside you and dealing deceitfully]
➡️ This is also a form of dishonesty.

In conclusion:
What seems simple… could actually be a deficiency in trust.

And every time a person acts without honesty or shirks responsibility, it weakens the trust in their heart without them noticing.
May Allah grant us wellness and protect us, and provide us with His mercy.

Yeah, the plan has taken a different route so far, with a gap of about 17% from the expected path.
But technically speaking, if the price closes an hour below 65254, the nearest sequence becomes:
73754 → 65254 → 56754

On the flip side, if it doesn't close an hour below 65254, the bounce scenario remains:
73754 → 82254 → 90754

Between 73754 and the current price, I only see one technical hiccup, and only God knows.

In two sentences:
• 65254 is the key; breaking it = downtrend
• Not breaking it = uptrend.

Honestly, the first phase hasn't delivered the results we were aiming for as expected. If I were to rate it today, I wouldn't give it more than 1%.

So this analysis comes with a more realistic outlook, hoping we can read the next phase more accurately and correct some of the reasons that affected the previous estimate.

We will continue to observe and post updates in real time at key levels, until the direction becomes clearer, and it shows which of the two sequences will be closer to the next price movement.

Only God knows.

We went through a month filled with easing, thank God, and here are the results for May.

Starting from the 17th of the lunar month, we will officially adopt a fixed day each lunar month as a point for closing and opening monthly reports, so the results will be published regularly according to this system.

✅ Strong trades: 5
☑️ Good trades: 2
🟡 Neutral trades: 2
⚠️ Tough trades: 2
🟰 Total trades: 11

Trades that hit their final target:

• PIVX +15%
• VANA +9%
• GPS +9%
• ZAMA +9%
• HOLO 1 +8%

Trades that achieved a rise close to the final target:

• ENSO +7%
• SAHARA +7%

(Continuing until the final target is achieved, even if it extends to the blessed month of Muharram)

Medium-performing trades:

• HOLO 2 (setup)
Achieved +4%, currently trading below the stop-loss at 9%

• HOLO 3
Visited the stop level of HOLO 2 achieving +4%, and is now trading below the stop level at 9% from the HOLO 2 trade

Trades that didn't succeed:

• LA
Note: Hit the stop-loss and collapsed, then later returned to visit 3 out of 4 targets, yet it doesn't count among the successful trades.

• DASH

According to the risk management clarifications, it is treated with adherence to the first and final decision: exit at the entry point.

It may not look attractive on the surface, but I remain optimistic about it.

As updates continue, it is treated as an open investment follow-up.

Status: So far, it is trading about 20% below the entry point, and we will give it an additional week to see if it can recover.

Thank God, first and last, and the best is yet to come.

The market is under heavy pressure, and thank God our last trades are both stable and on the rise.
And I pray that every analyst is in this position or even better.

You're right about the responsibility of the follower, but what's more crucial than the success rate itself is risk management and how we handle losses, because that's what determines our longevity in the market.

DASH
On its way to $46, God willing.

🟧 HOLO Trade

🔸 Entry: 0.0720, 0.0712
🔸 Stop Loss: 0.0698

🎯 Targets (based on average 0.0716):
1• 0.0730 (2.0%+)
2• 0.0745 (4.1%+)
3• 0.0758 (5.9%+)
4• 0.0768 (7.3%+)
5• 0.0773 (8.0%+)
⚜️ Harvest Point: 0.0758 [% 5.9+]

🔸 A daily close below 0.0698 weakens the scenario, with targets remaining until further notice.

For any inquiries or advice regarding trade management, I will respond to you — Insha'Allah.

Important Note: We focus on the spot market only, as it is more suitable for our Islamic regulations and for risk management to achieve a more stable investment.

The market is still clearly in a selling pressure phase, but so far there's a crucial resistance level we're watching closely:
72,302
As long as this level holds and isn't broken, we still have a real shot at the price bouncing back above the level we discussed earlier in stage one: 78,478.

If the price manages to reclaim and hold above 78,478,
this means the picture could start to shift again,
and from there we begin a completely different phase from what we're seeing now.

We have a logical and comfortable condition tied to the weekly close, and with about 3 days left until the end, if the price — by the will of the Almighty — can close above the level of 72,302, even by a small margin, this gives us a clear advantage.
In this case, the negativity gradually eases, and we start thinking with a profit-taking mentality instead of fear.

As for breaking the 72,302 barrier,
that opens the path more easily towards the 69,000 areas.
This scenario is something we don't want right now.

To be honest,

our play here isn't based on a day or two's movement,
nor on chasing every up and down.

We're approaching the market with a long-term mentality and we're in it for the long haul, God willing.

So, it’s not necessary to jump in and out with every movement,
sometimes having a mindset of both a trader and an investor can be a skill that serves you later, God willing.

Trust in God,
the market isn't read in a moment, but understood with patience and calm at critical areas.
And those who know how to wait understand the picture at the right time.

Brothers in faith,
Wishing you all the best,

I pray that these blessed days mark the start of even better days, and may you feel gratitude for what you have been asking Allah for, as He has answered your prayers. God willing.

Over time, there will be trades that follow the same pattern as SAHARA, but digitally.

And for those who think there’s some "mess" with the numbers, it’s not a mess, but rather a different approach from what most people are used to in the market.

This pattern is based on seriousness and discipline, aiming for relatively lower profits in exchange for a much higher level of security, God willing.

All you need to do is manage your entry appropriately; whether by splitting your positions or going in all at once from the suggested average, which depends on your experience, conviction, and understanding of market movement.

In the end, no matter what the outcome is later, the most important details remain:

Stability, calmness, and not rushing to judge the picture before it’s complete.

And let’s not forget that we are all just means; the results are in God’s hands.

What we see before us drives us to act in a way that pleases God, not just based on our own desires.

We ask God for good success and a favorable outcome always.

Privacy isn't an optional extra... it's a fundamental human right.

It's not just a trend that changes with time, nor a luxury that can be granted or taken away based on circumstances.
It's the first line of defense for human dignity and freedom.

Knowing what’s being said about you... doesn’t mean others should have access to everything about you.
And just because technology can reach out... doesn’t mean it should.

Privacy can't be bought, bartered, or managed as a privilege.
It's a fixed right, even if it annoys some systems or confuses certain interests.

In an age where surveillance is accelerating and data is piling up, privacy becomes even more critical, not less.

In the end:
If privacy falls... a part of freedom falls too.

We reiterate: privacy is not a luxury
but a human right that must always be defended.

Solid stability might pave the way smoothly towards the final target.

🔸 Any daily close below the price is seen as a temporary correction, while the target remains within the plan.

📌 The DASH giveaway was published without including risk management clarification, which is a first in the launch, and hopefully it's for the best.

✅ Accumulating at the current prices seems suitable for those who manage their capital well and stick to their limits without exceeding them.

And may God grant success.