Just because Trump posted that he has achieved results in negotiations with Iran and paused military attacks on Iran;
The crypto market surged as if injected with adrenaline; the current crypto market purely fluctuates based on Trump's rhetoric, has become distorted
2057 is set for long positions on Ethereum, T2 take profit at 2206, fell short by 7.19 for complete profit, continue holding; on the contrary, 2164 is set for short positions, currently at a floating loss
ETH is within a parallel descending wedge channel, 2159 is both resistance and horizontal support, a back-and-forth game between bulls and bears
According to the oscillating trend of the wedge channel, even if ETH breaks through 2159, it will retrace at a profit above the trend line at 2209, hence focusing on short positions
Without any positions, one can short at 2209, with a stop loss at 2268, aiming for 2150 and 2089 while looking towards 2025
Set up a low long position at 2025, with a stop loss at 1960, targeting 2090 and 2143
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3.23 Market Overview: The Arrow Piercing the Clouds Arrives
What? Why? Beautiful!
What happened in a quarter of an hour during dinner?
An arrow piercing the clouds comes to meet thousands of troops and horses
Retail investors see hope for the bulls again, igniting dreams in their hearts
The market gave a signal: go long if it breaks the trend line, go short if it falls below the trend line
Hesitating will lead to missed opportunities; knowing and acting as one, admit mistakes if wrong; take the first step to make great progress
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BTC opened this morning with a candlestick showing upper and lower shadows, and the weekly candle closed as a large bearish candle with a long upper shadow.
BTC is in a descending wedge channel structure, currently supported at 6.75;
Resistance above is at 6.9 and 7.05, while support below is at 6.75 and 6.62.
The cost is +, even if it breaks through the descending trendline, it is still a false breakout to lure buyers;
The current market is stable on the right side, if it breaks below the 6.75 support, short one position, defend at 6.87, target 6.62, risk-reward ratio 1:1.
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3.22 Weekend Evening Market Overview: ETH Long Position Profit of 66 Points
ETH ambushed a long position at 2057 yesterday, reaching a profit of 66 points at T1, maintaining the cost defense at T2.
The ETH daily chart shows that the highs and lows have been gradually decreasing for 5 consecutive days, with a fee of - and a clear advantage for the bears, shorting on rallies.
The 4H chart faces a retest of the 2057 support again; if it holds, a rebound back to around 2159 is expected, and if broken, Ethereum will revert to a 1 starting point.
The liquidation map shows that the long positions with high leverage and concentrated chips are also around 2057.6; thus, it seems whether it retests 2057 to explode the long positions and then rebound to 2111 to explode the short positions, forming a long-short Double Kill.
If you have no positions, you can lightly ambush a long position at 2057 on the left side, defending at 1991, with targets around 2123 and 2164;
On the left side, ambush a short at 2159, defending at 2234, with targets around 2084 and 2057.
On the right side, wait for the entity to break below 2057 to chase the shorts, defending at 2121, with targets around 1994 and 1911.
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3.22 Weekend Market Overview: BTC completes a bearish butterfly pattern
BTC opened this morning with a large bearish candlestick with upper and lower shadows
BTC pierced down to 6.9 this morning and then formed a rebound, closing at 1H with a solid bullish candlestick. The market during the day is expected to rebound to around 7.05;
BTC has completed a non-standard bearish butterfly pattern, with point D indicating the turning point for the market rebound;
Our long positions set on the left side of 6.9 are also in profit, we will continue to hold until our target is reached;
According to the butterfly profit-taking strategy, the levels are 382 and 618 of AD;
However, we entered long positions at 6.9, so we will adjust our profit-taking to our own levels of 7.03 and 7.15 for exiting
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3.21 Weekend Market Overview: Is 2159 a peak or an immediate resistance?
ETH faced resistance at 2376, consolidated and accumulated between 2345-2305, then panicked sold to 2098 before rebounding, finally consolidating around 2159 for nearly 2 days; this entire process is a replica of the Wyckoff method.
Is 2159 a huge mountain or the beginning of a second rebound? The operators have been accumulating near this level to seize liquidity from above and below; if the chips are enough, a rebound will take off, but if not, the operators will continue to oscillate downward.
A right-side entity breakout stabilizing above 2159 will trigger long positions, with a stop at 2089, targeting around 2239 and 2275;
Wait for a right-side entity breakout above 2159 before shorting again if it breaks down, with a stop at 2233, targeting around 2095 and 2057;
On the left side, ambush long positions at 2057, with a stop at 1991, targeting around 2123 and 2164;
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3.21 Weekend Morning Market Overview: Around 7.05, the 4H-1H Vegas channel is all resistance
BTC opened lower this morning with a long lower shadow and an actual bullish candle, with both bulls and bears battling back and forth
The market has not created much of a ripple, still oscillating tightly around the 7.05 level;
The 4H Vegas channel EMA144-169 resistance is just around 7.05, while there are signs of a MACD golden cross below the O-axis, breaking through to chase long, breaking down to follow the trend for short
The 1H Vegas channel EMA576-676 resistance is also around 7.05; at the same time, there is a small W bottom on the 1H, waiting for the right leg to unfold; the 15M is showing an ascending triangle structure
The box oscillation has not broken out, high selling and low buying, focusing on the middle position
On the left side, ambush long at 6.9, with a stop at 6.77, targets at 7.03 and around 7.15
On the left side, ambush short at 7.15, with a stop at 7.29, targets at 7.01 and around 6.9
On the right side, break and stabilize at 7.05 to follow the trend long, targets around 7.15; on the right side, break and fall back to 7.05 to follow the trend short, targets around 6.9
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3.20 Evening Market Overview: ETH right-side entry is more stable
Last night, set up long positions in the 2089-2057 range, just 10 points away; today during the day, there was an upward consolidation, waiting to see after the US stock market opens whether it continues to consolidate upward or faces resistance and pulls back again?
2164 has changed from previous support to resistance, touching it twice during the day without a substantial breakthrough; there is insufficient momentum for divergence between volume and price;
Left-side position at 2057 long, with a stop at 1991, targets at around 2123 and 2164;
Right-side waiting for a solid breakthrough and stabilization at 2164 to chase long, with a stop at 2089, targets at around 2239 and 2275;
Right-side wait for a breakthrough at 2164 and then a solid drop to go short, with a stop at 2233, targets around 2095 and 2057;
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Today's Fear and Greed Index is 32, BTC market share is 58.5%, ETH is 10.7%
As of now, there has been a net outflow of 1270 BTC for spot ETFs and a net outflow of 59580 ETH for spot trading.
In the last 24 hours, 103457 people were liquidated, with a liquidation amount of 303 million USD, long positions at 202 million, and short positions at 100 million.
From the liquidation map, the area around 7.16 is densely packed with high leverage for short positions, while 6.95-7.12 is densely packed with high leverage for long positions.
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Binance announces today's Alpha airdrop; the threshold requires a score of 240 or more to participate in the first-come, first-served purchase
The token and quantity have not been disclosed, according to Binance actuary calculations, 30U is accurate
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3.20 Morning Market Overview: BTC Daily Line Three Consecutive Reds
BTC closed with an upper and lower shadow entity red candle in the morning, starting three consecutive reds on the daily line
BTC market once again shows the familiar oscillation range of 7.15-6.9;
6.9 has repeatedly tested without breaking, evidently forming effective support;
7.05 is the 0.618 retracement from the high to low point within the range, also a horizontal watershed, serving as a point of support and resistance interchange; breaking through can continue to pursue long positions, conversely if it cannot break above, it may fall back to short positions;
7.15 is the upper resistance, the top of the box, the take-profit position for long is also the starting point for shorts
Left side ambush at 6.9 for long, defend at 6.77, targets at 7.03 and around 7.15
Left side ambush at 7.15 for short, defend at 7.29, targets at 7.01 and around 6.9
Right side breakthrough stabilizing at 7.05 to pursue long, targets around 7.15; right side breakthrough falling back to 7.05 to pursue short, targets around 6.9
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3.19 Evening Market Overview: ETH Multiple Tops Correction
ETH failed to reach the top at 2376 and began to correct after forming a multiple top structure at 2345; since the resistance cannot be broken, it can only continue to correct.
The 4H pullback support at 2164 has not been broken in an entity manner, you can observe the trend on the right side; if it breaks down in an entity manner, go short, or if it breaks down and fails to rebound above 2164, that is also a short signal.
2089-2057 forms an effective support range, while 2089 is the 0.618 of this rising trend, a good entry point for going long to capture a rebound, and it is also a position for reducing short positions.
Wait for a breakdown of 2164 to go short, or if it fails to rebound above 2164, go short; defend at 2234, with targets around 2094 and 2057.
For low long positions, ambush within the 2057-2089 range, defend at 1991, with targets around 2123 and 2182.
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3.19 Morning Market Overview: The Federal Reserve Keeps Interest Rates Unchanged BTC closed with a large bearish candle with upper and lower shadows this morning, marking two consecutive daily declines
At 2 AM today, the Federal Reserve announced that the interest rate range remains unchanged at 3.5%-3.75, with data indicating a 0% probability of rate cuts in April
BTC began to pull back after forming multiple tops at 7.47, with a rebound after testing effective support at 7.05 on the 4-hour chart; 7.38 is the 0.618 rebound from the pullback low
Although there are signs of a golden cross in the MACD, it is still below the zero axis; wait on the right side for a valid breakout above 7.15 to follow the trend for long positions, defending at 7.02, targeting around 7.28 and 7.38;
On the left side, set a short at 7.42, defending at 7.56, targeting around 7.28 and 7.19
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February PPI MoM Previous Value 0.5, Expected 0.3, Released 0.7, Bearish
February PPI YoY Previous Value 2.9, Expected 2.9, Released 3.4, Bearish
BTC breaks below the trend line, ETH breaks below effective support
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3.18 Market Overview: ETH is in a narrow range of fluctuations at #SEC澄清加密资产分类 $ETH
ETH is fluctuating in a narrow range between 2376-2268; 2305 is the 0.618 retracement from the bottom to the top of the range, and 2345 is the 0.618 retracement from the top to the bottom of the range.
During the Asian session, it is in a narrow horizontal consolidation between 2305-2345, and with no significant market changes, the focus is on observing the trend to continue seeing a continuation upward structure;
On the left side, lightly position at 2268 to go long, with a stop at 2203, and targets near 2331 and 2376; lightly position at 2376 to go short, with a stop at 2439, and targets near 2313 and 2268; the risk-reward ratio is quite favorable.
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3.18 Morning Market Overview: BTC Bullish Structure, Buy on Dips
BTC closed this morning with an upward shadow and a bearish candlestick, ending an 8-day winning streak #SEC澄清加密资产分类 $BTC
7.34 has tested multiple times without breaking, forming effective support, 7.47 is a small resistance; the bottom of the ascending triangle is rising, but the high points have not formed higher highs; the market can only validate the continuation of the bullish structure through multiple tests of the trend line
Positioning on the left to buy on dips at the trend line 7.36, with a stop at 7.21, and a target of 7.51; confirming a breakout at 7.47 for effective replenishment and chasing the long position, target around 7.56
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3.17 Morning Market Overview: BTC Rises Unilaterally, Should You Dare to Chase Long?
BTC closed the morning with a solid bullish candle, starting a 7-day bullish streak on the daily chart, indicating a unilateral upward trend
BTC has formed an ascending triangle, with resistance at 7.79 and support at 7.34; as the bottom gradually rises, a pullback to the trend line at 7.42 can be a buying opportunity; defend at 7.28, with targets around 7.56 and 7.7
The entire network experienced 13.1883 million liquidations in 24 hours, with a total amount reaching 608 million USD, long positions at 123 million and short positions at 485 million;
BTC spot ETF saw a net inflow of 824.42 coins yesterday, continuing to see net inflows
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BTC opened with a small bullish candlestick with a lower shadow this morning, starting a 6-day bullish streak on the daily chart; the weekly chart closed with a large bullish candlestick for two consecutive weeks.
BTC is forming a U-shaped bottom, temporarily bottoming at 7.05, with effective support at 7.15; resistance above is at 7.34 and 7.45;
As the bottom gradually rises, the market has not broken out of the familiar fluctuation range, so it’s best to observe the K-line trends primarily; at the same time, one can also buy on the pullback to support at 7.15; defend at 7.05, with targets near 7.25 and 7.35.
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