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Recruitment of Binance supporters can open up to 40% ratio
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Polymarket predicts the probability of Bitcoin reaching $80,000 in April is 46%
According to Polymarket data, the probability of Bitcoin reaching $80,000 in April has risen to 46%, with a predicted trading volume of approximately $35.5 million; the probability of falling below $65,000 has decreased to 8%. The probability of Ethereum reaching $2,600 in April is 23%, with a predicted trading volume of approximately $8.21 million; the probability of falling below $2,000 is 17%. The prediction is based on the highest price of Binance BTC/USDT and ETH/USDT 1-minute candlestick as the settlement basis, $BTC

Bitcoin net outflow of 98,000 coins, reserves drop to 2.68 million after seven weeks
Cryptocurrency market analyst Axel stated that Bitcoin's net flow turned negative on March 1st, reaching a peak outflow of -300,000 coins on March 25th, and as of April 21st, it remains at -98,000 coins net outflow. During the same period, the BTC reserves on trading platforms decreased from 2.786 million to 2.681 million, declining for seven consecutive weeks, with a total reduction of 105,000 coins. There was no panic inflow during the price correction in April, as tokens continued to accumulate in the hands of long-term holders. Analysis points out the need to be wary of the risk of net flow returning to positive territory $BTC

The US-Iran talks focus on uranium enrichment and control of the Strait of Hormuz
According to reports, on April 21, the US and Iran may restart negotiations in Islamabad, focusing on limiting uranium enrichment activities and Iran's control over the Strait of Hormuz. Analysts say the US side may accept a strategy of 'management' instead of 'disruption', but this could intensify Iran's control over energy supplies in the Middle East. Iran rejects the 'zero enrichment' demand, and Gulf countries believe that the Strait of Hormuz has become a key issue in the negotiations, with Iran's threat to Gulf shipping becoming a bargaining chip for the first time. $BNB

:The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping the interest rate unchanged in April is 100%
According to CME's “Federal Reserve Watch,” the probability of the Federal Reserve raising rates by 25 basis points in April is 0%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 100%. The cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by June is 2.5%, and the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 97.5%. $BTC

Waller: Interest rate decisions must be independent of political considerations
According to Politico, Waller stated in his opening remarks that interest rate decisions must be independent of political considerations, and monetary policy should not serve short-term political goals. He emphasized that the credibility of the Federal Reserve stems from institutional constraints and policy discipline, and pointed out that comments from politicians on interest rate issues are not a threat; the independence of the Federal Reserve relies on its own discipline and rigorous style. He committed to taking full responsibility for stabilizing prices, "no excuses, no dodging" $BTC

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$ASTEROID This ETH meme is quite interesting
In 2 days it went from 15k to 200m, there hasn't been a decent meme coming out for more than a year since the mainnet launch, this time $ASTEROID has latched onto Musk and $SpaceXIPO, the ceiling should be very high
Last week I missed $RAVE, yesterday I missed $ASTEROID, what will I miss next?

The RAVE crash has caused massive losses for whales, is there panic at 29ETH holding at 2250?
Market observation shows that investor sentiment is currently in an extremely low period, with the latest crypto fear and greed index reporting 29 (fear), reflecting the erosion of confidence among retail investors following the extreme crash of RAVE and a loss of 6 million by whale AAVE. Technically, the ETH 4-hour level has continuously shifted downward, but as it approached around 2250USDT, due to a significant decrease in trading volume, the battle between bulls and bears has entered a stalemate in a 'dead fish market.' Although the MACD fast and slow lines moving down indicate a short-term weakness, the RSI consolidating at a low around 30 suggests that the market's oversold sentiment has been partially released, and the support strength at the 2250 level is becoming a decisive factor in determining whether the short-term bottoming can succeed.
Practical reference points
Buy point one: 2250USDT (previous low support level, integer level combined with the psychological bottom line under panic sentiment) Buy point two: 2225USDT (daily EMA120 moving average, belonging to a deeper defense range). Long position stop loss point: 2200USDT (once this level is broken, the upward structure will collapse, and decisive withdrawal is necessary)
Sell point one: 2300USDT (previous fluctuation high point, a dense selling pressure area for short-term rebounds). Sell point two: 2375USDT (recent rebound target, if sentiment recovers to a neutral range, further profit-taking can be considered)
Trading execution logic 'Be greedy when others are fearful' needs to be combined with precise right-side signals. Currently, market activity has decreased, and aggressive chasing up or down is not advisable; it is recommended to set alerts at the 2250USDT support level, observing whether there is a volume contraction stabilization or slight volume rebound at the 1-hour level. Before the negative sentiment from the whale exit is fully digested, it is essential to strictly enforce the 2200USDT stop-loss line, aiming for a light position to capture a wave rebound while guarding against the risk of a second market reversal after low volatility. $ETH

Trump: If Iran refuses the agreement, the United States will destroy its infrastructure
Trump stated that Iran fired in the Strait of Hormuz, violating the ceasefire agreement, targeting French and British ships. He mentioned that U.S. representatives would go to Islamabad, Pakistan for negotiations. Trump noted that Iran's closure of the strait results in a daily loss of $500 million, while the United States incurs no losses. He warned that if Iran does not accept the agreement, the United States will destroy its power plants and bridges, and called for the end of Iran's "killing machine" as a necessary action $BTC

Iran demands oil tankers to pay transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz with Bitcoin
According to Cointelegraph and the Financial Times, Iran requires oil tankers passing through the Strait of Hormuz to pay transit fees in Bitcoin, but sources say most of the funds are still settled in stablecoins. Hamid Hosseini, spokesman for the Iranian Oil, Gas and Petrochemical Products Exporters' Union, stated that tankers must report cargo information via email, and after assessment, Iran will inform them of the transit fee amount, requesting Bitcoin payment to be completed within seconds to evade sanctions tracking or asset seizure $BTC

It's not important whether it's classic, I just like it.

The Strait of Hormuz is open, and crude oil plummeted 12% in a day, with risk asset sentiment rapidly recovering; expectations for improved US-Iran relations are rising, and the market has shifted from 'risk aversion logic' back to 'risk preference'; expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut have re-emerged, and liquidity expectations are warming up.
In conclusion: Money is beginning to flow from safe-haven assets to risk assets.
The current trend of Bitcoin is no longer a rebound, but rather a 'confirmation phase of a rebound trend.' The inflow of funds into altcoins is evident, and the trend is starting to follow BTC but with stronger elasticity, beginning to adopt a catch-up logic, and is expected to have more explosive power than BTC in the future. It's altcoin season, with small coins often soaring dozens of times; sentiment-driven factors far outweigh the fundamentals. Value? No, it's the flood of liquidity. Often, things that seem to offer many opportunities are actually fraught with danger $BTC

Brothers, many people in the market are starting to shout that the bull market is here. I advise everyone not to get carried away; the market always gives you a surprise when you are most optimistic. We don’t follow the trend or blindly follow others, we only make planned trades, use technical analysis to lock in profits, and refuse to be the one left holding the bag. Just to reiterate, don’t misuse leverage in contract trading, especially in this kind of one-sided market. It feels good when the price rises, but it can drop harder than anyone else. Don’t be envious of how much others are earning; what suits your rhythm is the most important. The crypto space is not about who makes money the fastest but about who lasts the longest. Stay steady, and we can win.
BTC, good afternoon, brothers. The big coin has a target expectation of 77000-79000. In yesterday's analysis, I suggested a short position for the brothers, and currently, there isn’t much profit visible as the bulls are still relatively strong. The market fluctuates little on weekends, and after the price rises, it continues to consolidate. It will either rise or pull back and test lower. For support, let's first look at the level of 76100; if it holds, we can consider buying at around 75500. If this level doesn't break, the market is expected to make a second high with targets around 78000-79000. Short positions can still be attempted; if this wave pulls back and breaks below 76100, there is a possibility of a pin bar, with defensive support around 74500-74000. If a pin bar forms in this range, we can pay attention to long positions, $BTC
[ETH]
Ethereum's highest was 2460, and the 2480 short was a bit off; otherwise, this pullback would have caught that short. Currently, in a small timeframe, it is consolidating after a pullback. For support, let's first look at the level of 2380; if buying here, remember to set a stop at 2360. If this level holds, the market is expected to make a second high with targets around 2460-2480-2530. Short positions can still be attempted; if this wave pulls back and breaks below 2380, there is a possibility of a pin bar with defensive support around 2310-2280. If a pin bar forms in this range, we can pay attention to long positions, $ETH

Empty his horse🐎

Jiang Zhuoer: 50% of Ethereum position sold, criticizes Trump for lying
Jiang Zhuoer, the founder of the Liebit mining pool (B.TOP), stated that 25% of the spot position was sold at $2420, and with the sale on April 8, a total of 50% has been sold at an average price of $2331. He clarified that the statement on the 8th about 'shorting Ethereum at $2242' was inappropriate. Jiang Zhuoer criticized Trump for lying, claiming that Iran has not opened the Strait of Hormuz, and shipping tracking data shows that nearly all ships attempting to pass have turned back, and the market will reprice. $ETH

Trump: The agreement must not be violated, and the Strait must remain open.
On April 9, President Trump stated that all American ships, aircraft, and military personnel, along with additional ammunition, weapons, and any other suitable and necessary supplies, will remain stationed in Iran and its surrounding areas until a genuine agreement is fully complied with. If, for any reason, compliance fails—which is highly unlikely—then "fire" will begin, on a larger scale, with greater effect and strength, beyond anyone's previous imagination. The Strait of Hormuz must remain open and secure. Meanwhile, our great military is loading supplies and conducting adjustments, actually looking forward to the next conquest. America is back $ETH

ETH1 hour price faces resistance at a high level, entering a slightly weak oscillation in the short term
[Market Summary]
ETH fell back after being blocked at 2270 USDT, with the daily line recording a long upper shadow, indicating clear selling pressure at high levels. Currently, the 1-hour level shows a downward correction trend, with prices running below the EMA30 and EMA120 moving averages, indicating short-term pressure from a technical perspective.
【Key Data Analysis】Moving Average System: Short-term EMA is in a bearish arrangement, with EMA120 moving down to form dynamic resistance. Indicator Status: MACD selling power has strengthened, DIF continues to decline; RSI is at 43, neutral to weak, not yet entering the oversold range, still has adjustment space.
Volume-Price Relationship: Recent pullbacks accompanied by shrinking trading volume, market sentiment turns cautious, insufficient capital inflow momentum.
【Operation Reference Points】Support Below: First support at 2150 (whole number psychological level), second strong support around 2125. Resistance Above: First resistance at 2225, second key resistance at 2245. Risk Control: It is recommended that long positions set a stop loss at 2112 and short positions set a stop loss at 2257.
[Operation Suggestions] The current market is in a low-volume pullback phase after a breakout, with both long and short positions becoming cautious. Pay close attention to the effectiveness of the 2150 support level; before there is a significant reversal signal, it is not advisable to be overly bullish. The main approach should be to focus on range oscillation, strictly executing stop losses to prevent trend break risks. $ETH
Risk Reminder: The views, conclusions, and suggestions in this article are for reference only.