Trump's been making headlines again this week, talking about slapping tariffs on chips. ARM jumped 3.837% in just 24 hours, currently trading around 375.3. But here's the kicker: the perpetual contract funding rate is sitting at 0, so neither bulls nor bears are paying up. This price surge, driven by news headlines, has traders hesitant to leverage in, indicating that the market has developed a muscle memory for Trump's erratic moves.
As SoftBank's core semiconductor asset, ARM tends to rise and then drop every time there's a Trump trade.
$RKLB is currently at 146, with a mild intraday rise of 2.5 points. The contract data is what's really important. Funding rate is sitting at zero, and the OI is 16.6k, which isn't heavy—neither bulls nor bears are at the table yet. At this level, the volume is just 850k, pretty stagnant.
Stuck here, we're just waiting for some headlines from Trump to light the fuse. Over at the White House, they're still wrangling over the budget, and the defense authorization clause is holding things up. Rocket Lab itself is a clear play in military launches, so any headline about tariff threats or military budget freezes could easily break through this low OI setup.
$AVGO has pumped 3.038%, currently at 462.56, funding rate at 0.00011999, it's positive, the bulls are footing the bill. OI is just 5314, the market isn't too crowded, but this sentiment is clearly following the whole semiconductor sector, NVDA is strong, and AVGO is getting chased.
I've been burned by this sector correlation before, thinking individual stocks were strengthening, but it turned out to be hedge funds adjusting the entire sector's beta.
$CRWV This wave of 2.88% pump, and the funding rate is surprisingly slightly positive at 0.0167%, indicating that the bulls haven't really accumulated; it's entirely driven by emotional trades pushing it up. There's talk from Trump that some consumer tariffs might be exempted, and the defense outsourcing label has made CRWV a beneficiary, but the open interest is only slightly over 30 million, making the market cap pretty light, and big money hasn’t really entered the scene.
The direction and expectations are completely reliant on Trump headlines for survival; if the exemption details fall short of expectations, that momentum will just fizzle out.
$ARM pumped 5 points to 375, and the position volume of 11K isn't too big. Today, the funding rate evened out at zero, and neither bulls nor bears are rushing to pay; the market is waiting for a clear direction.
Trump's tariff rhetoric is flipping again, circulating around what might be exempt outside of China. In times like this, semiconductor positions are really twisted, especially for ARM, which relies on licensing to capture the global market; a gust of policy wind can swing it in either direction. A zero funding rate indicates that both longs and shorts have pulled back their hands, and no one dares to position early.
Space stocks are following the whispers about Trump's hedge fund tax breaks, with $RKLB up 4.1% to 146.85. The short side is getting squeezed hard. I'm watching the sector closely; last week, Trump hinted at distributing defense contracts to private firms, and the cash is flooding into the rocket space. A trade of $1 million isn't massive, but with 16,000 contracts stacked against the shorts, the liquidation line is piling up around 150. My gut says this wave isn't over yet, so I'm going in with 5x leverage and holding. Stop loss at 137.5, take profit at 169.5, with a 20% position.
FLNC dipped 3.6% to 18.66, and the funding fee is currently at zero. This coin hasn't directly aligned with Trump's narrative, with the tariff statements causing some back and forth on clean energy expectations. But over here with FLNC, both bulls and bears are flat, with an open interest of just 27k; nobody's willing to take a position. I understand that the market is waiting for the next executive order to drop; until then, this coin is more like a limp fish, just tagging along with the downtrend but not participating in any upswings.
Zero fee rate means bulls have no cost but also no one's rushing in, making a short-term revisit to 17.5 quite likely.
$DRAM current price is 66.05, with a 24H increase of 3.95% and a trading volume of 8.26 million. The funding rate has dropped to zero, OI is at 218k, and the positions are net short. This setup is pretty twisted; we’ve seen a 4-point jump but no one’s buying, indicating that the bulls aren’t really pushing—it's just the bears closing their positions that pushed it up.
The buzz is everyone’s waiting for Trump to flip on Southeast Asia tariffs, and the funding rate hitting zero is the proof. Previously, heavy tariffs crushed the manufacturing sector, and shorts on DRAM have been cruising smoothly, but now that the winds are shifting a bit, the bears are running faster than anyone.
ARM's funding rate is flat at 0, with a 24-hour increase of 6.7% and a trading volume of 9.45 million. This structure is interesting; the bulls and bears are completely balanced, and the price is inching upwards, indicating that it's not just emotional trading pushing the price but real capital changing hands.
Trump's team hinted over the weekend about waiving negotiations, leading to a full recovery in chip supply chain expectations. Last week, the market was still pricing in higher taxes, and this week it's a direct turnaround. With ARM's licensing model, as soon as tariffs ease up, downstream customers will start placing orders again.
Long. 2x leverage. Set a stop-loss at 354; if it drops below that, it signals the market isn't buying into the waiver logic.
Today, $RKLB pushed up over 3 points to 145.77, with a volume of 1.05 million, not exactly mooning but definitely worth watching. This surge is largely due to Trump hyping up the Space Force again, and the market is funneling cash into defense stocks, with RKLB as the prime target.
Funding is currently at 0, meaning both longs and shorts aren't paying any fees, which keeps the cost basis thin on both sides—no one's really getting grilled here. This setup is very similar to that November rally when funding stayed stagnant but prices slowly crept up, eventually forcing shorts to cover after a sudden spike.
$CRWV Today’s 3.3% gain might not seem huge, but the trading volume of 1.94 million has quietly rolled out. Trump just dropped a hint about imposing tariffs on EU cars, and I know how much political headlines can shake up TradFi. Once institutions start hedging, assets like CRWV can experience sudden volatility spikes.
I remember during the last tariff escalation, CRWV’s daily swing hit 15%.
The recent 3.8% pump in DRAM is backed by political bets. Trump threw down the gauntlet this week at Davos, talking about pushing the defense budget to post-Cold War highs. The military sector was the first to react in the on-chain US stock contracts, with DRAM's open interest (OI) now above 210,000. The funding rate of 0.00031 indicates that bulls are starting to accumulate, but the market isn't overcrowded just yet.
$ARM is up 5.8%, moving in sync with the military-industrial AI sector. Today, the headlines are all about the expansion of tariff exemptions to semiconductor equipment, plus the U.S. ramping up restrictions on AI chip exports, making the chip design licensing space seem even more valuable.
Funding fee is at 0, and open interest is only 9.7M, with the order book still light. This combination of light volume and policy-driven momentum means that if new restrictions drop, shorts could get squeezed. I usually avoid going heavy before news, but I like to establish direction early.
Going long 3x, stop loss at 337, take profit at 410, total position size 8%.
$RKLB Today, a 3% pump to 146 isn’t surprising, especially with Trump’s tariff threats pushing defense stocks back into the limelight overnight. But there’s a contradiction in the data: funding is at 0, and OI is only 16.8k, indicating that neither bulls nor bears are willing to leverage and chase the price, making the market super light.
I’ve taken hits with this structure before. When funding fees drop to zero, it’s not a balance between bulls and bears; it’s both sides waiting for the other to make a move. One tweet from Trump can spike defense stocks by 5% instantly, and with a lighter market, the volatility can be intense. If the 1.02 million volume can't hold, we could see a breach of stop losses.
$CRWV This wave saw a solid 4.7% pump, and the candlestick action was strong without any explosive volume, so no top-trap panic here. The funding rate is currently zero, and both bulls and bears are still holding their positions around the 110 mark, locked in a stalemate. Assets like Trump Media in the TradFi space tend to have better liquidity and news flow compared to typical crypto perps, and the open interest holding steady at 26K indicates it's not a panic liquidation, but rather a buildup of momentum.
$DRAM up 3.57%, hitting 65.49, with a volume of 666 million—neither too big nor too small. The fee is positive at 0.000328, and the bulls are footing the bill, while the open interest sits at 208,000 without any explosions.
Trump just made another statement about ramping up scrutiny on chip imports, and this kind of policy shake-up hits targets like DRAM directly. In the past, similar tariff rumors led to a pump and dump for DRAM: the pump was due to bets on exemptions, and the dump happened when no one actually got the exemption certificates. Now with a positive fee, rising prices, and bulls still adding to their positions chasing the policy play, the more they chase, the more they stack their costs.
Trump's been talking tariffs again, and this time he's aiming at the chip supply chain. Over in the after-hours market, a few chip giants are dragging the indices down, and $ARM is getting caught up in it, getting pressured even before the bell. Bulls are holding strong around the 375 level with a thousand-to-one fee, paying their own interest on long positions—if you're looking to add to your stack here, you either really believe or you're just stubborn.
This trade feels a lot like the pullback during the trade tensions in February; back then, a wave of policy hot air wiped out semiconductor sentiment, but $ARM 's open interest (OI) didn't crash, indicating that the funds holding positions aren't retail traders.
BRKB pumped 2.89% bouncing around 488.55, with OI hanging at 17.24 million, which ain't light. Funding is at 0.000129, meaning the bulls are footing the bill, making this setup pretty crowded.
The volatility stems from Trump, who recently suggested easing bank regulations and cutting capital gains taxes. The market is treating BRKB as a bet on TradFi policies. A price increase alongside positive funding indicates that the longs have already piled in, and the cost of further upward movement is rising, increasing the likelihood of a top squeeze.
This week I'm watching Trump's tariff tweets affecting $CRWV. It's like a ticket for a resort, and the tariff escalation is directly hitting its consumer expectations. Today the chart popped up 7.6% to 113.47, but I feel this rebound is just emotional FOMO, with new bulls lifting the bags of those who are already trapped. OI at 26k isn't huge, and the funding hitting zero means neither side is putting real capital on the line. The market is waiting for headlines to give us direction.
$RKLB Today is dragging at 4%, spot hovering around 145, and the rate is even negative at 0.0005, shorts are practically getting paid. With the tariff war news blowing up, the defense sector is getting tense, and Rocket Lab, being a small cap in the on-chain US stock contracts, gets a short squeeze as soon as the funds flow in.
The last time the rate went negative like this was last Thursday, and it shot up hard for two days afterward, leaving shorts scrambling for their losses.