幣圈洋哥

Day48 盤面分析
今日行情重心下移，預期將落在 2891 ~ 2842 區間進行震盪整理。 在區間操作過程中，可重點關注 2855 的價格反應，以此判斷短線多空力道。

🔴 多頭突破規劃 若能有效突破區間上緣 2891，
上方目標依序關注：2921 / 2938 / 2955。

🟢 空方跌破規劃若跌破區間下緣2842，意味著防守失守， 下方回調目標依序關注：2824 / 2785。

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Day47 Market Analysis

Continuing the holiday's momentum of fluctuations, the market has yet to show a clear direction and remains within the range planned yesterday. Since the key levels have not yet been broken through or fallen below, today's strategy remains unchanged; patiently waiting for the range to express itself.

Currently, the market is still limited to the range of 2977 ~ 2921 consolidation. Trading should similarly use 2955 as a strong and weak observation point; do not overtrade frequently before a direction is established.

🔴 Bullish Breakout Plan If it can effectively break through the upper edge of the range at 2977,
the upper targets to watch sequentially are: 3000 / 3010 / 3030 / 3047 / 3076.

🟢 Bearish Breakdown Plan If it breaks below the lower edge of the range at 2921, it indicates a loss of defense, and the lower retracement targets to watch in sequence are: 2909 / 2891 / 2855.
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Day46 Market Analysis

In line with the holiday market, the market tends to show a gradual upward trend. Although prices appear to be steadily rising, it is essential to remain vigilant in operations and pay attention to the risk of sudden sell-offs.

Currently, the market is expected to fluctuate within the range of 2977 ~ 2921. During the range trading process, pay particular attention to the price reaction at 2955 to determine short-term bullish and bearish momentum.

🔴 Bullish Breakout Plan If the upper edge of the range at 2977 can be effectively broken,
The upper targets to watch are: 3000 / 3010 / 3030 / 3047 / 3076.

🟢 Bearish Breakdown Plan If it breaks below the lower edge of the range at 2921, it means that the defense has failed, and the adjustment targets to watch below are: 2909 / 2891 / 2855.

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Day45 Market Analysis

Today's market expectation is to fluctuate between the range of 2977 ~ 2921. During the range trading process, pay close attention to the price reaction at 2955 as a reference for short-term bullish and bearish momentum.

🔴 Bullish Breakout Plan If it can effectively break through the upper edge of the range at 2977,
Upper targets to watch in sequence: 3000 / 3010 / 3030 / 3047 / 3076.
🟢 Bearish Breakdown If it breaks below the lower edge of the range at 2921, it means support is weakening,
Lower retracement targets to watch in sequence: 2909 / 2891 / 2855.

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Day44 Market Analysis

Today's market expectation is to fluctuate within the range of 3047 ~ 2977. During the process of operating within this range, pay special attention to the reaction at the two levels of 3010 and 3030 as a basis for judging short-term strength and weakness.

🔴 Bullish Breakout Plan If it can effectively break through the upper edge of the range 3047,
the upper targets to focus on are: 3076 / 3092 / 3106.

🟢 Bearish Breakdown Plan If it breaks through the lower edge of the range 2977, it means the defense has failed, and the lower pullback targets to focus on are: 2955 / 2921.

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Day43 Market Analysis
Today's market expectation is to oscillate within the range of 2977 ~ 2921. During the process of operating within this range, special attention should be paid to the price reaction at 2955.

🔴 Bullish Breakout Plan If it can effectively break through the upper edge of the range,
the upper targets to focus on are: 3000 / 3010 / 3030 / 3047.

🟢 Bearish Breakdown Plan If it breaks below the lower edge of the range at 2921, it indicates a defensive failure, and the lower pullback targets to focus on are: 2891 / 2855.

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Day42 Market Analysis
Today's market is expected to fluctuate and consolidate within the range of 3198 ~ 3165. When operating in this range, pay special attention to the price reactions at the two key levels of 3191 and 3177 to assess short-term strength.

🔴 Bullish Breakout Plan If it can break upward from the consolidation range,
the upper targets to sequentially focus on are: 3206 / 3227 / 3245.

🟢 Bearish Breakdown Plan If it breaks below the lower edge of the range 3165,
the lower retracement targets to sequentially focus on are: 3147 / 3126 / 3106.

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Day41 Market Analysis

Today's market expectation is to fluctuate within the range of 3227 ~ 3191. During the range trading process, pay particular attention to the price reaction at 3205 to determine the short-term strength or weakness.

🔴 Bullish Breakout Plan If it can effectively break through the upper edge of the range at 3227,
the upper targets to focus on are: 3245 / 3275.

🟢 Bearish Breakdown Plan If it breaks below the lower edge of the range at 3191, it indicates a defensive failure,
the lower pullback targets to focus on are: 3176 / 3165 / 3147.

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Day40 Market Analysis Today's market expectation will fluctuate within the range of 3330 ~ 3296. During the range operation, special attention can be paid to the price reaction at the level of 3316 as a reference for short-term strength and weakness.

🔴 Bullish Breakout Plan If it can strongly break through the upper edge of the fluctuation range,
the upper targets are sequentially: 3360 / 3381 / 3405.

🟢 Bearish Retracement Risk If it falls below the lower edge of the range 3296,
the lower support targets are sequentially: 3275 / 3245.

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Day39 Market Analysis

Market analysis enters holiday trading, market liquidity slows, and it is expected that prices will fluctuate within the range of 3296 ~ 3245. It is recommended to focus on range trading and patiently wait for a breakthrough or breakdown at key levels.

🔴 Bullish Breakout Plan If the market can effectively break through the upper edge of the range,
the upper targets to focus on are: 3316 / 3330 / 3360.

🟢 Bearish Breakdown Plan If it breaks below the lower edge of the range 3245, short-term support weakens,
the downward pullback targets to focus on are: 3227 / 3205 / 3176.

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Day38 Market Analysis

Today's market should be viewed as a large-range consolidation, with the overall trading range between 3407 and 3275. We will divide this range in half, using 3342 as the central dividing line, adopting a 'short high, long low' strategy.

⚖️ Range Trading Setup

Upper Resistance (bearish bias): Watch 3360 / 3381 / 3407.
Lower Support (bullish bias): Watch 3330 / 3295 / 3275.

⚠️ Entry Confirmation Mechanism If the price breaks through or breaks below, do not blindly chase the move. Always check the order book DELTA data to confirm whether the fund flow supports the move (to distinguish real from fake breakouts), and review your existing long or short positions before deciding whether to add or follow up.

🔴 Long Breakout Target If a genuine breakout is confirmed, the next upside targets are: 3437 / 3454 / 3468.

🟢 Short Breakdown Target If a genuine breakdown is confirmed, the next downside targets are: 3245 / 3227 / 3205.

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Day37 Market Analysis

The market continues its gradual upward momentum. The current trend is highly likely to experience high-level consolidation within the 3330 ~ 3407 range. After this turnover, the bullish momentum is expected to continue, pushing further upward.

🔴 Bullish Target: If the resistance level at the upper boundary of the consolidation zone, 3407, is strongly broken,

the upside potential will open further, with sequential targets at 3437 / 3454 / 3469.

🟢 Pullback Support Levels: If the market shows a retracement, closely monitor the strength of support levels below to seek opportunities for re-consolidation and a subsequent upward move.

Key levels to watch in order are: 3315 / 3295 / 3275 / 3245 / 3228.

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Day36 Market Analysis

A bullish distribution occurred at 6 AM today. The market has moved beyond the previous consolidation zone and entered a new price range. It is currently expected that the main players will conduct high-level consolidation between 3360 and 3296 to digest the shares.

🔴 Bullish Continuation Target If the upper boundary of the consolidation range is broken,
the bullish momentum will continue.
The first target is 3381,
followed by 3407,
and the final target is temporarily set at 3437.

🟢 Pullback Support Test If it breaks below 3296, the short-term trend turns weak,
and prices are highly likely to retreat to the 3275 ~ 3227 range for consolidation,
where support strength in this zone should be monitored to confirm the next direction.

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Day35 Market Analysis

You should have felt the market movements these past few days: suddenly appearing to break through, then pretending to break below. This kind of candlestick pattern with long upper and lower shadows easily confuses traders.

In trading, 80% of the time is consolidation, while only 20% is trend. Many people lose money not because they misread a strong trend, but because they frequently enter and exit during consolidation phases.

The current market remains range-bound between 3125 and 3076, a classic accumulation zone. The market is compressing— the longer it compresses, the stronger the breakout will be. When you don't understand the market, waiting is also a form of trading. Instead of being whipsawed in a narrow range, it's better to patiently wait for a genuine breakout at key levels.

🔴 Bullish Breakout Path If the consolidation range breaks upward,
the first target will be the 3147 ~ 3177 range for testing.
If bullish momentum continues, the next resistance levels will further
challenge 3191 and 3218.

🟢 Bearish Reversal Risk If the key support at 3076 breaks,
prices are likely to retest the 3047 ~ 3010 range.
If the decline continues, the next target will be 2977,
with special attention needed at 3030 along the way.

Better to miss an opportunity than to make a mistake.

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Day34 Market Analysis

The current market continues to consolidate within the 3125 ~ 3076 range, with market participants actively exchanging positions and building momentum. The next move will depend on whether the market can break out of this consolidation zone. Today's outlook remains unchanged from yesterday.

🔴 Bullish Attack Path If the consolidation range breaks upward,
the first target will be the 3147 ~ 3177 range for testing.
If bullish momentum continues, the next resistance levels will further challenge
3191 and 3218.

🟢 Bearish Retracement Risk If the key support at 3076 is breached,
prices are likely to drop sharply into the 3047 ~ 3010 range for consolidation.
If the decline continues, the next target will be 2977,
with special attention needed on the reaction at 3030.

In my personal view, the chance of an upward move is quite high.

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Day33 Market Analysis
The current market is consolidating within the 3125 ~ 3076 range, with market participants actively exchanging positions and building momentum. The next move depends on whether the market can break out of this consolidation zone. Today's view remains unchanged from yesterday.

🔴 Bullish Attack Path If the consolidation zone breaks upward,
the first target will be the 3147 ~ 3177 range for testing.
If bullish momentum continues, the next resistance levels will further challenge
3191 and 3218.

🟢 Bearish Correction Risk If the key support at 3076 is broken,
prices are likely to drop sharply to the 3047 ~ 3010 range for consolidation,
and if the decline continues, the next target will be 2977,
with special attention needed on the reaction at 3030.

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Day32 Market Analysis

The current market is consolidating within the 3125 ~ 3076 range, with market participants actively exchanging positions and building momentum. The next direction will depend on whether the market can break out of this consolidation range.

🔴 Bullish Breakout Path If the consolidation range breaks upward,
the first target will be the 3147 ~ 3177 range for testing.
If bullish momentum continues, the next resistance levels will further
challenge 3191 and 3218.

🟢 Bearish Reversal Risk If the key support at 3076 is broken,
prices are likely to decline to the 3047 ~ 3010 range for consolidation,
and if the downtrend continues, the next target will be 2977,
with special attention needed on the reaction at 3030.

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Day31 Market Analysis

The current market is consolidating within the range of 3125 ~ 3092. This level serves as a short-term accumulation zone, and future trading strategies should focus on observing the sustainability of momentum after price breaks out of this range.

🔴 Bullish Breakout Strategy If the upper boundary of the consolidation range is effectively breached,

the first target will be the 3141 ~ 3177 range.

If momentum continues, the next resistance levels will be 3191 and 3218.

🟢 Bearish Retracement Risk If the lower boundary of the 3092 range is broken,

the market may turn weak. The next support zone could be 3047 ~ 3010.

(Observe the reaction at 3076 during the process).

If selling pressure continues, after breaking the range, the market may seek support at 2977, with attention needed at the key level of 3030 along the way.

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Day 30 Market Analysis

The market has reached a critical turning point, and the current price level is extremely important. Traders must closely monitor the battle around key levels. If support cannot be held, a multi-stage retracement test is likely.

🔴 Bullish Reversal Opportunity: The key lies in whether a valid breakout above 3176 can be achieved.

If successful, the market could rebound to 3191 ~ 3227,

followed by consolidation to build momentum for a potential further rise to 3245.

🟢 Downward Risk Warning: If below 3147 is broken,

it indicates short-term support has failed, and a high probability of entering a range of 3147 ~ 3092 for consolidation. If the decline continues,

the next target will be 3076 ~ 3030 to seek support.

Once even this range is breached, the next levels to test will be 3010 / 2977 / 2921 in sequence.

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Day 29 Market Analysis

The market has entered a consolidation phase, with bulls and bears currently engaging in a battle at specific levels. Today's trading strategy should focus on managing volatility, while keeping an eye on actual breakouts or breakdowns at key levels. Current market scenarios are divided into three possible situations:

Consolidation Range: It is highly likely that today's price will oscillate within the 3245 ~ 3205 range. Until a breakout from this range occurs, it is recommended to adopt a range-trading approach, waiting patiently for a directional signal.

🔴 Bullish Breakout Conditions: To break above the 3245 resistance,

a simple price pass-through is insufficient. The key is to firmly hold the 3253 level.

Only when support is confirmed effective can momentum continue,

allowing for a potential challenge toward the 3330 ~ 3296 range.

🟢 Bearish Pullback Risk: If the price breaks below 3205,

it indicates weakening support, and a high probability of consolidation in the 3205 ~ 3165 range.

If 3165 is also breached, deeper support levels at 3146 ~ 3092 should be monitored.

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