Kimi The Cat - NFT Creator

With the voting intention polls gaining traction in March 2026, the question that dominates Faria Lima is: what does Lula's leadership mean for the Stock Exchange? Many investors wonder if the market has already "got used" to the idea or if there is still room for major jolts. Here are the 3 crucial points to understand the moment:
1. The Myth of "Total Pricing" 🚫
The financial market works with probabilities, not certainties. Although Lula's leadership is a known scenario, the stock prices still reflect a polarized uncertainty. The consolidation of names like Flávio Bolsonaro in the opposition keeps the "technical tie" scenario alive, which prevents a definitive pricing. The market is still in wait mode.

Hi, how are you? Let's have an honest conversation, without euphoria and without despair.
$BTC $ETH $ESP
If you are reading this, you probably already know that the cryptocurrency market is one of the most volatile assets on the planet. But you also know that for those with a long-term vision, this volatility is not a problem; it's a tool.
We are in one of those classic moments of the cycle. The moment when the price corrects, the headlines turn pessimistic, and "fear, uncertainty, and doubt" take over social media. For the trader, this is a nightmare. For the long-term investor, this is the "monitoring call" ringing.

If you were still waiting for immediate relief from American interest rates in March, the data brings a "reality check."
The main points:
✅ Overwhelming Consensus: 98.4% probability for maintaining rates ("No Change"). The doubt that existed a few months ago has evaporated.
📉 Meltdown of the Cuts Bet: What was once a split bet (50/50) between holding and cutting by 25 bps is now a knockout victory for the Fed's caution.
💰 Skin in the Game: We are talking about a volume of over $281 million. When money moves like this, it is rarely by chance.

If you're just starting out in the crypto world and want to understand when the $BTC can really change direction, some signals can help you. Here are the main ones:
1. Keep an eye on the averages
The 50 and 100-week moving averages are like "thermometers" of the trend. As long as the price is below them, the market is still technically weakened. The turn happens when Bitcoin manages to break these lines and maintain itself above.
2. Watch the weekly RSI
This indicator measures the strength of the movement. When it reaches very low levels, it may mean that the market is "oversold" and that a reversal may be approaching. It's like a spring being compressed.

Look at the graph: in the last hours, the commercial dollar plummeted by a good 15 cents (or even more, depending on the exact time you checked), dropping from R$ 5.28 to flirt with R$ 5.21. Exactly in the same period, the $BTC appears on the graph with a beautiful green candle, rising steadily in reais.
Coincidence? Not exactly.
The inconvenient truth is that, in Brazil, a large part of what we call the 'rise of Bitcoin' is actually the depreciation of the real against the dollar. When the dollar falls this quickly, any asset priced in dollars (Bitcoin, gold, American stocks, whatever) automatically rises in reais, even if the movement in dollars is much more modest.

Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market platform built on the Polygon blockchain $POL , a layer 2 network of Ethereum, that allows users to bet on the outcomes of real-world events using stablecoins like USDC. Unlike traditional cryptocurrency exchanges, Polymarket turns predictions into tradable assets, where the prices of the 'shares' reflect the implied probabilities of an event occurring. For example, if a 'Yes' share for an event costs $0.42, it indicates a 42% probability that the event will happen. The platform covers a wide range of topics, including politics, sports, finance, and, especially relevant for crypto traders, events related to the cryptocurrency market.

Folks, for you to receive the NFTs from the Kimi The Cat support campaign, it is essential to follow these guidelines:
⚠️ Your wallet must be compatible!
To view and manage your NFTs, you must use a Web3 wallet (Self-Custody).

What works: Wallets like MetaMask, Phantom, Rainbow, or Trust Wallet.


What DOES NOT work:
Addresses of
Exchanges
(like the deposit address of Binance, OKX, Bybit, etc.). Exchanges typically do not accept direct receipt of NFTs through these addresses, and your item may be lost.

If there is one thing the market teaches, it is that the best moments to buy are precisely those when everyone is afraid. And Bitcoin seems to be exactly at this crossroads.
In the weekly charts, the signals are beginning to align. The RSI shows that the "spring" is compressed and when this happens historically, at some point it bounces back with strength. The 50 and 100 week moving averages still act as resistance, it's true, but they also serve as a map: they show exactly where the recovery needs to be confirmed.

The geopolitical escalation between the USA and Iran is already affecting global markets and, of course, the crypto world. Oil surged +20% (Brent above US$ 110), raising the alarm for a possible energy crisis. But what does this mean for BTC? Let's break down the analysis into two scenarios:
🔻 Short Term: Bearish (Risk Aversion)
In the heat of conflict, Bitcoin still behaves like a risk asset. Just like the stock markets, it suffers from the flight to traditional assets (such as gold and bonds).