ponyzerteal
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ๅธๅๅคง่กๅญ
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2. 12th, today I made some profit from the orders, so I'm giving everyone a 10,000 BNB red envelope ๐งง๐งง๐งง Going to sleep $ETH
US Stock Market Analysis on Coinbase (COIN) Ahead of Earnings: Is it a 'Golden Pit' or a 'Breakdown'?
๐ $COIN on the brink of falling into the abyss? The final gamble before earnings!
2/11 Close at $151.74, just a step away from a new 52-week low! Institutional funds have flowed out for 27 consecutive days (Premium Index < 0), what is the market afraid of? ๐ค
Key Data Insights:
Option Sentiment: Put/Call Volume soared to 1.71, everyone is buying insurance!
Biggest Pain Point: $160. Market makers want to pull back to this level to kill options.
Implied Volatility: The market is pricing ยฑ$14, significant turmoil is inevitable on Friday.
Trading ideas based on the previous post:
A drop below $148.8 requires a stop loss or liquidating before earnings -> target $142 (double bottom support)
If earnings reverse -> first target $160 (Max Pain return)
The strategy for betting on earnings is as follows:
Entry price: 142, stop loss at 140, expected take profit around 158.95
#่ก็ฅจไบคๆๆไนฐๅ ๅฏ่ดงๅธ #Coinbase๏ผๆณจๆ่กๆ ๆณขๅจ๏ผ #ไฝๆถๆๅบ๏ผ #Bitcoin่ฐทๆญๆ็ดข้ๆดๅ
๐ $COIN on the brink of falling into the abyss? The final gamble before earnings!
2/11 Close at $151.74, just a step away from a new 52-week low! Institutional funds have flowed out for 27 consecutive days (Premium Index < 0), what is the market afraid of? ๐ค
Key Data Insights:
Option Sentiment: Put/Call Volume soared to 1.71, everyone is buying insurance!
Biggest Pain Point: $160. Market makers want to pull back to this level to kill options.
Implied Volatility: The market is pricing ยฑ$14, significant turmoil is inevitable on Friday.
Trading ideas based on the previous post:
A drop below $148.8 requires a stop loss or liquidating before earnings -> target $142 (double bottom support)
If earnings reverse -> first target $160 (Max Pain return)
The strategy for betting on earnings is as follows:
Entry price: 142, stop loss at 140, expected take profit around 158.95
#่ก็ฅจไบคๆๆไนฐๅ ๅฏ่ดงๅธ #Coinbase๏ผๆณจๆ่กๆ ๆณขๅจ๏ผ #ไฝๆถๆๅบ๏ผ #Bitcoin่ฐทๆญๆ็ดข้ๆดๅ
ใQuantitative AnalysisใCoinbase Earnings Outlook: Why to Pay Attention to 'Smart Money' Actions Around $160.
This Thursday after the market close, the crypto market bellwether Coinbase (COIN) will announce its Q4 2025 performance. Based on the quantitative model analysis from February 9, we have identified an interesting **โBullish and Bearish Divergenceโ.
๐ 1. Extreme Options Sentiment Although the stock price is trading below the mid-term moving average and seems precarious, the options market's Put/Call Ratio is surprisingly low at 0.45. This means that for every 1 put option, there are more than 2 call options. This is typically a signal that institutional investors (Smart Money) are using low volatility to position themselves on the left side. ๐ฐ 2. Institutional and Dark Pool Movements Although the average daily trading volume has shrunk (a typical calm before the storm), there is significant support in the $159-$160 range. Long-term funds like Vanguard and Geode have not reduced their holdings but have rather increased them. The psychological barrier at $150 is not only a technical support level but also a Put Wall in the options market, giving market makers a strong incentive to defend this level.
โ๏ธ 3. Volatility Arbitrage Opportunities The current implied volatility (IV) of the market is pricing in a volatility of ยฑ10.7% this week (approximately $148-$183 range). Maximum Pain Point: $162.50. If the earnings report is mediocre, the stock price will be drawn to this level to harvest option premiums. Upside Scenario: As long as the earnings report slightly exceeds the extremely low expectations (negative Earnings ESP), the stock price could easily break through $173.6 (50 MA) and test the $180 Call Wall. Conclusion: With a stop-loss set at $150, the current risk-reward ratio seems to favor the bulls. The market has become desensitized to bad news, and we are waiting for an opportunity for a 'bad news fully priced in'. (Note: Not investment advice, data as of 2026/2/9)
Action Recommendations:
Long Position Entry: $153-$157 range, Stop Loss $150, Take Profit $175
Short Position Entry: $175.6-$178.8 range, Stop Loss $181, Take Profit $150
Be aware of significant volatility this Thursday!
$COIN $BTC
This Thursday after the market close, the crypto market bellwether Coinbase (COIN) will announce its Q4 2025 performance. Based on the quantitative model analysis from February 9, we have identified an interesting **โBullish and Bearish Divergenceโ.
๐ 1. Extreme Options Sentiment Although the stock price is trading below the mid-term moving average and seems precarious, the options market's Put/Call Ratio is surprisingly low at 0.45. This means that for every 1 put option, there are more than 2 call options. This is typically a signal that institutional investors (Smart Money) are using low volatility to position themselves on the left side. ๐ฐ 2. Institutional and Dark Pool Movements Although the average daily trading volume has shrunk (a typical calm before the storm), there is significant support in the $159-$160 range. Long-term funds like Vanguard and Geode have not reduced their holdings but have rather increased them. The psychological barrier at $150 is not only a technical support level but also a Put Wall in the options market, giving market makers a strong incentive to defend this level.
โ๏ธ 3. Volatility Arbitrage Opportunities The current implied volatility (IV) of the market is pricing in a volatility of ยฑ10.7% this week (approximately $148-$183 range). Maximum Pain Point: $162.50. If the earnings report is mediocre, the stock price will be drawn to this level to harvest option premiums. Upside Scenario: As long as the earnings report slightly exceeds the extremely low expectations (negative Earnings ESP), the stock price could easily break through $173.6 (50 MA) and test the $180 Call Wall. Conclusion: With a stop-loss set at $150, the current risk-reward ratio seems to favor the bulls. The market has become desensitized to bad news, and we are waiting for an opportunity for a 'bad news fully priced in'. (Note: Not investment advice, data as of 2026/2/9)
Action Recommendations:
Long Position Entry: $153-$157 range, Stop Loss $150, Take Profit $175
Short Position Entry: $175.6-$178.8 range, Stop Loss $181, Take Profit $150
Be aware of significant volatility this Thursday!
$COIN $BTC
ใQuantitative AnalysisใCoinbase Earnings Preview: Why Pay Attention to the Actions of 'Smart Money' Around $160?
This Thursday after the market closes, the cryptocurrency market barometer Coinbase (COIN) will announce its performance for Q4 2025. Based on the quantitative model analysis from February 9, we discovered an interesting **โdivergence between puts and callsโ.
๐ 1. Extreme options sentiment indicates that although the stock price is operating below the medium-term moving average and seems to be teetering, the Put/Call Ratio in the options market has surprisingly dropped to 0.45. This means that for every 1 put option, there are more than 2 call options. This is typically a signal that institutional investors (Smart Money) are taking advantage of low volatility for a left-side layout.
๐ 1. Extreme options sentiment indicates that although the stock price is operating below the medium-term moving average and seems to be teetering, the Put/Call Ratio in the options market has surprisingly dropped to 0.45. This means that for every 1 put option, there are more than 2 call options. This is typically a signal that institutional investors (Smart Money) are taking advantage of low volatility for a left-side layout.
It should rise
Currently down 44%
The bear market is undeniable
Even if we think there will be a rebound
It's not worth doing
Because it hasn't bottomed yet
If you don't run when there's a rebound, like Dao Zhang
It will only lead to forced liquidation ๐คช๐คช๐คช
The bull market correction is about 30% or so
Currently looking at it
In fact, it's just the exchanges and institutions working together
Continuing to push down the price difference
To ensure that there is enough space for profit in the next bull market
There's nothing we can do
Can't fight against the dogๅบ
Except for spot trading
Impossible!
The bear market is undeniable
Even if we think there will be a rebound
It's not worth doing
Because it hasn't bottomed yet
If you don't run when there's a rebound, like Dao Zhang
It will only lead to forced liquidation ๐คช๐คช๐คช
The bull market correction is about 30% or so
Currently looking at it
In fact, it's just the exchanges and institutions working together
Continuing to push down the price difference
To ensure that there is enough space for profit in the next bull market
There's nothing we can do
Can't fight against the dogๅบ
Except for spot trading
Impossible!
Support
ๅธๅๅคง่กๅญ
ยท
--
Number 2.5, the sky continues to collapse, Bitcoin has fallen below 70,000 USD, the only thing to be thankful for is that the big bearded man has doubled the orders, let's first distribute 10,000 BNB red envelopes ๐งง๐งง๐งง going to sleep $ETH
btc
้พ่กๅคฉไธ520
ยท
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In the blink of an eye, the number of fans has exceeded 16,000, which is very exciting. Now I am giving back to the fans with 388u worth of BTC, only distributing 3,000 packages to thank all the fans for their continuous support and trust.
live
Quoted content has been removed
Don't edit the picture
็ไธๆ็sol
ยท
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Let me tell the brothers a ghost story
Actually, this round of bull market hasn't truly arrived yet,
we are still lingering at the beginning stage of the long bull journey.
#BTC ๐๐๐
Actually, this round of bull market hasn't truly arrived yet,
we are still lingering at the beginning stage of the long bull journey.
#BTC ๐๐๐
This market is very restless, patience is so important
What does Sun Tzu's Art of War talk about?
One word: Patience!
When you want to fight others, first endure a little, consider whether you can defeat them.
When you can defeat them, endure a little longer, will winning cause greater losses?
First endure a little, wait for the enemy to show a flaw, then attack.
Since ancient times, those who achieve great things are the ones who can endure!
Endure what ordinary people cannot endure!
The people in this market are too restless, unable to endure even a day. They rush around after a trade for 1-2 days without results.
Market trends are something that takes time to wait for; even the best traders rely on the market to make a living. In doing anything, timing, location, and harmony with people are crucial; if the timing isn't right, forcing it will only lead to losses.
One word: Patience!
When you want to fight others, first endure a little, consider whether you can defeat them.
When you can defeat them, endure a little longer, will winning cause greater losses?
First endure a little, wait for the enemy to show a flaw, then attack.
Since ancient times, those who achieve great things are the ones who can endure!
Endure what ordinary people cannot endure!
The people in this market are too restless, unable to endure even a day. They rush around after a trade for 1-2 days without results.
Market trends are something that takes time to wait for; even the best traders rely on the market to make a living. In doing anything, timing, location, and harmony with people are crucial; if the timing isn't right, forcing it will only lead to losses.
$LTC
The layout for the medium to long term of Light is coming soon, please wait patiently #Strategyๅขๆๆฏ็นๅธ
The layout for the medium to long term of Light is coming soon, please wait patiently #Strategyๅขๆๆฏ็นๅธ
#ๆฏ็นๅธไปทๆ ผ่ตฐๅฟๅๆ The large pancake has fallen as expected, but it is not the bottom yet. Spot trading can gradually start to build positions.
#ๆฏ็นๅธไปทๆ ผ่ตฐๅฟๅๆ $BTC $TAO
Bitcoin is expected to have lower lows, it can only be bought below 300
Bitcoin is expected to have lower lows, it can only be bought below 300
$LINK
#ๆฏ็นๅธไปทๆ ผ่ตฐๅฟๅๆ link idea, long at 14.48, stop loss at 14.18, take profit at 16
Follow me, share free spot signals from time to time
#ๆฏ็นๅธไปทๆ ผ่ตฐๅฟๅๆ link idea, long at 14.48, stop loss at 14.18, take profit at 16
Follow me, share free spot signals from time to time
Currently, any adjustment of ETH to around 2400 is a buying opportunity. Just set the stop-loss at the lowest point of 2288, and 2600 is the take-profit position.
#ๅธๅฎHODLer็ฉบๆKAITO $SUI
The increase in SUI since the last post is good, let's see SUI 4.0 in the medium term.
The increase in SUI since the last post is good, let's see SUI 4.0 in the medium term.
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