胖头鱼老公-稳定盈利

Liquidity exhaustion detection: Major exchanges like Binance have a 2% depth at regular levels (non-extreme exhaustion), but the relative thickness is low during non-peak periods; the current price is close to the liquidation zone, posing a moderate risk of 'buy order support insufficiency leading to a chain collapse/gap' (especially if the subsequent Fed speeches lean hawkish).
Trend probabilities (ETHUSDT / BTCUSDT today):

Probability of increase 40%
Probability of fluctuation 45%
Probability of decrease 15%

Cross-Market Alert: Macro funds are currently in an extremely defensive state. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is strongly consolidating around 100.8, and the 10-year US Treasury yield has risen to the alert line of 4.30%.

1. Berenberg: The space for further rate cuts is quite limited. The Federal Reserve is expected to implement the last 25 basis points cut of this cycle at the June meeting.
2. Goldman Sachs: It is expected that there will be rate cuts of 25 basis points in September and December. If the labor market softens earlier and more severely than expected, an earlier rate cut may still occur.
3. Deutsche Bank: It is expected to keep interest rates unchanged this week, as sharply rising geopolitical uncertainties and inflation risks triggered by soaring oil prices are consuming the space for rate cuts.
4. Crédit Agricole: It is expected to remain on hold before the end of the year. Some members may advocate ignoring the short-term inflation surge driven by energy, but most members tend to be more cautious.
5. Rabobank: Under Powell's leadership, the Federal Reserve is likely to maintain a wait-and-see stance. If Waller takes office, the Federal Reserve may act more aggressively or push for rate cuts to counter economic downturns.
6. TS Lombard: Concerns about the labor market are resurfacing. If energy shocks subside in a few weeks, combined with the effects of tariff inflation base in the second half of the year and a rapid slowdown in rent inflation, there may still be two rate cuts this year. (Jin Shi Data APP)

The 43rd trading day, win rate 97%, daily growth of 2% profit🉐

Today is March 18, 2026. The FOMC (Federal Reserve) meeting decision and dot plot will be announced today.
Due to the inclusion of the dot plot in this meeting, the market's expectations for future interest rate paths may experience significant fluctuations, categorized as a **【Major Impact】** event. Please be sure to check your trading account:
Risk Control: Extreme "spike" market conditions are currently very likely, please strictly control your positions, and if necessary, widen the grid spacing or temporarily halt high-frequency strategies.
Preventing Liquidation: Please ensure sufficient margin to avoid unexpected forced liquidations caused by sudden liquidity exhaustion.
Sentiment Window: Market sentiment before and after the meeting is extremely sensitive, it is recommended to focus on defense.

The 41st trading day, cumulative return +35.90%, win rate 97.40%, maximum drawdown 8.63%. Keep it up!

Trend Probability (ETHUSDT / BTCUSDT Today):

Upward Probability 38%
Fluctuation Probability 47%
Downward Probability 15%

28% profit 🉐 keep going!

Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan stated that if Bitcoin can capture a larger share of the global value storage market, it might reach $1 million per coin. Analysts believe this goal is more of a symbol of Bitcoin becoming an important global monetary asset, requiring long-term institutional adoption and support from the expansion of the value storage market.

315 Evening Party Exposes Stock Recommendation Profit-sharing Scam, Profit-sharing Institutions Become Meat-cutting Fraudsters' Den (Gold Ten Data APP)😍

Latest news, the Israel Defense Forces immediately announced that the Israeli Air Force launched a new round of large-scale airstrikes against targets located in Tehran.

U.S. Central Command: B-2 bombers carried out long-range strikes against Iran.

The Trump administration is expanding measures to isolate Cuba, offering 'incentives' to other countries to expel Cuban doctors.

Iron ore futures rose by more than 3%, boosted by expectations of tightening liquidity in the spot market. Analysts have indicated that amidst the interplay of long and short positions, the short-term iron ore market is expected to show a fluctuating yet strong trend, and caution is needed regarding the potential 'negative feedback' risks in the future.

The 10-year Japanese government bond yield rose by 3.5 basis points to 2.215%.

The overnight index swap (OIS) curve shows that the probability of the Bank of England raising interest rates by 25 basis points before the end of the year has risen to about 70%. (Golden Ten Data APP)

The European banking index continues its downward trend, currently down 4.4%. Deutsche Bank is down 7%, Barclays is down 6%, and Société Générale is down 5%.

Traders no longer fully price in the expectation that the Federal Reserve will cut rates once in 2026.

Oil prices continue to rise, with WTI crude April futures increasing by over 10% during the day, breaking through $96 per barrel.