The current drop of $BTC and cryptocurrencies in general is part of a market phase known as a bear market, this is not new, it is well known. From:
> Dec 2013 - Feb 2015: bitcoin went from $1,156.15 to $171.50
> Feb 2015 - Dec 2017: $171.50 to $20,089
> Dec 2017 - Dec 2018: $20,089 to $3,191.30
> Dec 2018 - Nov 2021: $3,191.30 to $68,789.63
> Nov 2021 - Nov 2022: $68,789.63 to $15,599.04
> Nov 2022 - Oct 2025: $15,599.04 - $126,198.07
Notice that each phase of decline lasts on average about 1 year and that the trough (or lowest price) of each of them is higher than its predecessor. In this logic, we can assert that the trough of this ongoing decline will be above $15,599.04 and will be reached around October 2026.
Buy the dips
The fact that the trough (or lowest price) of each bear market is higher than that of the previous bear market proves that despite the phases of declines, the long-term trend of bitcoin is undoubtedly bullish. With this trend, buying bitcoin is synonymous with profit if you are willing to hold long enough to realize it, hence HODL (hold without selling in panic).
The trough of a bear market is the buying point with the highest return on investment. But given that market analyses cannot predict with certainty the trough (or low price) that the market will reach during the bear market, it is recommended during a bear market to buy using the DCA method to capture an optimal average price.
Honestly, what were you doing before reading this article and what will you do now? Sell? HOLD? or Buy the dip?
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Even as Iran, Russia, and China strengthen their military forces - arms deliveries, intelligence exchanges since February 2026 - Bitcoin does not give an inch. As American and Israeli strikes hit Iran, the Strait of Hormuz threatens to close, Hezbollah is gearing up for battle... yet BTC holds strong. Amid regional chaos and global pressures, it remains steady around $70,000. Without flinching.
Meanwhile, stocks are falling but not Bitcoin. It even rises by 7 to 8%. This divergence speaks for itself. The asset no longer follows Wall Street like before. It stands firm when others are collapsing. No need to believe strongly to see the difference with gold. The week of March 16 to 22 could see it rise to around $74,000 to $76,000, provided everything remains calm elsewhere in the world. A move towards this range could be possible by the 19th, especially if funds arriving via ETFs continue their flow. This kind of dynamic also attracts heavy investors, recalling recent statements from figures like Michael Saylor. However, without strong signals, the price is more likely to seek support between $66,000 and $69,000 in the face of a tense economic context. A few data points or unforeseen events would be enough to tip the balance. On the other hand, any easing of international tensions would immediately reignite momentum towards unprecedented highs for Bitcoin. The connection to the current situation in the Middle East should not be underestimated.
$BTC / Where is it going? If it drops below 70,000, it's probably headed for a few days dominated by declines. But if it goes back up to 74,000 and breaks through the resistance, then it's a major sign of a super cycle, haha!๐
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Well, hereโs why... First, it is mainly based on the fact that the bear market has already hit the bottom and thus the most probable movements are upwards. Given that the daily trend has regained its bullish momentum, the bullish trends H4 within will probably have more amplitude, so I waited for the confirmation of the upward reversal of a H4 trend and I took a position.
But the continuity of the current daily trend is facing resistance at $74,000, so it is possible that from there it starts a daily decline (trend), which is why I first took profits.
Were you also in position earlier when the price drastically reversed from $74,000?
Thank you all for your presence, your exchanges, and your constant support here. Every interaction means a lot to me. I sincerely appreciate this community that we are building together. I wish you all an excellent weekend, take care of yourselves, enjoy your loved ones, and for those who remain in the marketsโฆ let's stay focused. โจ
Since the price fell to $60K last month, it has already gone above $71,000 several times without maintaining that level for long.
Technically, the bear market is still ongoing but shows signs of exhaustion. Optimism about a recovery in the market is increasingly fueled, but a reversal of the monthly trend would be needed to confirm it.
For a monthly trend to reverse upwards, bullish movements must first reverse the daily trend. Then, this strength must be maintained to reverse the weekly trend, which in turn must dominate for long enough to reverse the monthly trend. This is how a bull market is born.
For now, only the daily trend has regained its bullish momentum; however, combined with the reactions of the drawn oblique support, it has served as a basis for positions towards the upside.
$NOT / Notcoin, the famous tap-to-earn project that distributed thousands of dollars to people in 2024, just for tapping their screen is back!
A few days ago they shared an announcement with a rather humorous tone via their Telegram channel. This time, it offers puzzles, friend invitations, and skin collections in exchange for rewards in their token $NOT .
After 1 month providing liquidity for USDT/RIVER pool on Pancake Swap :
> Initial buy: ~$1k
- Position value: ~$1,650 - Earnings: ~$265 - Total profit: ~$900 (+90%)
Now imagine a 10x position, or running this across a few wallets !?
Not a Financial Advice, btw ! I came across the post on X from FabiusDefi. You can try to explore it but first, try to learn how liquidity pool works and the risks behind to avoid just loosing money. You can learn about it on Binance Academy.
You will not realize the importance of risk management until the day you lose everything or a large part of your capital. If you are trading on leverage to win big, be aware that at the same time you are running the risk of losing big. Manage your risks or not, I believe your experience will teach you that.
From February 5 to today, the price of the token $HAEDAL a fluctuated between 0.0223 and 0.0333 with an annual percentage rate (APR) of over 35% on the Haedal protocol.
This means that if you had purchased an amount 'n' of haedal tokens a month ago, and if you had directly subscribed to veHAEDAL, you would have at least + ~2% profit on your capital today.
It may be that the 63,000 $ - 60,000 $ zone that I had qualified as strong bearish pressure is actually an upward sloping support that pushes the price up with each rebound. An interesting thing is that the upward sloping support is bullish, and therefore each rebound on it is higher than the previous one, which is the technical characteristic of bullish trends.
So, concretely, to consider a bottom below 60,000 $, I think the price must first be able to go below this line. As long as the price is above this last one, the 60,000 $ previously touched has a high chance of being the lowest of the bearish market, and the current movements are likely the beginnings of the bullish recovery.