SHARING FROM REAL EXPERIENCE 🥲 2025: Airdrop Retreat – ICO/IDO TOUCHING ORANGE
The first half of 2025 is the "golden season" of airdrops, but the second half of the year shows that the game has changed rules. Airdrops are no longer the fertile ground they once were.
# From Hope to Disappointment
- Projects like MONAD, CAMP, RECALL, ANOMA… promise much, but the rewards mainly go to Dev & VC. - Users spend time and gas on tasks, but receive very little or are excluded from the list. - Even serious players, I grinded on EdgeX Rank 56, were blatantly scammed, you know.
# Pushing Users to ICO/IDO - When airdrops are no longer effective, MM shifts focus to ICO/IDO, riding on previous ICO projects that were "x5, x10" =))) But in reality, the price is heavily dumped right after launch: MONAD is a clear example 📉 This is how MM draws liquidity from the community once again. Don’t FOMO into ICO/IDO. Carefully examine the team, tokenomics, and real value.
Groups for “picking deals” are appearing more and more – but the benefits mainly belong to the deal creators, not the followers. If you want to survive, upgrade your mindset from being a skilled airdrop hunter to being an investor who knows how to manage risks.
🚀 Bitcoin: Technical Analysis & Expectations before the FED! I have 2 Plans for you to refer to
📈The chart shows that $BTC has successfully tested the strong support area of $83,000$ (2 times), confirming this area as a solid foundation for the next upward momentum. The market is heating up and bullish sentiment is dominating!
🎯 Scenario 1: Bullish Growth (Priority)Short-term momentum: BTC will continue to aim for the important resistance area of $98k$ ahead of the FED's interest rate announcement.Correction & Continuation: After hitting $98k$, there may be a retest/pullback to the $92k$ area to gain momentum.Long-term target: From $92k$, the upward momentum will continue, aiming for higher targets: $100,000$ and then $115,000$ - $126,000$.Technical image: A small W (double bottom) pattern is forming before a strong breakout to $98k$.
📉 Scenario 2: Price Decrease (Needs Monitoring)BTC cannot maintain momentum and is strongly rejected at the current resistance levels.Price will reverse and once again test the strong support area of $83,000$.Note: Currently, there is no macro news or negative event strong enough to drive this scenario, but traders always need to set a stop-loss below $83k$ to manage risk.
$ASTER is accumulating around 0.90–0.95, which is a strong bottom zone that has held price multiple times. Two large volume spikes have appeared, but the price hasn't dropped, indicating that a big player is collecting, and selling pressure has gradually weakened.
As long as it breaks above 1.00, Aster could surge quickly.
Reasons to buy spot / light long • Currently at a safe bottom zone, low risk. • Large volume at the bottom = signal of accumulation. • Sideway accumulation → preparing for a run.
Target • Near: 1.10 – 1.18 • Far: 1.28 – 1.35
Aster is "compressing power" and just waiting to explode.
✔️ From December 8th, Aster will accelerate the buyback speed daily from approximately 3M → 4M USD. ✔️ This will help bring all accumulated fees from November 10th on-chain faster, providing strong support for the price during market fluctuations. ✔️ It is expected that after 8–10 days, the mechanism will stabilize. From then on, the daily buyback will consistently maintain at 60–90% of the previous day's revenue until the end of Stage 4.
✔️ From December 8th, Aster will accelerate the buyback speed daily from approximately 3M → 4M USD. ✔️ This will help bring all accumulated fees from November 10th on-chain faster, providing strong support for the price during market fluctuations. ✔️ It is expected that after 8–10 days, the mechanism will stabilize. From then on, the daily buyback will consistently maintain at 60–90% of the previous day's revenue until the end of Stage 4.
Technical model: Chart forming a double bottom in the range of 0.20-0.25 USD, bullish reversal signal. The price is currently retesting the neckline ~0.28-0.29 USD, short-term MA is bullish, RSI ~43 still has room for increase.
On-chain data & market: 🔸Current price ~0.29 USD, market cap 2.18B USD, high volume (~338M USD/24h). 🔸Unlock 50.4M ENA on 2/12 creates short-term selling pressure, but whale accumulation is still active. 🔸Short-term sentiment is neutral-bearish, long-term bullish if the crypto market remains positive.
Trend forecast: 🔸Short-term (1-2 weeks): 0.35-0.40 USD (increase 20-35%), risk of testing 0.25 USD if selling pressure. 🔸Medium-term (December 2025): 0.45-0.50 USD if breakout, risk of decreasing to 0.21 USD. 🔸Long-term (2026+): 2.00-3.00 USD if stablecoin adoption and DeFi are strong.
Monitor volume, next unlock news, and BTC volatility.
ETH IS ABOUT TO ENTER "SCARCITY MODE" ON THE EXCHANGE – IF YOU DON'T BUY TODAY, YOU'LL REGRET IT TOMORROW
Brothers, this is no longer a story of "slight shortage". This is a red alert for those still on the sidelines: 👉 The amount $ETH on the exchange IS ONLY 8.7% – THE LOWEST SINCE ETH WAS CREATED (2015). To be clear: ETH is being withdrawn from the exchange at an exponential rate. The exchange is now as empty as a late afternoon market; if you want to buy a large quantity… sorry, there’s no stock left.
Since July? 🔥 ETH on the exchange has evaporated by 43%. And just like the classic bull market scenario: organizations are quietly locking the doors to accumulate stock, without a sound, without an explanation.
🆚 For easier comparison: • ETH on the exchange: 8.7% → both scarce and rare, on the brink of extinction • BTC on the exchange: 14.7% → low but still has some breath left
Where is ETH evaporating to? Not being sold. Not fleeing. ETH is being trapped in places where it cannot return to the exchange:
💠 Staking / Restaking → locked up, cannot be sold 💠 Layer-2 → sending it is like… “going down in history” 💠 Organizations accumulating stock like DAT → after buying, they lock it up, no discussions 💠 Cold wallets → put in the freezer, freezing any intention to sell 💠 DeFi collateral → locked to farm, no one is foolish enough to sell now
THE EXCHANGE IS RUNNING DRY – ORGANIZATIONS ARE SUCKING IT UP – AT THIS RATE, ETH IS ABOUT TO ENTER "SEVERE SCARCITY MODE".
Bitcoin OG just pumped an additional 60m USDC into HyperLiquid, raising the total capital to 70m and enhancing the Long position $ETH 5x, which has now reached 165m.
On-chain data shows that ETH is being withdrawn heavily from exchanges and transferred to staking wallets/institutions. The amount of ETH on exchanges has hit its lowest level since 2015, signaling that whales are intentionally creating scarcity. ETH could soon explode.
Peter Schiff is indeed a master of unintentional hype. Anti-Bitcoin, selling gold for a lifetime... but in a cruel twist, he has become the strongest free promoter of Bitcoin on the planet.
The more he attacks $BTC , the more he draws the community's attention — and then he gets invited to speak at Bitcoin conferences.
It's the market's paradox: The people who hate Bitcoin the most... end up being the most bullish on BTC. 🔥
🔥 $SOMI — the foundational token of the Somnia network: - L1 EVM-compatible - Extremely high TPS, low fees & finality under 1s.
With the new mainnet launched, +60 validators (including Google Cloud), +70 dApp/game/social & DeFi ready — Somnia is building “metaverse + Web3 mass adoption”. If the ecosystem takes off, SOMI could be the next major breakthrough.
Fixed supply, scarce like gold but with 24/7 liquidity, decentralized and heavily accumulated by large funds. In a world full of inflation and instability, Bitcoin has become the safest asset refuge.
After the strong bounce yesterday, $BTC is just a technical adjustment before holding a Higher Low — an extremely bullish signal. Each time it touches 92k3, it gets pulled back strongly, indicating that large funds are locking liquidity below.
ON-CHAIN • Coinbase Premium positive → US money is net buying. • Stablecoin inflow is increasing significantly → money is flowing into exchanges preparing to "shoot". • Miner outflow is low → miners are not selling, which usually happens before a pump.
ETF & FUNDS • ETF spot over the last 5 days has continuously inflowed ~350M USD/day. • Whale wallets & crypto funds are accumulating around 91–92k, with no large sell-offs.
PRICE
BTC is testing 93k again. The sellers can't push it down → if it surpasses 93k2, the price could run very quickly up to 94k due to a lack of liquidity in this area.