Rhea-反指姐姐

$TRUMP
Trump's visit to China (5.13-5.15) is a major personal event, and the crypto space often engages in "pre-event speculation". Historically, during Trump’s elections and policy announcements, TRUMP coin tends to pump significantly.
Will we see a spike this time?

$BTC The spokesperson for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs announced: President Donald Trump of the United States will be making a state visit to China from May 13 to 15.

$ETH
$SOL

$我踏马来了
Can this Chinese meme coin pump?

Put the trades on hold for now, get up and hit the gym, take care of your health, keep your mood in check, and let everything else flow naturally🏌️‍♀️🏌️‍♀️🏌️‍♀️

$TAO
TAO: This coin has wild price swings, super volatile, can we catch the wave?

No position is a tough spot 🫣

$ZEC
The next resistance level is around 700
Let's start building a short position, are we really expecting it to moon? 🙂‍↔️🙂‍↔️🙂‍↔️

$BTC
$ETH
$ZEC
In the short term, Bitcoin's price is likely to hit around 80k and face resistance. However, MicroStrategy is still stacking up, and the price has a high chance of pushing towards the next resistance level of 83k. From a long-term perspective, now is a good time to slowly build a short position with 2x low leverage; this multiplier is quite safe, and you won't have to worry much about liquidation.

It's important to remember that no asset can just keep climbing without dips. Bitcoin has been on a 40-day rally, and chasing long positions now might lead to catching the top, which isn't cost-effective at all. A more prudent approach is to set small short positions at higher levels and trade cautiously.

Additionally, there's no rush to enter ZEC. Wait until it reaches the next more stable resistance level around 450 before considering a short position.

$XAU $CL $ETH The Fed hits pause on rate cuts; Kashkari's in. On April 30, the Fed decided to maintain the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75%, in line with expectations.

This meeting had a unique backdrop: the US-Iran conflict has lasted over two months, causing oil prices to soar by 62.8%; Powell's last time chairing the FOMC, he will remain on the board after stepping down; new chair Kashkari confirmed to take over. Here’s the detailed breakdown:

1. Keeping rates unchanged revealed rare internal divisions. This marks the third consecutive pause on rate cuts since the end of 2025. Only Milan supported a 25 basis point cut, while three committee members opposed retaining the dovish stance in the statement, the highest number of dissenters in a policy meeting since 1992.

2. Powell’s stance was neutral, yet the overall statement sent hawkish signals. Powell stated that the thresholds for rate hikes and cuts are relatively equal, indicating no rush to pivot. However, the meeting statement was clearly hawkish: it was the first time Middle Eastern tensions were factored in, confirming that inflation remains elevated, partly driven by rising energy prices, and explicitly stating that "Middle Eastern tensions pose high uncertainty for the economy." Furthermore, Powell's continued board membership creates internal checks that influence the pace of rate cuts.

3. Asset pricing leans hawkish, with limited volatility. The market had anticipated this, leading to a slight strengthening of the dollar index post-decision, higher US Treasury yields, and pressure on non-dollar assets like gold; the Nasdaq saw a slight uptick driven by tech earnings. Moving forward, key assets will focus on oil prices and the US economy.

4. The threshold for rate cuts in the second half of the year is high; key attention on Kashkari’s new framework. Middle Eastern tensions continue to elevate the rate cut threshold, and March CPI year-on-year hit 3.3%; three FOMC members opposed retaining a dovish stance, and Kashkari's early tenure faces checks from committee votes, making the rate cut threshold quite high for the second half.

However, Kashkari’s new framework may facilitate rate cuts. If oil prices fall and inflation slows down, cuts could still materialize. Despite his cautious stance on maintaining independence during hearings, pressure from the White House is objectively present. Kashkari advocates for balance sheet reduction instead of rate cuts; he aims to lessen reliance on lagging data (like quarterly dot plots); and plans to use "trimmed mean" to measure inflation, filtering out the most extreme price fluctuations to reduce short-term noise.

The probability of rate hikes is low but vigilance is necessary; if energy prices surge again due to escalating conflicts, leading to a complete decoupling of inflation expectations, the Fed may be forced to restart rate hikes to maintain credibility.

$BTC Major Alert! Tonight's Fed decision could trigger another Bitcoin crash! Retail traders, pay attention!

Listen up, fam! There's a dangerous pattern that's hit 5 times in a row, and it might play out again tonight!

Since last September, the Fed has held 5 meetings, and without fail, Bitcoin has taken a nosedive every time! The drop usually ranges from 10% to 30%, and there's been no escape!

So, the odds are high that tonight's outcome will be a drop! But remember, the decline won't happen all at once; it's a shaky downward process with some small bounces in between. Based on historical patterns, this pullback cycle is expected to last about 7 days, with a conservative estimate of a 10-point drop within that timeframe.

Let’s mark the key support levels: Bitcoin's core support sits at 74,500 and 70,500. It already dipped to 75,500 yesterday, so some of the pullback space has been released. For our high-leverage buddies, it’s time to take some profits and secure those gains! The market has started to rebound slightly, and the short-term resistance is at 78,000. If we hit that level, it’s a prime opportunity to short again!

By the way, regarding oil, I've been layering in some shorts gradually. The strategy is simple: only 10% position size each time, using 1-3x low leverage—keeping it steady! I've already taken a 30% position, and if we see a rebound to around 108, I’ll complete the last 10% of my position, then hold long-term. Just waiting for the US-Iran talks to finalize, at which point oil prices will likely see a significant plunge, and I’ll be ready to cash in!

The market is ever-changing, and tonight’s Fed meeting is the crucial turning point. Stay sharp, catch the rhythm, and ride the trend for profits!
$ETH

$BTC
1. Bitcoin has been on a rally for nearly 30 days, and it's finally starting to pull back. It shot up too much previously, so this pullback is likely to be significant. Many are wondering, just how low will it drop?

2. Let's check the key support levels: the first strong support is around 74,300. If it drops here, it might be a good idea to close a portion of your shorts or take a small position to catch a bounce. If this level doesn't hold, the next target is likely 71,000. No need to get greedy; just keep an eye on the 74,300 mark.

3. Right now, there's a minor support near 76,500, but I wouldn't recommend going long here. If the price bounces back and you haven't shorted yet, this could be a good opportunity to gradually build your short position. After all, there's a Fed meeting early Thursday morning, and the outlook is leaning bearish, so the overall trend is still downward.

4. For those using high leverage, consider taking some profits at the current level and reducing your leverage to a lower multiple for more stability. We shorted from 79,000 to now 76,500, and the profits are already looking good. If there's another bounce, keep adding to your shorts; if not, just hold onto your lower-leverage position and wait to take profits in stages when we hit the target level.

The daily indicators for Bitcoin ($BTC ) are nearing the overbought zone, signaling that a local top is getting closer. Looking back at historical trends, every time BTC enters the daily overbought region, it usually approaches a short-term peak, often followed by a significant pullback. Considering the current market, I'm planning to gradually build my short position:

I'm using a three-phase strategy to enter, with each phase only utilizing 10% of my position size and applying 2x low leverage for a more stable approach.

The ideal short zone for the first batch is around 78,500—79,500; the next strong resistance above is at 81,500. The market may not necessarily reach this level, but I need to have my position plan ready in advance.

Currently, all technical indicators are close to their peak turning points, but the ongoing talks between the US and Iran have not yet materialized, so there's a chance that news could temporarily push the market higher. Not wanting to miss this high-level opportunity, I’ve chosen to build my position in phases. Once the market begins a deep pullback, there will be plenty of room to drop. Even if I get slightly trapped around 78,000 in the short term, a short position entered at 75,000 can still be successfully unraveled for profit later.

Rather than obsessing over perfectly timing the top to short, I'm more concerned about missing this current high opportunity. A small temporary loss is just that—temporary; I've already mentally prepared for the associated risks. Previously, we established a short position at 78,500, which was successfully closed at 76,800 for a profit. My position is now fully cleared, with ample capital at hand, perfectly poised to gradually recharge at these high levels for a long-term, low-leverage trend play.

$ETH

$DOGE Recently, the hottest asset on the market is definitely **$DOGE Dogecoin**, closely tied to Elon Musk's latest moves. The expectations for the X payment ecosystem are continually gaining traction, with funds showing maximum interest and the market sentiment being the strongest mainline.

It's a good time to consider opening long positions.

$BTC
Layout short position
Optional short near 77000
Target 1: 75000
Target 2: 73500
Target 3: 70000+
Stop loss: 78500

$BTC
Bitcoin's 78,000 peak signal is clear! Next, look here for buying opportunities.

Bitcoin has just touched the high-pressure level of 78,000, and this wave of increase starting from 65,000 has likely peaked! The trend is too typical, with a false breakout above the previous high of 76,000 before soaring to 78,000 and then turning down directly; a pullback is already a certainty.

The core support below is in the range of 75,000-75,500, which is the previous small platform consolidation level and has strong support. My plan is very clear: buy on a pullback here with a small position to bet on a rebound, targeting only 1%-2% safe profit, not being greedy; once there is a slight drop below support, cut losses decisively and strictly control risks.

Seize short-term opportunities and run; don't linger or hold positions, preserving capital is more important than anything else!

$BTC
This Bitcoin rebound is a short-term correction driven by news, not a trend reversal, with significant resistance at previous high levels above. The historical peak of 76,000 is a strong pressure point, and the bulls have struggled to maintain their position despite multiple attempts, likely facing resistance and a fallback here; the market is prone to false breakouts that entice buying, likely spiking to around 78,000-79,000 before quickly retreating. These two key resistance levels present good shorting opportunities at high levels.
The short-term support for the bulls is at 72,800; stabilizing at this position after a retracement is suitable for following the trend with low buys. Currently, the geopolitical situation is volatile, and the capital relay is insufficient, making the risk of chasing high positions extremely high. Operate strictly according to key pressure and support zones, avoiding blindly following the trend to chase prices up.
$TRUMP

$BTC Bitcoin has been consolidating above for three months, with the high point around 76,000. The price has retraced after hitting the previous resistance level, and the trend is very conventional. Many people want to know if there can be a rebound after the retracement, the answer is yes, but you must find the key support levels to enter the market.

Currently, the strong support for Bitcoin is concentrated above 72,700. Entering the market to go long when the price reaches this range will have ample room for a rebound, and the risk-to-reward ratio is very favorable.

Many people are most concerned: will 76,000 be the top of this round?
It cannot be 100% certain, but the probability is not small. Referring to the previous top trends this year, it is highly likely that the market will break above to around 78,000, luring retail investors to chase the rise, and then quickly drop to wash out all the chasing positions. Moreover, 76,000 is itself a very strong resistance, and a drop under pressure is also a normal trend.

So the practical approach is to lay out directly in two steps:
I have already placed short orders in advance at the two resistance levels of 75,000 and 78,000, which is more prudent for high-level positioning. Currently, the price has fallen from the high to around 73,000, and the double top is under pressure to decline, which completely matches the previous prediction.

Right now, I will first take partial profits on my short order at 75,000 and exit, and when the price rebounds, I will continue to position short orders at high levels. The market is greatly affected by news, and the trend can change at any time.

As for going long, the approach must be conservative and steady; the current price level is relatively high, absolutely do not chase long, only wait for the price to retrace to the key support of 72,700-73,000, and then lightly enter long positions to speculate on the rebound.

Market trading must not be done blindly; even if geopolitical situations bring favorable increases, do not chase high positions after the gains have been exhausted. Lay low and enter under pressure at high levels; only act when the position is suitable, and trading will be more prudent.
$ETH

$BTC
Layout short order
Target 1: 70800
Target 2: 70500
Target 3: 69500
Stop loss: 72500

On April 12, U.S. Vice President Vance stated that negotiations between the United States and Iran had not reached an agreement, and the U.S. negotiating delegation he led would return home. The U.S. side has shown 'considerable flexibility and sincerity' during the negotiations. Throughout approximately 21 hours of talks, the U.S. delegation maintained communication with Trump and the national security team and has presented Iran with a 'final proposal,' awaiting a response from the other side. The Iranian side claimed that due to 'U.S. greed and ambition,' the two parties have still not reached an agreement.

Once again, the discussions did not go well.

$BTC The Iran-U.S. negotiations have significant positive developments, and the direction of the cryptocurrency market is completely clarified.

The situation between the U.S. and Iran has welcomed its first breakthrough news! Just now, the U.S. side has officially agreed to unfreeze Iran's overseas frozen assets, signaling a clear compromise from the U.S. side, which greatly increases the probability of peaceful negotiations between the two parties, easing geopolitical risk sentiment across the board.

With this positive support, the logic of the Bitcoin bullish market remains valid, but the timing of entry must be well controlled. We started to gradually build a long position at the 70,000 level, and the main profits have been firmly secured. Once the price of the currency rises above 74,000, the risk-reward ratio will shrink significantly, and the risks of going long will continue to rise. Even going long at lower levels carries considerable hidden dangers. Cherish the remaining stable market conditions; if the market pulls back to the 71,500-72,000 range, we will cautiously build long positions with light holdings. Be very careful when going long at higher price levels and avoid blindly chasing.

In addition, ZEC has seen a significant short-term surge, and the space for a pullback has completely opened up, getting closer to our high target. An ideal entry point for short positions is around 415, and we can start to set up short positions in batches at the 400 level. After a consecutive short-term surge, there is plenty of space for a subsequent pullback and correction.

$ETH
$ZEC

$ZEC $BTC ZEC trend interpretation｜The explosive rally is about to come to an end, and the short position strategy is clear

ZEC's recent trend has been extremely strong, starting from the 200 mark and rising sharply. After a slight pullback of 10% at the previous high resistance of 330, it surged directly to 380. In just one week, the price doubled, and the upward momentum is quite fierce. However, the market will not always rise unilaterally; after the explosive growth, the risk of a pullback has already arrived, and the following high position strategy is given to everyone.

From the market perspective, strong resistance for ZEC is concentrated around 415. Once the price approaches this range, one can set short positions, and entering the 400-415 range in batches is more prudent. The first support below is at 375, and the second target is at 350. In the short term, after a doubling in one week, the bullish momentum is severely consumed, and there is ample space for subsequent downward adjustments.

During the previous phase of market volatility pause, the overall strategy focused on buying low, so during the collective surge of altcoins, we did not blindly follow to go long. The price of cryptocurrencies can never rise without limits, and above 400 is the key pressure point for bulls. Once the pressure range is touched, one can enter short positions accordingly.

Important reminder: The CPI data will be announced tonight, and the market will likely experience significant volatility. The risks from news must be closely monitored, and risk control must be well executed.

Bitcoin continues to maintain the low position long arbitrage strategy, with the current key support located around 71,200 and 70,000. Once the price pulls back to the right place, one can gradually increase long positions. Recently, the profits from Bitcoin long positions have been very stable, and if the market stabilizes after a pullback, one can continue to set positions. Once the price approaches the pressure point of 74,000, the opportunities for bulls will significantly decrease, and at that time, no further long positions will be pursued.