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What determines whether you should take profits is not the size of the gain, but whether the core logic driving the market is beginning to weaken.

Many traders make the mistake of focusing only on price itself, while ignoring the 'reason' behind price movements. After a significant market rally, if you find that fundamental improvements are no longer strengthening—and instead are showing signs of reversal, such as inventories rebuilding, policy expectations turning, or downstream demand slowing—then even if prices remain high and range-bound, you should gradually consider taking profits. Conversely, if prices surge but fundamentals continue to strengthen, despite short-term rapid gains leading to increased volatility, selling too early may cause you to miss the latter part of the main upward wave.

Beyond fundamentals, traders should also monitor changes in market structure. Before a strong trend truly ends, there are often subtle but dangerous signals, such as rising prices requiring less and less volume, new highs failing to coincide with increasing conviction, or heightened intraday volatility that fails to push prices higher effectively. These signals don't necessarily mean an immediate reversal, but they often indicate that the market is shifting from 'trend-driven' to 'emotion-driven' trading. At this stage, holding on isn't necessarily wrong, but you must recognize that risks are rising, and your profit-taking strategy should become more proactive.
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