fermateus

We are seeing a day with the same characteristics as yesterday, the #BTC continues on the lateral channel that has already been working (below $70K).

Despite the Economic data not coming "good", the market basically ignored it, as the focus here still seems to be the situation around Iran. Let's see if we reach an agreement in the coming weeks.

The Bears continue their arrogant actions, with some large SHORT orders at $69K, notice that as the price remains below $70K, more and more leveraged SELLERS lower their orders to near the current prices, the right recipe for getting trapped and then liquidated with a small rise.

The large SPOT buyers are interested in these prices, but these are Kings and do not care.

The leveraged traders make grotesque mistakes at this point in particular, as the scenario being formed becomes evident: The price takes time to move, so both sides increase their bets, both sides also get closer liquidation prices, then a SMALL movement shortly after liquidates the side that has more liquidity and the interesting thing is that the price WILL NOT change the structure, since the leveraged traders themselves left their liquidations within the fluctuation zone.

I don’t understand what difficulty exists in just tracing the lateral channel and trading its extremes. 😒🙄

The Spot BUYERS are the Kings here, but if you are leveraged... then the direction doesn’t matter, you must KNOW how to move or you will lose, even if you are right in the direction.

During the next few hours, the market should react more positively, but we still need a resolution to this situation with Iran, as it seems we are on the brink of things, and an action or agreement should come out.

We need to recover the $68.3K TODAY.

Bumped into this guy at a restaurant. Maybe I should go workout with him. If you know him, you, like me, probably spend too much time on social media.

We are starting another weekend in the land of #BTC e this time still below $70K which is what we need for a bigger reaction from the Bulls.

Obviously, this weekend is different from the others in terms of emotions, since we are coming off a strong decline and an WAIT for more rise to improve the charts, but I don't expect much from this moment, to be honest I still think we will play the same game (a lateral oscillation between $68K/70K) is likely the most probable.

Many in the market are still waiting to see if Saylor will buy on Sunday, I don't know what people are thinking...but certainly, those who doubt that Saylor will continue to add are because they don't know Saylor. He is the true BULL!

Some large institutions should appear again on Sunday and take us to $72K at some point there, but what matters is literally the weekly opening. Keep an eye out!

We were making quick progress in resolving the US vs Iran impasse, but it seems we have slowed down and are retreating on that, which is not very good since Trump can say any nonsense over the weekend.

I know people want to see a V recovery, but that's not the most likely, so...it's natural for today's movement.

I will probably update some charts, but today I'm still focusing on answering as many DMs on INSTA as possible, so...it should happen by the end of the day.

Enjoy the weekend to relax, the most valuable asset we have is TIME, it cannot go back or be bought, no matter how much money we have. 💛🤝🏻

The economic data has come out and it seems that the market hated it (once again).

Despite the ADP coming in below expectations, signaling a slowdown in the labor market, the service data (PMI and ISM) showed an economy that is still resilient and heated.

This reduces the probability of cuts by Powell (FED), and reinforces the scenario that was already feared: that we will not have any more cuts until Powell's mediocre exit.

The stock market also fell along with the #BTC and crypto in general. Gold also continued to decline.

The market's adjustment of expectations has again brought the price back close to the lowest point in the last drop. As I mentioned earlier today, the daily close is not the most necessary; the next 4 hours will already serve to give us a good idea if this lowest point at $72.9K will hold.

In May of this year, we will have a new President at the FED who will certainly work for rate cuts, and something significant, so... Powell's days here are already numbered.

We are becoming extremely oversold even on the weekly chart; there is no way the bottom is much further away.

#BTC

The $74.6K acted as a good support today, and it's serving to target the $80K...today is extremely important, we must reverse this current region (orange), break through and establish solid support above $80K is crucial to avoid seeking lower prices.

The main target in the short term is the $91K, many sales are accumulating there, so the longer we take to get there, the more sales will increase...probably those SHORTs will be activated and then trapped, their liquidation will give us the momentum to go higher, that's the most likely scenario.

Big buyers continue to accumulate, it makes total sense...since it’s a great discount.

It is evident that changing opinions every time a new candle appears is much easier and is what most people do, but it doesn’t fit MY trading style. It’s not about blindly following a path, it’s just about maintaining greater clarity while everything else is in a downtrend.

On the first weekly candle we make, many BEARS today will post “WE’RE BACK”, it’s normal.

One thing no one is talking about is that the new FED Chairman has been announced, and we are not seeing people optimistic about him, which is understandable since we have had numerous disappointments with people we shouldn’t have. Anyway, I am OPTIMISTIC about what he will say as soon as he has the opportunity, the market will certainly like it and react positively. Time will tell!

If you are in the Trade, then there are numerous opportunities to trade quickly, keep leverage at reasonable levels and prefer the extremes on the chart, don’t stay in the middle.

A great week to all of us!
Stay Safe!

A little while ago I went to post on SQUARE, which is my favorite place to talk about Crypto, and then I saw a notification from Binance informing me that I had won 1 #BNB , that was pretty cool!

I constantly make it clear my admiration and respect I have for Binance and I thank them for the long years of support I have had for creating content about Crypto. Therefore, I want to give a special thanks to Binance and the entire team behind Binance Square, especially @Daniel Zou (DZ) 🔶 and @Karin Veri for all the support and affection! 💛

Thank you for recognizing all the work I have been doing, dedicating myself to educating, sharing knowledge, and strengthening the Crypto community; you help me tremendously in this work.

Square has become much more than a social network; it is a learning environment, an exchange of ideas, analyses, news, and collective growth.
A space where anyone looking to evolve in the market finds serious, transparent, and high-quality content.

Initiatives like this show Binance's commitment not only to technology and liquidity but also to financial education, investor formation, and strengthening the ecosystem.

Binance Square is the best place today to learn about Crypto directly from those who live the market.

Thank you to Binance, to the Square team, and to the community that values the content I have been posting, and supports me daily. You are the best!

We continue building, learning, and evolving together. 🤝🏻💛🚀

🚨 ANOTHER SIMPSONS PREDICTION HAS LEAKED 👀🟡
The Simpsons dropped another clue… and most people MISSED it.
🧠 On the chalkboard: "(D)"
Casual viewers don't get it.
Legends know what this means… $DASH ⚡
The story shows one thing: the Simpsons never explain — they signal.
By the time the crowd figures out the move, it's already gone.
Silent clue.
Old coin.
High potential for return. 💥
👁️‍🗨️ Watch closely.
The warning was subtle… but real.
#SimpsonsIndicator #MarketRebound #HiddenSignals #CryptoLegends #StrategyBTCPurchase

Dominance of $BTC

I can't help but be OPTIMISTIC when I look at this chart (BTC.D). Notice that in just two weeks we rapidly dropped down to this green zone around 58.70%, which allowed Altcoins to recover a bit more.

As long as we remain above 58% here, Altcoins will continue struggling to make strong recoveries, but the moment we start moving below 58%, that's when you'll see Altcoins rebounding very quickly.

It's clear we need to break through this green zone to see anything strong, but look at the red zone on the chart (just below)—that's where it gets really interesting...WE SHOULD SEE A STRONGER AND FASTER DIP THE MOMENT WE BREAK THROUGH THE 58.27% REGION. What truly matters is the movement from 58.27% down to 54%, as many Altcoins will make incredible gains.

It seems there's no more room for another upward attempt, so I hope we break through this current region in the coming days.

We must stay alert for a breakdown below 58.27%; a retest down there is what will directly put us into a broad Altcoin recovery, giving us a setup reminiscent of the Altseason of 2021—confirm this.

If you were thinking the ALTSEASON had been canceled...YOU COULD NOT BE MORE WRONG!

An ALTSEASON is inevitable!

CHANGES 2026 !!! (part1)

We are starting another year, 2026...I am grateful to everyone who is here supporting me daily, both here at SQUARE and on the other networks I have.

I have never had the main goal of the number of followers, but it was natural for the significant increase in friends who have joined over the years, and I am immensely grateful for each one who supports me here, and I constantly thank everyone.

Unlike many of my friends, who have a different vision of what "followers" represent, I believe that each friend here is a sign that we are building a strong community that aims to help each other.

It’s a new year and with that, we also need to innovate...in light of this, some changes will be implemented in my Social Networks. Here we go:

1️⃣ Twitter/ X: That is probably the biggest change we will have, as my account on Twitter has always been used until today to interact with some coins that I support and to interact with some people who are leaders in the Global Crypto sector.

However, from now on...I will also use my account there to "question" and "publicly pressure" some projects that at some point deviated from their original purpose and ended up drastically changing their direction, like the recent case of $VRA and others.

Note here that this is not about meme coins and even less about projects that have not had a good project since their inception; I am referring to good projects that along the way turned in a different direction. Why is that? Simple, today most coins bet on the community's lack of memory and therefore they do as they please, whenever they want, and basically no one posts about it, as it does not generate engagement, does not generate revenue, and does not generate support. However, I do not worry about that, and I also do not live by engagement, so I think I will do a good job...

$BTC

This is the last day of the year, a truly important closure in many aspects and NOW we will all agree that the 4-year cycle has been broken, without a doubt. Something unprecedented is coming from here...the next years will be glorious for Cryptos.

Despite the "sadness" in the market, we have made good numbers this year of 2025, it is true that #BTC was the leader and very few altcoins had any success, but obviously, it is explained by the fact that we saw institutional interest much faster and greater than we anticipated for 2025. The arrival of these gigantic investors broke the 4-year cycle format and placed us in a new model now, where the small investor will have much more difficulties...but this is a post for another day, let's go to the chart.

Despite being below $90K, it seems we will close with a balance here, and it is evident that it is being done surgically.

These levels that have been preserved on both sides, both $90K and $84K are essential for BULLS and BEARS, but despite the price "looking" stronger in the drop, the real movement seems to be on the opposite side (BULLS).

Those responsible for the FORCED resistance at $90K will not be able to maintain this for much longer, and this failure to keep the price below the EMA 200 (4H) is what will place us at $98K as soon as we break there.

It is evident that because we are in DECEMBER, many analysts, traders, and negotiators might think for a moment that we are forming a distribution to start a bear market in 2026, BUT THIS THINKING IS THE MOST WRONG they could have. The annual closure tells us that we have something unprecedented here, so how could we follow the thinking of distribution now? We cannot!

Despite not having found support in the green range on the chart (that is what is needed), we can still close above $88K (keep an eye on it) and start 2026 with a demonstration of strength from the BULLS.

It’s a new year, but the levels are the same, don’t change!

$BTC

We made a new attempt to break the $90K level right at the weekly opening, although prices rose very quickly... we couldn't surpass the yellow resistance zone on the chart, and this failure brought us back to the $86.6K region, which is also an area of interest.

The game remains the same here, and the next 4 hours will be essential for the BULLS, as keeping the price above $86.6K will give us strength to attack the $90K level again.

Both sides are still being hunted, but now we are seeing fewer liquidations (BOTH SIDES ARE RUNNING OUT OF MONEY hahahah), since $103M in shorts were liquidated and shortly thereafter $40M in longs were liquidated. Note that the previous liquidations were larger with the same movement.

Big whales have been buying whenever Bitcoin approaches $84K, so we still have good support in that region, and they should act soon, especially if retail shows weakness here.

Our dear Saylor bought 1,229 Bitcoins yesterday, he is the true BULL, we know that.

Even with the rapid drop of BTC, ETH is still holding up reasonably well, and after the whale PENSION closed its SHORT position in ETH (with a loss of $3.4M)... it facilitated prices to remain stronger and we have a good chart over there. This directly helps Altcoins to remain more stable.

It is true that we started the week with high volatility, but we didn't expect it to be different, right?!

Nothing has changed, and the levels are the same, and until one of the sides gives up, the thinking should remain the same, and TRADERs should position themselves at the extremes.

- Recover the $90K, and then we will be ready to go to $98K and we will have a better definition of the next steps for 2026.

I wish EVERYONE a great week, full of successes and good profits.

It's Christmas Day and the market is trading with very few people, but still, the $90K in #BTC is likely.

Despite expecting greater volatility tomorrow, I think we can break $90K in the coming days. However, what matters is the real movement in January.

The dominance of USDT still needs to pull back considerably for us to have any decent recovery. In the new year, we will have a much more predictable environment, and that should help significantly with confidence in the market overall, so we should see money returning to altcoins and Bitcoin.

Also, we need ETH to recover to $3.2K for us to have even more strength in Altcoins.

There are incredible opportunities throughout the altcoin market, you should take advantage of this!

It's Christmas, and until we pass the end of the year, consider that we have very few people online, and any rapid movement is extremely dubious.

We will start to prove that the 4-year cycle has been completely broken, it'll be interesting! 🥳💛

Enjoy Christmas with those you love!

MERRY CHRISTMAS to all my friends here!

I wish all the best to EVERYONE here and enjoy alongside those who truly love you.

Thank you for another CHRISTMAS together and for all the love, care, and daily support that you dedicate to me.

Be happy! 💛🚀

Many BUY positions using LEVERAGE are being executed since morning, the price of #BTC is literally at resistance.

If you don't want to be hunted and lose your money for nothing, I SUGGEST you LOWER the leverage.

I am surprised at how quickly people are to use leverage on any upward movement, and worst of all: IN terrible places on the chart.

Don't anticipate, wait for a clear breakout of the resistance and a valid retest. The opposite won't work! 🤝🏻

$BTC

In just 24 hours we made two attempts to break the $90K (yellow range on the chart), but we are still being rejected in that region... I'm not surprised by the fact that we have difficulties there, but rather by the fact that we are seeing a rapid 5% fluctuation in Bitcoin.

One thing that also surprises me is that in a 5% fluctuation we had over $150M being liquidated. The worst part is that the same play is being used constantly and leveraged traders can't LOWER their leverage or enter the extremes of the chart, what madness.

As I mentioned earlier, it would be important for us to observe the IPC data, they played a fundamental role in the rise of prices, and obviously, they will serve for an OPTIMISTIC narrative regarding Powell's next steps... but the current price action is quite unstable.

With this failure to recover the $90K, the BULLS will need to show insane strength in the next 4 hours. If we do not make a daily close above $86.5K, then the BULLS will start to have problems.

The levels are incredibly easy, so keep things simple:

As long as we do not break the $90K and form some support above the 50/100 EMAs, the BEARS are at an advantage, and will continue to try to push the price down to $80K (gray range on the chart).

As we approach Christmas, we should see more movements driven by liquidity on the chart, an even bigger hunt for STOPS and liquidations should occur more frequently, since we will have

The Bank of Japan event is something the entire market is already expecting and very likely MOST of our Asian friends who would sell have already done so this week. So it shouldn't be the end of the world, don't take actions based on fear.

How can COINBASE be selling so much? 🤔

Today the founder of Binance made an important reminder...

"If you've ever envied people who bought cheap cryptocurrencies and managed to hold onto them during the cycles, think about what they did in moments like this."

Reflect on this and make your decisions... 🤝🏻💛

I diovanelopes.com.br

Look at the earnings projection that the Intelligent Pi Calculator made for me 😃
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The #BTC did not have a good close at $90K, and temporarily lost our support at $89K. Despite this, the movement seems to be closely tied to the increase of the narrative around the Japanese Central Bank; it does not appear to be a real downward movement... we will know in the next 12H.

A recovery of these levels is a must for the Bulls now, especially with the busy week we should have.

I am building 3 new LONG positions now; I will be ready to close them if we start to show real weakness.

A downward or upward movement motivated by news, during the weekend... is not something that should scare people; on the contrary...

The Bears are starting to lose strength here, and large buyers are building good positions in the current regions, so... a little more time and the charts should look better for the Bulls. Time will tell!

I see many people talking about being afraid of "entering a bear market," but that wouldn't be possible... since we have NOT yet exited the bear market, so... basically, there is no way to enter something we are already in 😒.

Everyone I see bringing this thought makes it clear that they do not understand the correct sequence of the market and think that the bull cycle is based only on the initial rise of BTC, thus creating the false illusion that the bull cycle has already happened, which is obviously completely wrong. However, as our dear Satoshi said: If you do not understand or do not want to understand, SORRY I do not have time to insist with you! 🤝🏻💛

The $126K was not the definitive top for Bitcoin, and the Altcoins did not have any significant RISE, therefore, a true BULLRUN has not happened yet, but it will!

A Vanguard, with $11 trillion in assets under management, will allow its clients to buy Cryptocurrency ETFs starting tomorrow.

Vanguard was one of the last major institutions to resist the Crypto market, and now it is in, this move will bring trillions of dollars.

This is how adoption really happens!
Once again, after a reasonable drop... a new institutional giant enters the market, if you can't see what is really happening, then you are looking the wrong way.

I will never sell any of my coins at these prices or for the next few months. 💛✊🏻🚀