Rebbecca Rinaldi Sn2l
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Btc
$BTC The Logic of Bargain Hunting and Bear Market Strategies Under Weakness
The current Bitcoin market is showing significant weakness, with the ahr999 index dipping near 0.4, reaching an extreme bargain hunting range, which is on par with the first entry into the bargain hunting line stage in June 2022. If the previous trend is mechanically replicated, BTC theoretically still has a 40% decline, targeting 47,000, but this round lacks the core conditions of the deep bear market of 2022, and blindly seeking a sword by carving a boat is inadvisable.
The deep bear market of 2022 was due to BTC significantly deviating from its valuation, the credit explosion of FTX, the mining machine shutdown price being breached, and mainstream altcoins experiencing over 90% extreme retracement, resulting in a resonance of multiple negative factors. This round of the market has four key differences:
1. The entire bull market was moderate, ahr999 did not effectively break through the fixed investment line 1, valuations did not show severe bubbles, and there was no foundation for deep bubble squeezing;
2. ETFs have become a core new variable, with on-site funds at the level of 50 billion USD having an average cost of 84,000-86,000, and the current price is already at a floating loss; without systemic credit events, BTC is unlikely to operate below this cost for a long time;
3. There is currently no risk of credit explosion at the exchange level, lacking black swan events to trigger extreme drops;
4. The retracement of mainstream altcoins is only 70%-80%, not reaching the “despair level” adjustment of a deep bear market, and market panic has not been fully released.
Based on this, the operational strategy for this round of the bear market is clear and definite:
✅ BTC is the only core asset suitable for medium to large fixed investments; altcoins can only serve as high-risk bets in a bear market and do not have long-term holding value;
✅ The mining machine shutdown price range of 60,000-65,000 is the core execution point for disciplined fixed investment and should be gradually laid out;
✅ Without significant black swan events, the probability of BTC falling below 50,000 is extremely low.
It is worth paying close attention to the fact that BTC.D (Bitcoin market cap ratio) trending higher for the long term may become the norm in the future. The diversion of funds from altcoins in 2017 and 2021 is essentially a phase result of excessively elevated market risk appetite; in the next cycle, funds will be more inclined to avoid the risk of air coins and concentrate on BTC core assets. This also means that this round of the bear market is very likely to be the last significant bear market for the crypto market.
The current core operational guideline: ammunition should be reserved for the real deep bear bottom, rather than being consumed by short-term emotional fluctuations; the long bull trend of Bitcoin is no longer far away.
#加密 $ETH
The current Bitcoin market is showing significant weakness, with the ahr999 index dipping near 0.4, reaching an extreme bargain hunting range, which is on par with the first entry into the bargain hunting line stage in June 2022. If the previous trend is mechanically replicated, BTC theoretically still has a 40% decline, targeting 47,000, but this round lacks the core conditions of the deep bear market of 2022, and blindly seeking a sword by carving a boat is inadvisable.
The deep bear market of 2022 was due to BTC significantly deviating from its valuation, the credit explosion of FTX, the mining machine shutdown price being breached, and mainstream altcoins experiencing over 90% extreme retracement, resulting in a resonance of multiple negative factors. This round of the market has four key differences:
1. The entire bull market was moderate, ahr999 did not effectively break through the fixed investment line 1, valuations did not show severe bubbles, and there was no foundation for deep bubble squeezing;
2. ETFs have become a core new variable, with on-site funds at the level of 50 billion USD having an average cost of 84,000-86,000, and the current price is already at a floating loss; without systemic credit events, BTC is unlikely to operate below this cost for a long time;
3. There is currently no risk of credit explosion at the exchange level, lacking black swan events to trigger extreme drops;
4. The retracement of mainstream altcoins is only 70%-80%, not reaching the “despair level” adjustment of a deep bear market, and market panic has not been fully released.
Based on this, the operational strategy for this round of the bear market is clear and definite:
✅ BTC is the only core asset suitable for medium to large fixed investments; altcoins can only serve as high-risk bets in a bear market and do not have long-term holding value;
✅ The mining machine shutdown price range of 60,000-65,000 is the core execution point for disciplined fixed investment and should be gradually laid out;
✅ Without significant black swan events, the probability of BTC falling below 50,000 is extremely low.
It is worth paying close attention to the fact that BTC.D (Bitcoin market cap ratio) trending higher for the long term may become the norm in the future. The diversion of funds from altcoins in 2017 and 2021 is essentially a phase result of excessively elevated market risk appetite; in the next cycle, funds will be more inclined to avoid the risk of air coins and concentrate on BTC core assets. This also means that this round of the bear market is very likely to be the last significant bear market for the crypto market.
The current core operational guideline: ammunition should be reserved for the real deep bear bottom, rather than being consumed by short-term emotional fluctuations; the long bull trend of Bitcoin is no longer far away.
#加密 $ETH
Btc
$BTC The Logic of Bargain Hunting and Bear Market Strategies Under Weakness
The current Bitcoin market is showing significant weakness, with the ahr999 index dipping near 0.4, reaching an extreme bargain hunting range, which is on par with the first entry into the bargain hunting line stage in June 2022. If the previous trend is mechanically replicated, BTC theoretically still has a 40% decline, targeting 47,000, but this round lacks the core conditions of the deep bear market of 2022, and blindly seeking a sword by carving a boat is inadvisable.
The deep bear market of 2022 was due to BTC significantly deviating from its valuation, the credit explosion of FTX, the mining machine shutdown price being breached, and mainstream altcoins experiencing over 90% extreme retracement, resulting in a resonance of multiple negative factors. This round of the market has four key differences:
1. The entire bull market was moderate, ahr999 did not effectively break through the fixed investment line 1, valuations did not show severe bubbles, and there was no foundation for deep bubble squeezing;
2. ETFs have become a core new variable, with on-site funds at the level of 50 billion USD having an average cost of 84,000-86,000, and the current price is already at a floating loss; without systemic credit events, BTC is unlikely to operate below this cost for a long time;
3. There is currently no risk of credit explosion at the exchange level, lacking black swan events to trigger extreme drops;
4. The retracement of mainstream altcoins is only 70%-80%, not reaching the “despair level” adjustment of a deep bear market, and market panic has not been fully released.
Based on this, the operational strategy for this round of the bear market is clear and definite:
✅ BTC is the only core asset suitable for medium to large fixed investments; altcoins can only serve as high-risk bets in a bear market and do not have long-term holding value;
✅ The mining machine shutdown price range of 60,000-65,000 is the core execution point for disciplined fixed investment and should be gradually laid out;
✅ Without significant black swan events, the probability of BTC falling below 50,000 is extremely low.
It is worth paying close attention to the fact that BTC.D (Bitcoin market cap ratio) trending higher for the long term may become the norm in the future. The diversion of funds from altcoins in 2017 and 2021 is essentially a phase result of excessively elevated market risk appetite; in the next cycle, funds will be more inclined to avoid the risk of air coins and concentrate on BTC core assets. This also means that this round of the bear market is very likely to be the last significant bear market for the crypto market.
The current core operational guideline: ammunition should be reserved for the real deep bear bottom, rather than being consumed by short-term emotional fluctuations; the long bull trend of Bitcoin is no longer far away.
#加密 $ETH
The current Bitcoin market is showing significant weakness, with the ahr999 index dipping near 0.4, reaching an extreme bargain hunting range, which is on par with the first entry into the bargain hunting line stage in June 2022. If the previous trend is mechanically replicated, BTC theoretically still has a 40% decline, targeting 47,000, but this round lacks the core conditions of the deep bear market of 2022, and blindly seeking a sword by carving a boat is inadvisable.
The deep bear market of 2022 was due to BTC significantly deviating from its valuation, the credit explosion of FTX, the mining machine shutdown price being breached, and mainstream altcoins experiencing over 90% extreme retracement, resulting in a resonance of multiple negative factors. This round of the market has four key differences:
1. The entire bull market was moderate, ahr999 did not effectively break through the fixed investment line 1, valuations did not show severe bubbles, and there was no foundation for deep bubble squeezing;
2. ETFs have become a core new variable, with on-site funds at the level of 50 billion USD having an average cost of 84,000-86,000, and the current price is already at a floating loss; without systemic credit events, BTC is unlikely to operate below this cost for a long time;
3. There is currently no risk of credit explosion at the exchange level, lacking black swan events to trigger extreme drops;
4. The retracement of mainstream altcoins is only 70%-80%, not reaching the “despair level” adjustment of a deep bear market, and market panic has not been fully released.
Based on this, the operational strategy for this round of the bear market is clear and definite:
✅ BTC is the only core asset suitable for medium to large fixed investments; altcoins can only serve as high-risk bets in a bear market and do not have long-term holding value;
✅ The mining machine shutdown price range of 60,000-65,000 is the core execution point for disciplined fixed investment and should be gradually laid out;
✅ Without significant black swan events, the probability of BTC falling below 50,000 is extremely low.
It is worth paying close attention to the fact that BTC.D (Bitcoin market cap ratio) trending higher for the long term may become the norm in the future. The diversion of funds from altcoins in 2017 and 2021 is essentially a phase result of excessively elevated market risk appetite; in the next cycle, funds will be more inclined to avoid the risk of air coins and concentrate on BTC core assets. This also means that this round of the bear market is very likely to be the last significant bear market for the crypto market.
The current core operational guideline: ammunition should be reserved for the real deep bear bottom, rather than being consumed by short-term emotional fluctuations; the long bull trend of Bitcoin is no longer far away.
#加密 $ETH
Btc
666
Hawk自由哥
·
--
💖Grateful to my cousin @CZ and sister @Yi He for creating #币安平台 with dedication. Breaking traditional barriers with fairness and openness, centered on understanding and patience, allowing ordinary people to grow on the same starting line. Its core ecosystem #币安广场 becomes a home for knowledge exchange and cognitive resonance, the platform upholds its original intention, delivering rational and professional investment wisdom, helping users clear the fog and find the right track. The individual glimmers gather into an ecological force, where users are both beneficiaries and builders. We will join hands to grow together in the wave of the digital economy, realize dreams, and write a new chapter of the era! #加密市场回调 #下任美联储主席会是谁？ Keep up with #Hawk 🦅 The spread of free culture! Enjoy a free life 🌈
666
Hawk自由哥
·
--
💖Grateful to my cousin @CZ and sister @Yi He for creating #币安平台 with dedication. Breaking traditional barriers with fairness and openness, centered on understanding and patience, allowing ordinary people to grow on the same starting line. Its core ecosystem #币安广场 becomes a home for knowledge exchange and cognitive resonance, the platform upholds its original intention, delivering rational and professional investment wisdom, helping users clear the fog and find the right track. The individual glimmers gather into an ecological force, where users are both beneficiaries and builders. We will join hands to grow together in the wave of the digital economy, realize dreams, and write a new chapter of the era! #加密市场回调 #下任美联储主席会是谁？ Keep up with #Hawk 🦅 The spread of free culture! Enjoy a free life 🌈
想
【Individual Rise 2026: A Look at the Future of Web3 Super Individuals from the OPC City Index】
🎤 Tonight at 19:00, a key live broadcast that will determine your entrepreneurial starting line in 2026!
We are launching the first report of the "2026 China OPC Entrepreneurial City Development Index" to exclusively decode the national landscape of "one-person companies," creating a clear entrepreneurial decision-making and action map for super individuals and digital nomads in the Web3 era. #数字游民 #学习
🎤 Tonight at 19:00, a key live broadcast that will determine your entrepreneurial starting line in 2026!
We are launching the first report of the "2026 China OPC Entrepreneurial City Development Index" to exclusively decode the national landscape of "one-person companies," creating a clear entrepreneurial decision-making and action map for super individuals and digital nomads in the Web3 era. #数字游民 #学习
想
【Individual Rise 2026: A Look at the Future of Web3 Super Individuals from the OPC City Index】
🎤 Tonight at 19:00, a key live broadcast that will determine your entrepreneurial starting line in 2026!
We are launching the first report of the "2026 China OPC Entrepreneurial City Development Index" to exclusively decode the national landscape of "one-person companies," creating a clear entrepreneurial decision-making and action map for super individuals and digital nomads in the Web3 era. #数字游民 #学习
🎤 Tonight at 19:00, a key live broadcast that will determine your entrepreneurial starting line in 2026!
We are launching the first report of the "2026 China OPC Entrepreneurial City Development Index" to exclusively decode the national landscape of "one-person companies," creating a clear entrepreneurial decision-making and action map for super individuals and digital nomads in the Web3 era. #数字游民 #学习
4
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4
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ok
BlockBreaker
·
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🚨 Limited drop alert
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💬 Say “Ok” in the comments
✅ Follow to claim
🎁 Vanishing quicker than you think
💥 2,000 Red Packets available NOW
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✅ Follow to claim
🎁 Vanishing quicker than you think
ok
BlockBreaker
·
--
🚨 Limited drop alert
💥 2,000 Red Packets available NOW
💬 Say “Ok” in the comments
✅ Follow to claim
🎁 Vanishing quicker than you think
💥 2,000 Red Packets available NOW
💬 Say “Ok” in the comments
✅ Follow to claim
🎁 Vanishing quicker than you think
1
I prepared 888u red envelopes 🧧🧧🧧
🧧🧧🧧🧧Deadline for claiming 🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#特朗普称坚定支持加密货币 #黄金白银反弹 #V神卖币 #Strategy增持比特币 #爱泼斯坦案烧向币圈
🧧🧧🧧🧧Deadline for claiming 🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#特朗普称坚定支持加密货币 #黄金白银反弹 #V神卖币 #Strategy增持比特币 #爱泼斯坦案烧向币圈
1
I prepared 888u red envelopes 🧧🧧🧧
🧧🧧🧧🧧Deadline for claiming 🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#特朗普称坚定支持加密货币 #黄金白银反弹 #V神卖币 #Strategy增持比特币 #爱泼斯坦案烧向币圈
🧧🧧🧧🧧Deadline for claiming 🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#特朗普称坚定支持加密货币 #黄金白银反弹 #V神卖币 #Strategy增持比特币 #爱泼斯坦案烧向币圈
9
RCB signal
·
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sol gift box 🧧🎁 click here 👈💝
🎁 1000 gifts are live right now
Follow + Comment = Red Pocket 🧧
Let’s enjoy this moment together ❤️
9
RCB signal
·
--
gift box 2 claim here 👈💝
sol gift box 🧧🎁 click here 👈💝
🎁 1000 gifts are live right now
Follow + Comment = Red Pocket 🧧
Let’s enjoy this moment together ❤️
sol gift box 🧧🎁 click here 👈💝
🎁 1000 gifts are live right now
Follow + Comment = Red Pocket 🧧
Let’s enjoy this moment together ❤️
yes
88.8🧧 View on-chain data showing that a certain whale deposited 100,000 ETH into the exchange
Combined with the insider information from early morning 1011, the whale was precisely targeted by the main force
It seems that Boss Yi is indeed under great risk and pressure
The market is this cruel, and the value of wealth that doesn't leak out is still increasing
What do you all think the next trend will be? $ETH
{spot}(ETHUSDT)
Combined with the insider information from early morning 1011, the whale was precisely targeted by the main force
It seems that Boss Yi is indeed under great risk and pressure
The market is this cruel, and the value of wealth that doesn't leak out is still increasing
What do you all think the next trend will be? $ETH
{spot}(ETHUSDT)
yes
88.8🧧 View on-chain data showing that a certain whale deposited 100,000 ETH into the exchange
Combined with the insider information from early morning 1011, the whale was precisely targeted by the main force
It seems that Boss Yi is indeed under great risk and pressure
The market is this cruel, and the value of wealth that doesn't leak out is still increasing
What do you all think the next trend will be? $ETH
{spot}(ETHUSDT)
Combined with the insider information from early morning 1011, the whale was precisely targeted by the main force
It seems that Boss Yi is indeed under great risk and pressure
The market is this cruel, and the value of wealth that doesn't leak out is still increasing
What do you all think the next trend will be? $ETH
{spot}(ETHUSDT)
黑马
Happy New Year #黑马 $黑马 🧧👍🏻
{alpha}(560xf9c6e80e9a5807a1214a79449009b48104f94444)
{alpha}(560xf9c6e80e9a5807a1214a79449009b48104f94444)
黑马
Happy New Year #黑马 $黑马 🧧👍🏻
{alpha}(560xf9c6e80e9a5807a1214a79449009b48104f94444)
{alpha}(560xf9c6e80e9a5807a1214a79449009b48104f94444)
444
💖Gratitude to CZ (Zhao Changpeng) and He Yi for creating Binance: Advancing with fairness and openness, with cognition and patience at the core. Binance Square gathers the wisdom of micro-lights, users co-build the ecosystem, seizing the track in a free culture, and embarking on the digital wave together 🌈🦅
$ETH
{spot}(ETHUSDT)
$ETH
{spot}(ETHUSDT)
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