Although Bitcoin is currently in a bear market, with geopolitical uncertainty adding more risk to it, BTC ETF issuers have been buying massive amount of Bitcoin.
In just the past 8 days, $2 billion worth of BTC have been bought by ETF giants like IBIT and ARKB.
This is probably the main reason why BTC is currently outperforming the S&P 500 since the US-Iran war broke out.
Price is slowly compressing further into the lower part of the bullish channel, because of that, the 0,618 fibonacci level has been out of the picture.
From here, it's a make or break it kind of situation, either BTC can continue higher or break below the bullish trendline.
Unexpectedly, price broke through the resistance zone I marked and has continued to move along its bullish channel.
Now, with new level, the FVG is the next support level for BTC.
I'm not going to say where the local top will be as it'll be too much of a gamble, but one thing is for sure, that FVG is the closest support level for now.
New price levels now, going back to the old bullish channel that is still holding on.
In my experience, bullish channel never sustain for too long or too far, because the market itself is not efficient and rarely moves according the traditional theories.
So, i think a breakdown is just around the corner, possibly from the current level, as it is retesting a resistance zone as well.
Price has been climbing higher slowly, candle by candle. Although it seems like a bearish rising wedge pattern that could top any moment, this case seems to be the one where it just keeps on climbing higher and the wedge actually acts just as a bullish funnel.
Unless its proven otherwise, price should head a bit higher into the red resistance zone.
However, it's looking quite weak, reflected by only candle wicks forming the higher high not strong body candles.
On top of that, there is a bearish divergence that has formed with price going higher, yet the Stochastic is trending lower.
So, it's hard for me to say, i believe price would climb higher, just slowly, yet at the same the risk for a local top to form, as shown by the bearish divergence, is big as well.