NullUser

$USDC $USDT $BNB I just said that I am not good at contracts, isn't this chart beautiful? However, the chart is mainly focused on the contract part, so it looks like my account is doomed.
As for why I am still in the market, it is mainly about outsmarting various Alpha coins, being careful not to get trapped. Contracts carry risks, and one must be cautious when entering the market.
If you haven't experimented with contracts before, I hope you never get the chance to try.
If you have already experimented, I have some insights from my losses:
0. Don't just watch others become rich; in the market, there are people making money, those who have been around for a long time, and some who are very aggressive. But normal people can't play aggressively and survive for a long time; you can earn countless 100% but can only lose 100%.
1. Risk control is very important; if you can avoid liquidation, do so. Even if you set up a position by margin, liquidation will still affect other positions, basically leaving you with no margin. This is a conclusion after three liquidations. If you like to open 50x with 0.1U and don't care if it gets liquidated, just ignore what I said.
2. Don't set the leverage too outrageous; my hedging is just 1X, while activities can go up to 125X, and normally 10X is the maximum. If you often go for 50X, it's fine if you are not fully invested and your position is not maxed out; otherwise, it's easy to get liquidated, especially with altcoins. Stay away from those who seem to be bottom fishing and top selling while claiming to be fully leveraged; check their profit amounts, and I could easily play with 0.1U at full leverage.
3. Contracts are genuinely a negative-sum game; although exchanges don’t take much, you should know that when one person makes ten times, many others will get liquidated.
4. Many strategies have capacity; the problem with altcoin manipulation lies in liquidity and capital. I hope you can understand this.
5. If after reading all this you still decide to enter the market, I hope you are prepared to face the cruelty and madness of the market, so good luck.

Today's blind box content: AOP/REKT/CLO
Alpha blind box, it is estimated that there will be less in the future.
Those who have grabbed it should consider resigning.

April Monthly Challenge Estimate
Previously, I drew 5 times at 8 o'clock without winning, today I drew 7 times and won 1U on the fifth draw. So far, I've drawn about 25 times.
Last month's March challenge had a better winning rate, with about 2-4U for ten draws at 8 o'clock, and the probability was relatively stable, calculating a profit of 0.2U per draw. Considering the prize pool was 1/5 of last time, and it's likely that many were drawn on the first day, estimating a profit of 0.04-0.1U per single draw is very normal.

Currently, there is nothing available for trading spot, I previously lost -1.5U by trading USDS spot, and those that meet the criteria all charge fees. Personally, I think if one has high skill, it's better to trade the contract's limit orders for free, but even these, like BTCUSDC pairs, can easily result in losses. Moreover, with an amount of 250U, trading contracts can easily lead to -0.04U or even more; either it's not easy to execute, after all, this volatility is just 0.002.

In summary, I strongly advise against participating in the April monthly challenge. Of course, if it's originally for contract activity rewards, that's another matter; anyway, the 50000 contract is worth more than the April challenge. If the May challenge is launched on 0502, one can draw two or three times on the first day to have some fun.

$XAUT I calculated carefully the low guarantee of the XAUT spot activity, and if you brush 1000U amount, it's still quite valuable!
Assuming that 120,000 people participate effectively, the first 1000 will take the big share, and the rest will divide 80 XAUT, which is about 0.00067 each. Based on the current price of around 4400, the final reward will be about 3U.
If you brush 500U (buy 251 sell 250), the order fee is only 0.1%, which is just 0.5U, making a net profit of nearly 2U, just a small red envelope!
Note that the contract basically has no guarantee, the spot activity is reliable.

If you want to pick up money together, you can even use XAUTUSDC orders to avoid fees: https://www.bsmkweb.cc/activity/trading-competition/spot-altcoin-festival-wave-XAUt?ref=1152802132

Thanks to the correction from @玲娜币儿 below, it requires 1000U to be on the list, but 500U can still get the low guarantee.

$TRADOOR It is said that today the airdrop is issuing this coin, everyone pay attention.

$NIGHT It is said that the 200% investment is back again. Are you hedging or going short directly?

$AIA $SIGMA It is said that these two are airdrop coins today

$CRCLon So everyone really likes the trading competition, right? All you top competitors come at me then, it's just a little over 20U, isn't it? The competition is everywhere, and then they simply stop airdrops and focus on trading competitions instead, as the transaction fee income is substantial. Let's create more spots; Alpha coins are hard to hedge, what a perfect plan.

$XAU The weekend brushing of XAUT to complete the ERA contract task couldn't be better. However, yesterday I thought some people might have been stunned by the drop. It is said that big shots in the Middle East, due to the wartime situation, are eager to sell gold to gather funds. As for the rise and fall? Normally, gold doesn't open on weekends, so there should be only slight fluctuations, but since it doesn't open, there might be someone manipulating the situation.

$XAU It is said that XAU is relatively stable, but XAG has fallen like a counterfeit. If I had held onto it since yesterday, I feel like I wouldn't need to do anything. They say it's to participate in the contract to earn ERA, but it has become a speculative frenzy, which is awkward. However, I personally suggest not to rush to short it; what if it surges upwards? The daily declines have been quite severe.

$PIEVERSE If you haven't hedged yet, you can slowly open short positions. Be careful that the maximum position after placing an order should not exceed twice the amount. I'm naturally not afraid of liquidation prices that are several U each. I'm waiting for 0.55/0.60/0.65/0.70. In fact, I also hope to sell at a higher point when the rewards are distributed today, after all, I'm not fully hedged.

$INTCon Dear all, when trading stock tokens, please be cautious. During the day when the U.S. stock market is closed, the robots almost control the market prices, resulting in a large price spread. A loss of 0.1% is considered good, while there are issues at $CRCLon that can lead to a loss of 1%.

I personally do not recommend going all out for the Ondo stock token trading competition. 20000 slots seem quite a lot, and 25U also seems like a lot, right? So do you remember the number of slots for the last NIGHT? Previously, not many people participated in the trading competition; that NIGHT round was off the charts, so much so that people regretted participating. As for this 20000U slot, I think if you are good at trading US stock indices and are skilled at trading, then go for it, no problem. Otherwise, I personally suggest not to participate.
#ONDO $ONDO

Personal suspicion is that the winning rate is actually quite touching, and now with more people participating in the lottery, the winning rate is even lower as it becomes a shared pool. Speaking of which, if the contract has a trading volume of 50000U, go check out the lottery for that trading contract; timing the draw may not be a shared pool.

$BNB The most reliable way to complete various lottery activities is to do USDC contracts, and it's not BTC but BNB, which has low volatility.
50000U contract trading volume, which means actually 100 times the March lottery activity would suffice, although the prizes look a bit shabby. It's more like adding a little extra for those who can make money, giving ordinary people something to think about. If you're hoping to get rich quick, you might as well forget it; with that kind of luck, why even try?
Previously, in February, the spot fee was 0.025 each time (of course, if you can endure it, you can also have zero fees). This March, the activity has banned zero-fee spot trading. On the day it launched, it was initially supported, but the lottery card points were useless for me even though I connected to the shared pool several times. Fortunately, if the contracts are being brushed, it's still okay. Based on previous monthly challenges, the minimum guarantee is about 0.1 each time, so losing more to brush isn't worth it.
Take advantage of the fact that USDC contracts still have no fees, and cherish it while you can.

I just didn't draw anything else. Actually, I can understand. Last time, HAEDAL had a guaranteed minimum of 0.1U, so the cost of brushing beyond that amount is likely a loss. This time, the minimum non-shared amount is 2U, and I initially doubted whether the pool's winning rate had greatly increased.

$OPN I didn't expect that, it's really absurd. Just for the hedging of 4OPN, there are so many of them already. Previously, I told someone that if it reached 200%, it could be considered to short, but I don't know if anyone has done it. Anyway, I didn't expect it to drop below the previous pre-contract minimum price of 0.33 on the first day.

Share a prize pool of 2,500,000 OPN, the new spot trading event is here.
Please pay attention to the stable walking method above. Go register now. 500U reward for 4 OPN, base wear 0.5U. If there is a suitable comparison for such things, don't forget to find an opportunity to open a short hedge after completion.
$OPN $BNB is also a relatively easy task for Binance's new coin activity.