Lord mnt
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Lord mnt
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Outlook: The market is clearly bearish
#BTCUSDT
(Vix Fix = 3.3)
It hasn't hit overbought levels (below 5), and the lower Bollinger Band hasn't been touched yet. Thus, the bounce is weak and it's likely to drop again.
Recommendation: Pending Sell
(Short Limit)
Entry: 64,550$ (mid Bollinger and resistance).
Stop Loss: 65,050$ (breaking the mid invalidates the downtrend).
Targets: 64,000 then 63,400 then 63,400 (lower range).
Risk Ratio (R:R): 1 : 2.2.
Risk Percentage of Capital: Only 2%.
Reason: Selling from clear resistance is better than buying from an uncertain bottom, and the stop at 65,050$ ensures a quick exit if the trend reverses.
#BTCUSDT
(Vix Fix = 3.3)
It hasn't hit overbought levels (below 5), and the lower Bollinger Band hasn't been touched yet. Thus, the bounce is weak and it's likely to drop again.
Recommendation: Pending Sell
(Short Limit)
Entry: 64,550$ (mid Bollinger and resistance).
Stop Loss: 65,050$ (breaking the mid invalidates the downtrend).
Targets: 64,000 then 63,400 then 63,400 (lower range).
Risk Ratio (R:R): 1 : 2.2.
Risk Percentage of Capital: Only 2%.
Reason: Selling from clear resistance is better than buying from an uncertain bottom, and the stop at 65,050$ ensures a quick exit if the trend reverses.
#BTCUSDT Moving Averages (SMMA + EMA2)
· Price is well below all major MAs (closest is 21 SMMA at $65,071).
· Order: 21 < 50 < 100, but 200 SMMA is higher → choppy, no clear trend.
· EMA(2) sits just 28 pts above price → high recent volatility.
📌 Order Blocks
· Bullish OB (Demand): $65,089 – $65,306 (Far above price = Weakness)
· Bearish OB (Supply): $66,525 – $66,615 (Major resistance)
🚨 Patterns
· No 3-Line Strike signals (0.0).
· "Big Ass" bullish candles appeared earlier but failed to reverse the trend → just short-term bounces.
🎯 Trade Plan (Safest Setup)
· Entry: $64,500 – $64,600 (Sell on pullback)
· SL: $64,750
· TP1: $64,200 (50% profit)
· TP2: $64,085 (Remainder)
· R:R: 1:1.5 (Risk 200 pts / Reward 300 pts)
Rationale: Price below all MAs + Bullish OB overhead + no reversal signals.
⚡ Aggressive Buy Setup (High Risk)
· Entry: $64,000 – $64,100
· SL: $63,900
· TP: $64,350 – $64,400
🔮 Scenarios
· 📉 45% – Continuation to $64,085 / $64,000.
· 📊 35% – Bounce to 64,600, then fail.
· 🚀 20% – Break above $64,750 toward $65,000 (needs a catalyst).
✅ Final Verdict
Bearish bias with no strong reversal signals.
My Plan:
➡️ Sell the bounce at 64,750.
➡️ Targets 64,085.
⚠️ Reminder: Don't buy until price hits 65,300 (real demand) or shows a clear reversal on higher timeframes.
Trade safe
· Price is well below all major MAs (closest is 21 SMMA at $65,071).
· Order: 21 < 50 < 100, but 200 SMMA is higher → choppy, no clear trend.
· EMA(2) sits just 28 pts above price → high recent volatility.
📌 Order Blocks
· Bullish OB (Demand): $65,089 – $65,306 (Far above price = Weakness)
· Bearish OB (Supply): $66,525 – $66,615 (Major resistance)
🚨 Patterns
· No 3-Line Strike signals (0.0).
· "Big Ass" bullish candles appeared earlier but failed to reverse the trend → just short-term bounces.
🎯 Trade Plan (Safest Setup)
· Entry: $64,500 – $64,600 (Sell on pullback)
· SL: $64,750
· TP1: $64,200 (50% profit)
· TP2: $64,085 (Remainder)
· R:R: 1:1.5 (Risk 200 pts / Reward 300 pts)
Rationale: Price below all MAs + Bullish OB overhead + no reversal signals.
⚡ Aggressive Buy Setup (High Risk)
· Entry: $64,000 – $64,100
· SL: $63,900
· TP: $64,350 – $64,400
🔮 Scenarios
· 📉 45% – Continuation to $64,085 / $64,000.
· 📊 35% – Bounce to 64,600, then fail.
· 🚀 20% – Break above $64,750 toward $65,000 (needs a catalyst).
✅ Final Verdict
Bearish bias with no strong reversal signals.
My Plan:
➡️ Sell the bounce at 64,750.
➡️ Targets 64,085.
⚠️ Reminder: Don't buy until price hits 65,300 (real demand) or shows a clear reversal on higher timeframes.
Trade safe
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